The Trump Investigation(s) Thread

Fitzy · Post by **Fitzy** » Sat Mar 03, 2018 9:23 am

Rip wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 10:13 pm
Hmmmmmm.

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates considered military action in the early stages of their ongoing dispute with Qatar before Donald Trump called leaders of both countries and warned them to back off, according to two people familiar with the U.S. president’s discussions.

The Saudis and Emiratis were looking at ways to remove the Qatari regime, which they accused of sponsoring terrorism and cozying up to Iran, according to the people, who asked not to be identified because the discussions were confidential. Trump told Saudi and U.A.E. leaders that any military action would trigger a crisis across the Middle East that would only benefit Iran, one of the people said.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... e-on-qatar

I'm skeptical. Trump has shown zero ability at long term thinking. Either it didn't happen or he was reading from a script provided by someone else, one of the generals or even Tillerson.

Also Rip, aren't you the one pushing the debunked Uranium One Clinton theory? And a whole shit ton of other ridiculous Clinton conspiracy theories based on tiny coincidences? I would hope even Trump wouldn't base foreign policy on personal finance, but I wouldn't put it past him. The Kushner/Qatar link as at least plausible compared to some of the stuff you've pushed on this forum.

hepcat · Post by **hepcat** » Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:41 am

Fitzy wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 3:42 pm
Jeff V wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 2:28 pm Hepcat - now's your chance!

Free her and the pee tape could be yours!
That is so crazy, I'm almost tempted to believe her. Time for a Kickstarter? Free the Pee Tape!

I could see midnight showings at theaters with people cosplaying their favorite characters.

$iljanus · Post by **$iljanus** » Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:47 am

hepcat wrote:
Fitzy wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 3:42 pm
Jeff V wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 2:28 pm Hepcat - now's your chance!

Free her and the pee tape could be yours!
That is so crazy, I'm almost tempted to believe her. Time for a Kickstarter? Free the Pee Tape!
I could see midnight showings at theaters with people cosplaying their favorite characters.

With a whole Rocky Horror vibe going. Hopefully the water pistols will have water instead of, you know.

Fitzy · Post by **Fitzy** » Sat Mar 03, 2018 11:44 am

$iljanus wrote: Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:47 am
hepcat wrote:
Fitzy wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 3:42 pm
Jeff V wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 2:28 pm Hepcat - now's your chance!

Free her and the pee tape could be yours!
That is so crazy, I'm almost tempted to believe her. Time for a Kickstarter? Free the Pee Tape!
I could see midnight showings at theaters with people cosplaying their favorite characters.
With a whole Rocky Horror vibe going. Hopefully the water pistols will have water instead of, you know.

In cosplay it’s important to be authentic.

Max Peck · Post by **Max Peck** » Sat Mar 03, 2018 2:25 pm

Fitzy wrote: Sat Mar 03, 2018 11:44 am
$iljanus wrote: Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:47 am
hepcat wrote:
Fitzy wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 3:42 pm
Jeff V wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 2:28 pm Hepcat - now's your chance!

Free her and the pee tape could be yours!
That is so crazy, I'm almost tempted to believe her. Time for a Kickstarter? Free the Pee Tape!
I could see midnight showings at theaters with people cosplaying their favorite characters.
With a whole Rocky Horror vibe going. Hopefully the water pistols will have water instead of, you know.
In cosplay it’s important to be authentic.

Authentic-looking replicas, though. I recommend apple juice.

pr0ner · Post by **pr0ner** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:24 pm

So how about that Sam Nunberg?

gilraen · Post by **gilraen** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:31 pm

pr0ner wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:24 pm So how about that Sam Nunberg?

I can't decide if he's just trying to throw someone else (i.e. Carter Page) under the bus - or he actually has useful information and he wants to "up the price" before ultimately agreeing to some deal with Mueller.

Enough · Post by **Enough** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:59 pm

I feel like he might be experiencing a mental break from reality.

Holman · Post by **Holman** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:11 pm

He's a Roger Stone protege, so if there's a scheme here it's Ratfuck Roger's.

Maybe the hope is that Mueller will look cruel (and therefore lose credibility) if he actually arrests and punishes someone who wasn't part of the conspiracy?

Maybe it's pardon bait, in the hope that more will follow?

Zaxxon · Post by **Zaxxon** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:13 pm

That whole interview has to be heard to be believed. This guy is a winner.

Holman · Post by **Holman** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:16 pm

https://twitter.com/Popehat/status/970807103731384320

Good Old Mr. Fed wrote:My partner reminds me that Nunberg was the guy tasked with explaining the constitution to Trump.

So, yeah.

gilraen · Post by **gilraen** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:19 pm

Zaxxon wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:13 pm That whole interview has to be heard to be believed. This guy is a winner.

I thought his interview to Jake Tapper was pretty crazy...but then by the time he got to Ari Melber, he sounded positively unhinged.

Sepiche · Post by **Sepiche** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:20 pm

My read is something scared Nunberg shitless.

Given the context, one might guess he looked through the emails that were subpoenaed, found something incriminating about him or Stone or Drumpf, and is terrified of handing it over.

Zaxxon · Post by **Zaxxon** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:21 pm

I haven't even seen those. I saw Katy Tur...

Holman · Post by **Holman** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:42 pm

Sepiche wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:20 pm My read is something scared Nunberg shitless.

Given the context, one might guess he looked through the emails that were subpoenaed, found something incriminating about him or Stone or Drumpf, and is terrified of handing it over.

I don't know how these things works, but various wonks have been pointing out that Mueller probably already has Nunberg's emails, subpoenaed by other means.

The question is whether Nunberg is losing his shit because he knows this or because he doesn't.

gilraen · Post by **gilraen** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 9:04 pm

Holman wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:42 pm The question is whether Nunberg is losing his shit because he knows this or because he doesn't.

Nunberg knows. He said that judging from the questions that Mueller was asking - Mueller must already have information that he could have only gotten from Roger Stone's emails. (this was in the last hour, interview with Ari Melber)

Alefroth · Post by **Alefroth** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 9:52 pm

gilraen wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 9:04 pm
Holman wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:42 pm The question is whether Nunberg is losing his shit because he knows this or because he doesn't.
Nunberg knows. He said that judging from the questions that Mueller was asking - Mueller must already have information that he could have only gotten from Roger Stone's emails. (this was in the last hour, interview with Ari Melber)

I can't rule out he isn't drunk at that point. Also, his world is about to get very dark.

malchior · Post by **malchior** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:22 pm

There is a certain logic to it - he *might* be calculating that contempt is better than the alternatives. But he also sounds off his rocker at points so you have to wonder if logic factors in.

Holman · Post by **Holman** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:33 pm

One of his in-person interviewers tonight told him that she could clearly smell alcohol on his breath. He denied it, then said something about being on anti-depressants instead, which is just off-track enough to be an admission.

Skinypupy · Post by **Skinypupy** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:04 pm

Holy shit, that was just nuts. Dude had to be drunk, right?

Katy Tur was really damn good. The way she led him around was amazing to watch.

Jag · Post by **Jag** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:16 pm

Skinypupy wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:04 pmKaty Tur was really damn good. The way she led him around was amazing to watch.

Dude. There are levels within levels here.
https://twitter.com/NRMorrow/status/970 ... tfw">March

We have to go deeper....

https://twitter.com/TrumpinTheShark/sta ... tfw">March

Deeper?

https://twitter.com/thetomzone/status/9 ... tfw">March

For the love of god, will somebody please help Trump take two strokes off his golf game.

malchior · Post by **malchior** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:16 pm

I thought the Ari Melber discussion was interesting because 1) Nunberg doesn't appear drunk to me...at all and 2) he is making some sort of sense throughout. If you start with his stated belief that he thinks he is being used to set up Roger Stone for something. It makes sense. He could be lying about that but it sure doesn't sound like it. What it almost comes down to is he has a grudge (legit or not) against Trump and was fine with burning him...up to the point either himself or Roger were in the crosshairs. Which again makes sense. Still he is doing himself no favors with this weird act. I'm chalking this up as just another wacky day in the national circus.

Grifman · Post by **Grifman** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:24 pm

Zaxxon wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:13 pm That whole interview has to be heard to be believed. This guy is a winner.

Dadgum if that wasn’t entertaining and crazy, I don’t know what is. Utterly hilarious!

malchior · Post by **malchior** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:33 pm

I find it sort of amazing how earnest he is about his belief that Mueller is just going to let this go. It's so, so bizarre.

Zaxxon · Post by **Zaxxon** » Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:39 pm

malchior wrote:I find it sort of amazing how earnest he is about his belief that Mueller is just going to let this go. It's so, so bizarre.

Exactly. Like, there is exactly zero chance of that. Maybe he doesn't go straight to jail, but his prospects certainly aren't improving.

Ralph-Wiggum · Post by **Ralph-Wiggum** » Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:53 am

And of course Mueller almost certainly has those emails anyways. But maybe getting jailed for contempt is better than being thought to betray Stone/Trump by complying?

GungHo · Post by **GungHo** » Tue Mar 06, 2018 2:23 am

Ralph-Wiggum wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:53 am And of course Mueller almost certainly has those emails anyways. But maybe getting jailed for contempt is better than being thought to betray Stone/Trump by complying?

I think someone mentioned it already but I saw that as his way to a trump pardon.

EDIT: Then again I'm not drunk and/or on antidepressants so i probably don't have nunbergs insight

Zarathud · Post by **Zarathud** » Tue Mar 06, 2018 2:55 am

Nunberg sounded desperate. He doesn't have the money to hire lawyers to go through his e-mails for him -- 80 hours worth of work.

So he's looking at all of the personal, unflattering things in the daily back and forth to his friend and mentor -- and realizing this doesn't end well for him. In his mind, Nunberg was "treated poorly" by Trump so Mueller was supposed to go easy on him. But Nunberg was there in the beginning, might be willing to talk, and isn't the smartest guy. So the Feds are squeezing him -- and it's working.

After today's stunt, I expect his lawyers called up and said -- "I'm not going to fire you, but it's time to plead because you're dead meat."

Only the best and brightest.

Carpet_pissr · Post by **Carpet_pissr** » Tue Mar 06, 2018 11:02 am

It sounds more like he is creating some kind of reverse smoke screen to cover for his master, Roger Stone, more than anything. Said Trump is a moron, probably did something wrong, and repeated that Roger Stone is innocent, God, awesome, etc. about 20 times.

El Guapo · Post by **El Guapo** » Tue Mar 06, 2018 11:06 am

Zarathud wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 2:55 am Nunberg sounded desperate. He doesn't have the money to hire lawyers to go through his e-mails for him -- 80 hours worth of work.

So he's looking at all of the personal, unflattering things in the daily back and forth to his friend and mentor -- and realizing this doesn't end well for him. In his mind, Nunberg was "treated poorly" by Trump so Mueller was supposed to go easy on him. But Nunberg was there in the beginning, might be willing to talk, and isn't the smartest guy. So the Feds are squeezing him -- and it's working.

After today's stunt, I expect his lawyers called up and said -- "I'm not going to fire you, but it's time to plead because you're dead meat."

Only the best and brightest.

This seems like the most logical explanation. There's some mix of incriminating and embarrassing content in his e-mails, and hiring lawyers would bankrupt him. As you say he gets desperate and depressed. It seems pretty clear that he was drunk and/or high during the interviews, which presumably is connected to him being desperate and depressed.

Holman · Post by **Holman** » Tue Mar 06, 2018 1:10 pm

Today Nunberg has reversed himself and says he will cooperate with the subpoena.

It's really hard to know what last night was about. I'm going to go with desperate drinking followed by desperate bid for notoriety succeeded by desperate hangover and desperate remorse.

Grifman · Post by **Grifman** » Tue Mar 06, 2018 8:42 pm

The strange thing is that Nunberg is a lawyer! He knows exactly why and what legal basis there is for Mueller's request. The whole thing was just so surreal - there are rumors going around that he was drunk during the interviews, but he did not sound intoxicated.

pr0ner · Post by **pr0ner** » Tue Mar 06, 2018 10:15 pm

https://www.twitter.com/NPR/status/971073773750407169

hepcat · Post by **hepcat** » Tue Mar 06, 2018 10:36 pm

And not a thing will happen to her. She’s untouchable as long as the orange Don controls the underworld.

Holman · Post by **Holman** » Tue Mar 06, 2018 10:38 pm

Oh, now this: UAE figure with Trump-Russia ties now cooperating with Mueller.

Mr. Mueller appears to be examining the influence of foreign money on Mr. Trump’s political activities and has asked witnesses about the possibility that the adviser, George Nader, funneled money from the Emirates to the president’s political efforts. It is illegal for foreign entities to contribute to campaigns or for Americans to knowingly accept foreign money for political races.

Mr. Nader, a Lebanese-American businessman who advises Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed Al-Nahyan, the effective ruler of the Emirates, also attended a January 2017 meeting in the Seychelles that Mr. Mueller’s investigators have examined. The meeting, convened by the crown prince, brought together a Russian investor close to President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia with Erik Prince, the founder of Blackwater and an informal adviser to Mr. Trump’s team during the presidential transition, according to three people familiar with the meeting.

Mr. Nader’s cooperation in the special counsel’s investigation could prompt new legal risks for the Trump administration, and Mr. Nader’s presence at the Seychelles meeting appears to connect him to the primary focus of Mr. Mueller’s investigation: examining Russian interference during the 2016 presidential campaign.

In his testimony to congress and the FBI, Erik Prince claimed the Seychelles trip had nothing to do with Trump, and he failed to disclose Nader's presence. I think maybe it's about to be Prince's time in the barrel.

For non-colluders, Trump people sometimes seem to lie about some of their Russia connections.

I kid. They've lied about all of them. Dozens of them, repeatedly, until cornered.

Like totally innocent people.

Grifman · Post by **Grifman** » Wed Mar 07, 2018 11:45 pm

More here about the Prince meeting in the Seychelles:

https://www.vox.com/2018/3/7/17088908/e ... es-mueller

Defiant · Post by **Defiant** » Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:27 am

Putins got a lead! If by lead we mean an ugly accusation with no proof.

Putin Says Jews Might Be to Blame for 2016 Election Hacking

Though Putin has allied himself with the deeply conservative Russian Orthodox Church, which has recently promoted anti-Semitic conspiracy theories, hatred of Jews has generally not been a big part of his nationalist playbook. But apparently he’s fine with scapegoating the group, and other minorities, when it suits his political interests.

Moliere · Post by **Moliere** » Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:44 am

Bachelor Finale Cold Open - SNL

em2nought · Post by **em2nought** » Sun Mar 11, 2018 1:23 pm

hepcat wrote: Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:41 am
Fitzy wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 3:42 pm
Jeff V wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 2:28 pm Hepcat - now's your chance!

Free her and the pee tape could be yours!
That is so crazy, I'm almost tempted to believe her. Time for a Kickstarter? Free the Pee Tape!
I could see midnight showings at theaters with people cosplaying their favorite characters.

I have it on the very best authority that jail in Thailand is not a very nice place to be, people would do just about anything to "not" be there.

Jeff V · Post by **Jeff V** » Sun Mar 11, 2018 3:24 pm

em2nought wrote: Sun Mar 11, 2018 1:23 pm
hepcat wrote: Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:41 am
Fitzy wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 3:42 pm
Jeff V wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 2:28 pm Hepcat - now's your chance!

Free her and the pee tape could be yours!
That is so crazy, I'm almost tempted to believe her. Time for a Kickstarter? Free the Pee Tape!
I could see midnight showings at theaters with people cosplaying their favorite characters.
I have it on the very best authority that jail in Thailand is not a very nice place to be, people would do just about anything to "not" be there.

Yep, like give up the pee tape to whoever rescues her from that hell hole. It could sell for millions otherwise and hepcat can't afford that.