Octopus Overlords

 withdraw theohall 
 


As it seems I might have made sense.

Sorry, it took me a little time to make my picture.

Wait - should we wait and lynch Mr.Bubbles - based on what Austin said???

Hello - I didn't see anyone discuss that.

I dunno... in the end I'm good either way as like you said, we'll have to take lumps at some point.

Austin wrote: Might as well as Bubbles or he or neither could zerk.

Grammar ftl.

stessier wrote:So should I scan Chaos tonight on the theory that we will have one trusted who will always live through the Night?

Or do I go on a hunch and try to find another wolf?

I'm 50-50....

I'd say scan chaos because right now your odds are retarded and he'd be someone they just couldnt deal with short of a splodey... But considering your hot streak, going for a wolf couldn't hurt.

Actually dont scan chaos... The wolves would probably use their splodey guy to take him out if you do and he comes up wolvesbane...

Bah, I think we were way to late to turn that around anyhow.

I think Theohall hit 8 before there was any withdraw.


Stessier - I hope you don't get all chewed up here.

Knowing my luck with late votes, etc - Mr.Bubbles is the zerker.

stessier wrote: Against theohall(6): Kraegor, mipe, Bakhtosh, Scoop20906, Semaj, Unagi, redrun, stessier

6?

Well yer obviously not the Mathematician

Chaosraven wrote:

stessier wrote: Against theohall(6): Kraegor, mipe, Bakhtosh, Scoop20906, Semaj, Unagi, redrun, stessier

6?

Well yer obviously not the Mathematician

I have no idea what you are talking about.

Semaj wrote:

stessier wrote:So should I scan Chaos tonight on the theory that we will have one trusted who will always live through the Night?

Or do I go on a hunch and try to find another wolf?

I'm 50-50....

I'd say scan chaos because right now your odds are retarded and he'd be someone they just couldnt deal with short of a splodey... But considering your hot streak, going for a wolf couldn't hurt.

Actually dont scan chaos... The wolves would probably use their splodey guy to take him out if you do and he comes up wolvesbane...

You still can't trust me beyond "not wolf", your "human" result could still mean Witch or Sorcerer.

stessier, (provided) you are "2 for 2".

You just MUST go for "3 for 3".


a stessfecta ©

Number of possible wolf roles:
6

Odds of both MR Bubbles and Theo (if proven to be wolves) are splodey:
1/6 * 1/6 = 1/36 = ~2.8%

Odds of Mr Bubbles and Theo not being splodey:
5/6 * 5/6 = 25/36 = ~69.4% chance

Odds of One or the other being splodey:
1/6 + 1/6 = 2/6 = 33.3333... bleh sounds wrong...
I guess I could go: 2.8 (both) + 69.4 (neither) = 72.2... 100-72.8 = 27.8


so..
2.8% chance both are
27.8% chance one is.
69.4% chance neither is.

Anyone see flaws in this?

stessier wrote:Meh...there could still be a witch. Hard to say unless both Bubbles and Theohall explode, in which case, with you as a Sorcerer, there would be no Evil Roles left.

I guess, when this whole tale is told, I will at least be able to say you were as wrong about me as I was about you.

Semaj wrote:Number of possible wolf roles:
6

Odds of both MR Bubbles and Theo (if proven to be wolves) are splodey:
1/6 * 1/6 = 1/36 = ~2.8%

Odds of Mr Bubbles and Theo not being splodey:
5/6 * 5/6 = 25/36 = ~69.4% chance

Odds of One or the other being splodey:
1/6 + 1/6 = 2/6 = 33.3333... bleh sounds wrong...
I guess I could go: 2.8 (both) + 69.4 (neither) = 72.2... 100-72.8 = 27.8


so..
2.8% chance both are
27.8% chance one is.
69.4% chance neither is.

Anyone see flaws in this?

2 of the 6 are evil HUMANS.

THERE. ARE. FOUR. LIGHTS!

Chaosraven wrote:

stessier wrote: Against theohall(6): Kraegor, mipe, Bakhtosh, Scoop20906, Semaj, Unagi, redrun, stessier

6?

Well yer obviously not the Mathematician

ROFL

I didnt even notice that

bwahahahaha

Steiss... You might be the wolf whisperer.. but addition, not so much.

I guess he could be a wolf-savant

Semaj wrote:Anyone see flaws in this?

Doesn't really matter. As soon as Remus gets back, Theohall is dead and you will have your answer.

Semaj, Purge, Unagi

lower on my list than most.

I'd like you to check redrun

Unagi wrote:I guess, when this whole tale is told, I will at least be able to say you were as wrong about me as I was about you.

I really hope I'm right. I promised Remus I would eat my action figure if I was wrong.

Austin wrote:

Austin wrote: Might as well as Bubbles or he or neither could zerk.

Grammar ftl.

Austin wrote:I see theohall is at 8 and I'll happily be the 7th or 8th

Numbers comprehension too.

Chaosraven wrote:I'd like you to check redrun

Just for ha-ha's...who would you check after redrun?

Chaosraven wrote:

Semaj wrote:Number of possible wolf roles:
6

Odds of both MR Bubbles and Theo (if proven to be wolves) are splodey:
1/6 * 1/6 = 1/36 = ~2.8%

Odds of Mr Bubbles and Theo not being splodey:
5/6 * 5/6 = 25/36 = ~69.4% chance

Odds of One or the other being splodey:
1/6 + 1/6 = 2/6 = 33.3333... bleh sounds wrong...
I guess I could go: 2.8 (both) + 69.4 (neither) = 72.2... 100-72.8 = 27.8


so..
2.8% chance both are
27.8% chance one is.
69.4% chance neither is.

Anyone see flaws in this?

2 of the 6 are evil HUMANS.

THERE. ARE. FOUR. LIGHTS!

o good god gezus...

ok


Both:
1/4 * 1/4 = 1/16 = 6.25%

Neither:
3/4 * 3/4 = 9/16 = 56.25 %

One:
56.25 + 6.25 = 62.5% 100-62.5 = 37.5 or 37.5%

Odds of 0 :
56.25%
odds of 1:
37.5%
odds of both:
6.25%

Heh... that better?

stessier wrote:

Unagi wrote:I guess, when this whole tale is told, I will at least be able to say you were as wrong about me as I was about you.

I really hope I'm right. I promised Remus I would eat my action figure if I was wrong.

Ha ha - better get out your salt shaker.

 Stessier 
 
If I give you you're first wolf I will be your hero.. and you will call me Legend.

Chaosraven wrote:Semaj, Purge, Unagi

lower on my list than most.

I'd like you to check redrun

That's not a bad idea either - redrun is some slick shit man.

Purge is my bet. I also feel like it's "too obvious", but meh - what's a guy to do.

My guess is that Kraegor is the Sorcerer.

Mr Bubbles wrote: Stessier 
 
If I give you you're first wolf I will be your hero.. and you will call me Legend.

You're a little late to the party.

Against theohall(8): Kraegor, mipe, Bakhtosh, Scoop20906, Semaj, Unagi, redrun, stessier

stessier wrote:

Mr Bubbles wrote: Stessier 
 
If I give you you're first wolf I will be your hero.. and you will call me Legend.

You're a little late to the party.

Against theohall(8): Kraegor, mipe, Bakhtosh, Scoop20906, Semaj, Unagi, redrun, stessier

Oh shit I am. Man I tell you I go out for lunch and there is three more pages. Thats some crazy stuff man.

Wait, does he know he's been named a wolf?

stessier wrote:

Semaj wrote:Anyone see flaws in this?

Doesn't really matter. As soon as Remus gets back, Theohall is dead and you will have your answer.

matters to me...

If one is a splodey they are going to kill you, mipe or chaos.

Mipe would protect you so he is an obvious choice. Chaos is someone they cant deal with and makes some sense if they think they can survive another day of scans or have something else up their sleeves (like you being the sorcerer).... And you are an obvious target if they do not want you alive any longer after going 2 for 2....

I am trying to calculate the odds of this so we can start working on protection schemes.

I was thinking if no one asplodes, mipe should protect you and the whore should talk to you. It'll technically give us two scans. One proving the whore (In case they talked to 2 wolves) and another scan of someone else. We might lose mipe this way, but it'll be for the greater good, I think.

Plus since the whore is a dude, I can pick on you for being third in line for guy love...

Unagi wrote:Wait, does he know he's been named a wolf?

Does it matter? Not like the reality will be a surprise to him.

Unagi wrote:Wait, does he know he's been named a wolf?

Im a what?!?!?!

Unagi wrote:Wait, does he know he's been named a wolf?

even money says no.

hahahahah

stessier wrote:

Unagi wrote:Wait, does he know he's been named a wolf?

Does it matter? Not like the reality will be a surprise to him.

Yet another thing you're wrong about. Im totally shocked. I really don't know what to say.

Mr Bubbles wrote:Yet another thing you're wrong about. Im totally shocked. I really don't know what to say.

Will you be as entertaining a target as Theo was? You're starting off well.

Vote Count - Tuesday

• Austin acc tru1cy(1)
  Austin wd tru1cy(0)
  Austin acc stessier(1)
  tru1cy acc mipe(1)
  tru1cy wd mipe(0)
  tru1cy acc stessier(2)
  Newcastle acc stessier(3)
  Unagi acc stessier(4)
  redrun acc stessier(5)
• theohall acc stessier(1)
• purge acc stessier(2)
• Kraegor acc theohall(1)
• mipe acc theohall(2)
• Bakhtosh acc theohall(3)
• "The Bull" acc theohall(4)
• Semaj acc theohall(5)
• Unagi acc theohall(6)
• redrun acc theohall(7)
• stessier acc theohall(8)
• Austin acc theohall(9)

Votes required for majority: 8

Against stessier(2): theohall, purge
Against theohall(9): Kraegor, mipe, Bakhtosh, Scoop20906, Semaj, Unagi, redrun, stessier, Austin

No Votes Registered: Chaosraven, Mr Bubbles, Newcastle, tru1cy

Voting is closed.

Semaj wrote:Plus since the whore is a dude, I can pick on you for being third in line for guy love...

Only a Man knows another Man's Sensitive Needs.

Mr Bubbles wrote:Man I tell you I go out for lunch and there is three more pages. Thats some crazy stuff man.

Mr Bubbles wrote:

Unagi wrote:Wait, does he know he's been named a wolf?

Im a what?!?!?!

Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

oh man i peed on my couch

F5 F5 F5 F5



Assuming I'm not blown to smithereens, does anyone disagree with the Whore coming forward and/or Chaos telling us if he was visited? I really can't see a downside to it.

Heck, even if I am blown to smitereens, the Whore should come out. The wolves know so we might as well. It doesn't increase the risk of 2 dying at night. And if there is ever a night where she doesn't visit someone, then someone was lying.

It's like in the movies when the unsuspecting chick walks into the house where everyone has just been murdered. She walks through the rooms, each time looking the wrong way or being distracted by something else - missing all of the bodies.

Until finally, the horrible realization dawns on her and the bodies are everywhere...she starts screaming and trys to run, only to trip, falling face to face with her now dead lover.

stessier wrote:

Mr Bubbles wrote:Yet another thing you're wrong about. Im totally shocked. I really don't know what to say.

Will you be as entertaining a target as Theo was? You're starting off well.

Are you mocking me?

Chaosraven wrote:

Semaj wrote:Plus since the whore is a dude, I can pick on you for being third in line for guy love...

Only a Man knows another Man's Sensitive Needs.

So you know the prostate secret?

stessier wrote:

Chaosraven wrote:Which obviously means you did not scan me (or claim to, as theohall would have it) else you would lean to one or the other.

I prefer to leave people enough rope to hang themselves. Which is also why I have not revealed my other scan yet.

Says the woflie seer.