Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

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Skinypupy
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Skinypupy »

LawBeefaroni wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:57 pm I still suspect for many, "undecided" usually just means "still searching for a somewhat socially acceptable excuse for going with Trump."
Exactly.

I have yet to meet an "undecided" or "independent" person who wasn't simply a conservative looking for cover.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Ralph-Wiggum »

ImLawBoy wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 2:02 pm Sure, but unless the reporter is a mind reader (or the person otherwise made it obvious), the person was rightly categorized as "undecided" at the time.
I get that he couldn't have known before, but at the time of this tweet the reporter knows the person is a birther and still labels them "an undecided voter".
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by YellowKing »

Skinypupy wrote:I have yet to meet an "undecided" or "independent" person who wasn't simply a conservative looking for cover.
This is why I finally dropped the charade of being a registered Independent. Not that it made a difference to anyone else, but for me personally I felt I was just lying to myself.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by LordMortis »

I'm still openly independent who won't vote for the GOP at any level for as far as the can see. Undecided, I am not. I am decided for as long as the executive office is shambles, the Senate is a farce, and my state allows corrupt influence of billionaires and bigots to reign as the heavier counterweight to overzealous social agendas. The best case any GOP position can hope from me is that I find their competitor so distasteful I sit out.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Archinerd »

Skinypupy wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 2:39 pm
LawBeefaroni wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:57 pm I still suspect for many, "undecided" usually just means "still searching for a somewhat socially acceptable excuse for going with Trump."
Exactly.

I have yet to meet an "undecided" or "independent" person who wasn't simply a conservative looking for cover.
Don't forget apathy. I think some "undecideds" just aren't going to bother voting.
Last edited by Archinerd on Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Carpet_pissr »

LordMortis wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 3:27 pmThe best case any GOP position can hope from me is that I find their competitor so distasteful I sit out.
This is our concern, Dude.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by El Guapo »

FWiW the number of undecideds in the polls is considerably smaller than in 2016, and Biden is generally a little bit north of 50% in the polls. Meaning that Trump has to win over at least some current Biden supporters, not just win "undecideds" / independents.

Not that it's in the bag or anything, but just saying that he's in a better position than Clinton.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Ralph-Wiggum »

On one of the recent episodes of Pod Save America they were talking about that. If I remember correctly, at this point in the 2016 race there was something like 15% of the voters designated as undecided. Currently, I think that number is in the high single digits.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Carpet_pissr »

El Guapo wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 4:05 pm FWiW the number of undecideds in the polls is considerably smaller than in 2016, and Biden is generally a little bit north of 50% in the polls. Meaning that Trump has to win over at least some current Biden supporters, not just win "undecideds" / independents.

Not that it's in the bag or anything, but just saying that he's in a better position than Clinton.
What I am worried about is the shame factor for those who are not vociferous about their Trumplove. Preference falsification is a thing, and I bet it's an even bigger thing considering the douchebaggery over the past 4 years. As someone else commented on in another thread, those suburban moms vote. Team Trump was targeting them for a reason, and it wasn't because they thought they had no chance in hell of getting their vote.

It's the "my sister-in-law" types that NEVER say peep about politics, and really only care about their little insulated world. The chaos of protests spreading and news headlines about dark skinned people kicking white people out of their homes and breaking shit, scares the bejeesus out of them. If you ONLY care about your little bubble, which candidate, just based on headlines, is MORE likely to protect your current lifestyle?

I know quite a number of people that I guarantee you will vote for Trump, but would never say it, and might deny it even, if you asked. They likely can't stand Trump himself, but some of his talking points hit home, combined with the fact that these people have ALWAYS voted R straight ticket...it's like they don't have a choice (or possibly sit out). Again, it's "which candidate is MORE likely to protect my safe, carefree, wealthy lifestyle?"
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by El Guapo »

Carpet_pissr wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 4:24 pm
El Guapo wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 4:05 pm FWiW the number of undecideds in the polls is considerably smaller than in 2016, and Biden is generally a little bit north of 50% in the polls. Meaning that Trump has to win over at least some current Biden supporters, not just win "undecideds" / independents.

Not that it's in the bag or anything, but just saying that he's in a better position than Clinton.
What I am worried about is the shame factor for those who are not vociferous about their Trumplove. Preference falsification is a thing, and I bet it's an even bigger thing considering the douchebaggery over the past 4 years. As someone else commented on in another thread, those suburban moms vote. Team Trump was targeting them for a reason, and it wasn't because they thought they had no chance in hell of getting their vote.

It's the "my sister-in-law" types that NEVER say peep about politics, and really only care about their little insulated world. The chaos of protests spreading and news headlines about dark skinned people kicking white people out of their homes and breaking shit, etc. If you ONLY care about your little bubble, which candidate, just based on headlines, is MORE likely to protect your current lifestyle?

I think I've mentioned it before, but I do know quite a number of people that I guarantee you will vote for Trump, but would never say it, and might deny it even, if you asked. They likely can't stand Trump himself, but some of his talking points hit home, combined with the fact that these people have ALWAYS voted R straight ticket...they don't have a choice. Again, it's "which candidate is MORE likely to protect my safe, carefree, wealthy lifestyle?"
FWIW there is very little statistical evidence supporting the notion of a hidden or shy Trump voter.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by LordMortis »

Carpet_pissr wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 4:02 pm
LordMortis wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 3:27 pmThe best case any GOP position can hope from me is that I find their competitor so distasteful I sit out.
This is our concern, Dude.
On the national level, I put it to you like this: I really don't like Stabenow. She's not even in the same zip code as so distasteful I won't vote her. I really don't like Peters, again not in the neighborhood of voting for John James. I have some unhappiness with Talib but honestly she's more good than bad. I'm not annoyed at having to support her.

Biden wasn't even on my list to support but I honestly don't dislike him.

We should be afraid that Peters is bad enough for John James to win.
Last edited by LordMortis on Wed Aug 26, 2020 4:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Carpet_pissr »

El Guapo wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 4:28 pm
Carpet_pissr wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 4:24 pm
El Guapo wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 4:05 pm FWiW the number of undecideds in the polls is considerably smaller than in 2016, and Biden is generally a little bit north of 50% in the polls. Meaning that Trump has to win over at least some current Biden supporters, not just win "undecideds" / independents.

Not that it's in the bag or anything, but just saying that he's in a better position than Clinton.
What I am worried about is the shame factor for those who are not vociferous about their Trumplove. Preference falsification is a thing, and I bet it's an even bigger thing considering the douchebaggery over the past 4 years. As someone else commented on in another thread, those suburban moms vote. Team Trump was targeting them for a reason, and it wasn't because they thought they had no chance in hell of getting their vote.

It's the "my sister-in-law" types that NEVER say peep about politics, and really only care about their little insulated world. The chaos of protests spreading and news headlines about dark skinned people kicking white people out of their homes and breaking shit, etc. If you ONLY care about your little bubble, which candidate, just based on headlines, is MORE likely to protect your current lifestyle?

I think I've mentioned it before, but I do know quite a number of people that I guarantee you will vote for Trump, but would never say it, and might deny it even, if you asked. They likely can't stand Trump himself, but some of his talking points hit home, combined with the fact that these people have ALWAYS voted R straight ticket...they don't have a choice. Again, it's "which candidate is MORE likely to protect my safe, carefree, wealthy lifestyle?"
FWIW there is very little statistical evidence supporting the notion of a hidden or shy Trump voter.
Statistical evidence that's typically drawn from people indicating who they will vote for? :D
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by ImLawBoy »

Ralph-Wiggum wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 2:45 pm
ImLawBoy wrote: Wed Aug 26, 2020 2:02 pm Sure, but unless the reporter is a mind reader (or the person otherwise made it obvious), the person was rightly categorized as "undecided" at the time.
I get that he couldn't have known before, but at the time of this tweet the reporter knows the person is a birther and still labels them "an undecided voter".
I thought it was pretty clear he was talking about her as a previously undecided voter who is now leaning Trump.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Holman »

Independent and Undecided are very different things.

More and more young people consider themselves Independent because rejecting the status quo means rejecting entrenched party structures (or something). A big chunk of young Bernie supporters call themselves Independent, for example.

Democratic outreach to Independents means reaching those people, not pursuing 50-something voters who claim to have no real opinion of either candidate.

We have lots of Independents but relatively few Undecideds in this election.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Skinypupy »

Gods, these are shitty people (the RNC, not the new citizens)

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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Grifman »

This is interesting. The Trump campaign has cancelled all TV ad buys for the next couple of weeks. That's a total TV blackout as we move into the height of the campaign season. Two reasons have been suggested - one that they are short of cash (not likely), two, that their current ads just aren't working and they are having to retool. I'd say it's the latter, I've seen their ads and I just don't think they are working. I don't think any of the crap they are throwing at Biden are sticking to him.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by malchior »

Grifman wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:29 pm This is interesting. The Trump campaign has cancelled all TV ad buys for the next couple of weeks. That's a total TV blackout as we move into the height of the campaign season. Two reasons have been suggested - one that they are short of cash (not likely), two, that their current ads just aren't working and they are having to retool. I'd say it's the latter, I've seen their ads and I just don't think they are working. I don't think any of the crap they are throwing at Biden are sticking to him.
Option 3 - they are going with what actually works - social media targetting.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

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malchior wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:45 pm
Grifman wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:29 pm This is interesting. The Trump campaign has cancelled all TV ad buys for the next couple of weeks. That's a total TV blackout as we move into the height of the campaign season. Two reasons have been suggested - one that they are short of cash (not likely), two, that their current ads just aren't working and they are having to retool. I'd say it's the latter, I've seen their ads and I just don't think they are working. I don't think any of the crap they are throwing at Biden are sticking to him.
Option 3 - they are going with what actually works - social media targetting.
A lot of their prime target, the elderly, aren't on social media but devour TV.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by LordMortis »

I don't know about going forward but either his campaign or PACs advertise on nearly every page with advertising I open. Most especially google related pages, aka youtube. Ironically, every time I check worldometers for the latest covid stats there are adverts "asking" how Trump is doing or throwing shade at Biden.
Grifman wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:48 pm A lot of their prime target, the elderly, aren't on social media but devour TV.
Do they? Most of the elderly I know don't care for television. "Nothing is on and there are more ads than show.", though I don't know if that applies to their consumption of TV news or current affairs programming.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

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LordMortis wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:50 pm I don't know about going forward but either his campaign or PACs advertise on nearly every page with advertising I open. Most especially google related pages, aka youtube. Ironically, every time I check worldometers for the latest covid stats there are adverts "asking" how Trump is doing or throwing shade at Biden.
Grifman wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:48 pm A lot of their prime target, the elderly, aren't on social media but devour TV.
Do they? Most of the elderly I know don't care for television. "Nothing is on and there are more ads than show.", though I don't know if that applies to their consumption of TV news or current affairs programming.
Fox News is only turned off at my in-laws (74 and 78) house when I am there, because they know my politics and don't want to fight about it, or when there is a tennis grand slam on. On the other hand, Trump ads are redundant for them.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by malchior »

Just saw the opening of the RNC tonight and drive a stake through the Hatch Act. It has been circling the drain but it is dead*.

*Only applies when the GOP occupies the WH.

Edit: Also this sobering note. This whole thing is a fuck you to reason.

https://twitter.com/ChrisMegerian/statu ... 7015422976
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by $iljanus »

malchior wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 8:41 pm Just saw the opening of the RNC tonight and drive a stake through the Hatch Act. It has been circling the drain but it is dead*.

*Only applies when the GOP occupies the WH.

Edit: Also this sobering note. This whole thing is a fuck you to reason.

https://twitter.com/ChrisMegerian/statu ... 7015422976
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Smoove_B »

malchior wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 8:41 pm Just saw the opening of the RNC tonight and drive a stake through the Hatch Act. It has been circling the drain but it is dead*.
Republicans argued that the South Lawn forms part of the President's residence, and therefore should not be classed as part of a federal building

from here. They're beyond parody at this point. I genuinely want the GOP relegated to the dustbin of history at this point.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by malchior »

A few pundits said a 1979 OLC opinion does say that the people in official residences have a right to *private* space that does not fall under the Hatch Act. This looks pretty private, right?

Also, this is the bullshit I'm talking about. 'Exaggerated'. 'Searing critique'. :roll: It was lying. He lied. It isn't hard. They even fact check them and show how the speech is completely inaccurate throughout. If it was one inaccuracy...that's a slip. An entire speech of them is somehow just exaggeration. The NY Times' standards can't keep up with this mendacity.

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1299165867675131908
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Smoove_B »

What pandemic? But seriously. It's like he's working down a bucket list of norms to violate.

Enlarge Image

I legit need to go take a shot of liquor after seeing this photo
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by malchior »

A 'break with tradition' (otherwise known as lawlessness) - this is embarassing.

https://twitter.com/cnnbrk/status/1299142429908623361
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Jaymann »

Just as the attendees will be taking shots of hydroxychloroquine.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by malchior »

Trump just took credit for Laura's impact not being as bad as predicted. I'm surprised he didn't say he negotiated the storm surge to less than half advertised.

https://twitter.com/JamesFallows/status ... 2950011905
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Grifman »

LordMortis wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:50 pm I don't know about going forward but either his campaign or PACs advertise on nearly every page with advertising I open. Most especially google related pages, aka youtube. Ironically, every time I check worldometers for the latest covid stats there are adverts "asking" how Trump is doing or throwing shade at Biden.
Grifman wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:48 pm A lot of their prime target, the elderly, aren't on social media but devour TV.
Do they? Most of the elderly I know don't care for television. "Nothing is on and there are more ads than show.", though I don't know if that applies to their consumption of TV news or current affairs programming.
I've heard there this thing called FOX News :)
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Enough »

Woah guys with your silly cancel culture, I'm sure the RNC will be reimbursing taxpayers for the costs for renting the White House, security and setup!

I really hope future presidents don't follow this example, ugh.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Kraken »

Smoove_B wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 10:13 pm What pandemic? But seriously. It's like he's working down a bucket list of norms to violate.

Enlarge Image

I legit need to go take a shot of liquor after seeing this photo
They speak of Covid in the past tense now. I'm glad it's finally behind us.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by malchior »

This speech is horrible but it is clear he's really hammering on law and order. Maybe its desperation. Maybe it is a real weakness. If so, Biden is mostly powerless to do anything about it. The good thing about all this is I doubt anyone is watching it so the speech didn't do much damage. The bad thing is it didn't do much damage. Even though it was chock full of lying but that's normalized.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by naednek »

Enough wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 10:32 pm Woah guys with your silly cancel culture, I'm sure the RNC will be reimbursing taxpayers for the costs for renting the White House, security and setup!

I really hope future presidents don't follow this example, ugh.
wait till you see the 10 minute firework display...
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Enough »

naednek wrote: Fri Aug 28, 2020 12:08 am
Enough wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 10:32 pm Woah guys with your silly cancel culture, I'm sure the RNC will be reimbursing taxpayers for the costs for renting the White House, security and setup!

I really hope future presidents don't follow this example, ugh.
wait till you see the 10 minute firework display...
I just did, GTFO. OMG.

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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Isgrimnur »

Well, I suppose we will never again have to wonder when a narcissist has no limits placed upon them.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Defiant »

malchior wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:45 pm
Grifman wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 4:29 pm This is interesting. The Trump campaign has cancelled all TV ad buys for the next couple of weeks. That's a total TV blackout as we move into the height of the campaign season. Two reasons have been suggested - one that they are short of cash (not likely), two, that their current ads just aren't working and they are having to retool. I'd say it's the latter, I've seen their ads and I just don't think they are working. I don't think any of the crap they are throwing at Biden are sticking to him.
Option 3 - they are going with what actually works - social media targetting.
Option 4 - he's figured out how to funnel that money into his coffers instead. :wink:
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by milo »

Option 5. It no longer matters whether anyone votes or not. He's staying.
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Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown

Post by Little Raven »

malchior wrote: Thu Aug 27, 2020 11:19 pmThis speech is horrible but it is clear he's really hammering on law and order.
He's clearly hoping that Law and Order can be his Build That Wall for this election cycle. If I were a betting man, I wouldn't take those odds, but I suppose it's all he has.
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