O, the weather outside is...

[Alefroth]

Let's chill on the politics. While I think it's generally OK to comment on some of the misinformation that's out there regarding disaster response, as there's value in combating those, maybe we can try to frame it without politics if we're doing so in EBG and move it to R&P if we can't do that. em2nought, there's no place here for your bullshit misinformation conspiracy theories, and if they're repeated here they'll be removed and may lead to consequences depending on the circumstances.

Delete my account. Bye. Uncas has left the game. lol

I'd never thought of it before, but can't we delete our own accounts?

[Blackhawk]

Change your password to blind keyboard mashing, your email to something nonsensical, then log out. It's effectively gone.

[jztemple2]

Just in case you were wondering...

[Blackhawk]

Expensive. Good thing we saved all that money by not blowing it on the environment!

[jztemple2]

Updated county impacts as of noon today. Amount of rainfall expected has doubled and sustained winds up by 20 mph, gusts up by 10 mph. Nasty . Glad I've got the septic folks coming tomorrow morning to pump the tank.

[jztemple2]

5pm EDT advisory. A glimmer of good news for us and our west coast family. The track of Milton has pulled (or is it a slice?) a bit to the right. The eye coming ashore significantly south of Tampa Bay would actually pull water out of the bay, limiting the storm surge. The track crosses Florida and exits south of us, putting us on the weaker left quadrant. But it could wobble back so we'll just keep waiting...

[Isgrimnur]

[Isgrimnur]

Earliest Reasonable Arrival Time: the primary graphic, which identifies the time window that users at individual locations can safely assume will be free from tropical-storm-force winds. Specifically, this is the time before which there is no more than a 1-in-10 (10 percent) chance of seeing the onset of sustained tropical-storm-force winds – the period during which preparations should ideally be completed for those with a low tolerance for risk.

[Isgrimnur]

Most Likely Arrival Time: the graphic that identifies the time before or after which the onset of tropical-storm-force winds is equally likely. This graphic would be more appropriate for users who are willing to risk not having completed all their preparations before the storm arrives.

[jztemple2]

10pm CDT update. Another slight shift to the right. Fingers crossed that these shifts are maintained or even increase. It will save a good deal of the St. Pete/Tampa metro area from heavy storm surge and will lessen the winds we see here, although there will be more rain. If the shift continues I wouldn't be surprised to see the Naples area given a higher estimated peak storm surge.

[Grifman]

Live web cam from multiple locations:

https://www.youtube.com/live/Yu9hC5MokC ... P2-A724845

[jztemple2]

In spite of forecasts that today would be pretty dry, it has been raining most of the time since sunrise . I half expected the septic people to bail on me but they did show up and fortuitously it stopped raining just after they arrived... till about ten minutes after they left. But the important thing is that even if the ground gets saturated I have a thousand gallon tank available.

Little change in the forecast cone. If the storm moves along the track in the center of the cone Tampa Bay will be spared a lot of the surge, but the Port Charlotte/Cape Coral area will see bad surge. However, the estimate of effects for our county look better than the estimate yesterday:

[Pyperkub]

Just in case you were wondering...

I'm assuming Helene is not included yet.

[WYBaugh]

Tornadoes are going crazy is south and central Florida. 17 tornado warnings active right now and up towards you jz. Be careful down there.

[jztemple2]

I'm assuming Helene is not included yet.

It will probably be months before the full cost is assessed.

Tornadoes are going crazy is south and central Florida. 17 tornado warnings active right now and up towards you jz. Be careful down there.

Yeah, I been watching the news. Apparently there is an enhanced chance of EF-2 tornados all afternoon and evening. A 10% chance of an EF-2 within 25 miles of any point in the alert area.

[Pyperkub]

Trig posted this music fundraiser supporting North Carolina Helene disaster relief over at qt3:

Insanely stacked 136-track compilation for flood relief in North Carolina:

100% of proceeds split evenly between Community Foundation of Western North Carolina, Rural Organizing and Resilience (ROAR), and BeLoved Asheville

[YellowKing]

NIce compilation. In other music news, Ben Folds and other TBA artists are putting on a concert here for Hurricane Helene relief It's a small 1100 seat venue so tickets were too rich for my blood ($100+), but it's cool to see

[msteelers]

Tornadoes are going crazy is south and central Florida. 17 tornado warnings active right now and up towards you jz. Be careful down there.

I'm still getting weather alert text messages for Port St Lucie. Multiple tornado warnings throughout the day, flash flood alerts, and now a hail alert.

[WYBaugh]

Tornadoes are going crazy is south and central Florida. 17 tornado warnings active right now and up towards you jz. Be careful down there.

I'm still getting weather alert text messages for Port St Lucie. Multiple tornado warnings throughout the day, flash flood alerts, and now a hail alert.

Yeah, you were all over Ryan Hall's and Max Velocity's live streaming. Ryan had to ask some AI bot how to pronounce St. Lucie

[Unagi]

Just in case you were wondering...

I'm worried that Milton has someone holding his beer.

[Holman]

[url=https://cardinalsatthewindow.bandcamp.c ... e-window-2]Trig posted this music fundraiser supporting North Carolina Helene disaster relief over at qt3:

[...]

Insanely stacked 136-track compilation for flood relief in North Carolina:

100% of proceeds split evenly between Community Foundation of Western North Carolina, Rural Organizing and Resilience (ROAR), and BeLoved Asheville

Wow--That is an incredible lineup of talent!

[jztemple2]

The 5pm EDT advisory. The track has wiggled back to the left a bit which brings the eye right over us again. The NHC track tool shows that at 2am, assuming the eye follows the track, the center of the storm will be over Lakeland, FL with winds of a strong Cat I.



The Spectrum weather storm forecast for our county is a bit better still, although I'm pretty sure we've had more than five inches of rain already. Interestingly the "Worst Weather" start time has been pulled back to 9pm tonight. Milton has dropped to a Cat III which, according to the experts, means the storm winds aren't as strong but would be in a bigger radius. I'm OK with that .

[jztemple2]

Well, that was exciting. Just went through a tornado warning. Waterspout just off Cocoa Beach, moving at 40 mph headed in our direction. We moved to our long walk-through closet with chairs, back up lights and my phone. Sadly we don't have the helmets and the whistle they recommend. Happily the rotation dissipated before it reached half-way to us.

[jztemple2]

Tornadoes are going crazy is south and central Florida. 17 tornado warnings active right now and up towards you jz. Be careful down there.

You be careful too up in Jacksonville, from Yale Climate Connections just now:

When Milton emerges off the Florida east coast on Thursday morning, the hurricane’s wind field will be even larger, driving a storm surge of three to five feet to the coast of northeastern Florida and Georgia. Water levels at Jacksonville, Florida, are predicted to peak at about four feet above the high tide mark near 3 p.m. EDT Thursday, which would be the highest water level ever observed (records go back to 1928). Widespread evacuation orders have been given in the region.

And there is this:


and...

[msteelers]

Yeah, you were all over Ryan Hall's and Max Velocity's live streaming. Ryan had to ask some AI bot how to pronounce St. Lucie

Well that’s not a great sign. Watching local news and the tornadoes did a lot of damage already, and the storm hasn’t even made landfall yet.

Also, Siri would always say “port street Lucie “

[jztemple2]

After a day filled with rain, gusty winds and a nearby tornado, since about sunset it has been all calm outside. Practically no wind, the rain has stopped and it looks to be nice for a while at least (we are where the first "a" in Cape Canaveral is located).

[jztemple2]

Pretty exciting today down in Miami! Those are waterspouts by the way.

[jztemple2]

Power outages and some more radar as of about an hour ago:

[Blackhawk]

Going to bed. Good luck and stay safe.

[jztemple2]

Going to bed. Good luck and stay safe.

Thanks, we're hoping for the best too.

Looking at the 11pm EDT advisory, figuring out where the eye is, the rate of travel and the distance to us, I figure the eye will go over us at about 4:30am. Unfortunately, just like Hurricane Ian a couple of years ago, it will be dark and so nothing to really see. So I'm hoping to sleep through it...

We just got a wind gust and I heard the roof creak a bit

[Isgrimnur]

Tropicana Field

[Punisher]

By the way, I don't know if folks are aware of this, but hurricanes don't move on their own, they are just swirling whirlpools of air. It is other factors like fronts and lows and highs that move a hurricane around. It is what makes hurricane path forecasting so tricky.

Bullshit. It's well-known that hurricanes are caused and steered by wind turbines. Do your own research!

You forgot government owned and operated wind turbines.

[Punisher]

anyhow.

Some interesting flight patterns in the Asheville area right now. I assume it's damage assement, etc.

Obviously they are drawing a sailboat.

[hitbyambulance]

watching live on WESH 2 - according to the news anchor, 27% of Florida is without power right now, and the percentage is expected to rise over the next few hours

[jztemple2]

Well crap, we've got some damage . I fell asleep at about midnight, sleep solidly till about six. Woke up and it was quiet outside. Then, in a couple of minutes, whoosh!, the eye finished passing over up and it started blowing really, really hard. I waited a few minutes then went out on the covered porch and also looked out from the garage. A few shingle tabs on the ground but nothing else.

Then a lot of crunching aluminum noise and the entire aluminum roof over my back patio tore off, thankfully not while I out there. And it shredded the screening over the pool cage. At least the pieces didn't end up hitting my neighbor's house, but I think they did damage the shingle roof and maybe the solar panels for the pool. I'll have to wait till daylight and for the wind to drop to assess the damage.

We never lost power, at least not so far. It's still blowing hard and from a different direction than during the night so we might still lost power.

[Grifman]

Disturbing new social media tend - influencers deciding to ride out the storm for views:

https://www.vanityfair.com/style/story/ ... ation-book

[msteelers]

I hate not knowing how our old house managed in the storm. We have friends and family in the area that can go check it out for us, but it’s not safe to drive just yet.

[Brian]

Milton dropped a dumpster bin on this Guys house

[Unagi]

I'm hearing the storm hit a large mass of dry air - and that ended up keeping it to the level it was. It could have been much worse, but it hit a 'dry' wall that tore it up.

[Grifman]

Looks like Tampa dodged a bullet, relatively speaking. The predicted massive storm surge and related flooding does not appear to have happened:

Hurricane Milton exits Florida without setting off feared flooding -

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/hurric ... 024-10-10/