Octopus Overlords

El Guapo wrote: ↑Thu Mar 07, 2024 6:26 pm

YellowKing wrote: ↑Thu Mar 07, 2024 5:54 pm There are signs of hope. Trump's campaign is not financially sound, and his primary showing still highlighted major weaknesses.

All it would take is a relatively small number of Never Trumpers and Haley die-hards to stay home and the election's over for him. And I expect the Biden campaign will be going on the offensive big-time as we get closer to the election.

I've seen a number of political prognosticators still rather bullish on Biden and saying that the polling is wrong.

There isn't really much reason to think that the polling is wrong. Plus if it's wrong, there's at least as much reason to think that it's understating Trump's vote (since he beat polls in both 2016 and 2020).

It's still fairly early in the race, though. The more optimistic take is that Biden has been in the public eye and under attack for awhile now, while Trump has not been. And that direct exposure of Trump to the public tends to cause his support to go down.

Online opt-in polls can produce misleading results, especially for young people and Hispanic adults
By Andrew Mercer, Courtney Kennedy and Scott Keeter

As polling takes center stage again this election year, understanding its strengths and weaknesses is critical. At Pew Research Center, we’ve looked hard at the advantages and limitations of our methods. We’ve also contributed to the survey profession’s understanding of data quality problems in polls that use online “opt-in” sampling – an approach where people are not selected randomly but are instead recruited from a variety of online sources like banner ads or social media.

In this analysis, we’ll show how some recent findings from an opt-in poll may have unintentionally misled the public about the sensitive issue of Holocaust denial among young Americans.

El Guapo wrote: ↑Fri Mar 08, 2024 4:42 pm I think politicians have started to realize over the past decade that giving the SOTU is a sucker's job. You just inevitably look small and petty following the guy giving a 60 - 90 minute speech before Congress, plus almost no one sticks around for the rebuttal after the speech. So I think the talent level of the rebuttal speeches has taken a major dive.

Isgrimnur wrote: ↑Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:33 pm Did Bobby Jindal ruin it in 2009?

Isgrimnur wrote: ↑Fri Mar 08, 2024 2:33 pm Biden, Harris to visit every battleground state in March

Biden will travel to New Hampshire on Monday, Wisconsin on Wednesday and Michigan on Thursday, according to the campaign.

Ahead of that, he will visit Pennsylvania on Friday and Georgia on Saturday, directly following his State of the Union address, and more travel to battleground states will be announced throughout the month.

The campaign has deemed March the “I’m on Board” Month of Action, which includes the travel from Biden, Harris and key officials and surrogates, as well efforts to expand volunteer engagement and scale up battleground staff.

The campaign will launch a $30 million six-week advertising spend, which is more spending in six weeks than it did in all of 2023 after the president announced his reelection bid in April.

hepcat wrote: ↑Fri Mar 08, 2024 9:12 pm

Isgrimnur wrote: ↑Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:33 pm Did Bobby Jindal ruin it in 2009?

The Mr. Rogers presentation?

Kraken wrote: ↑Fri Mar 08, 2024 10:32 pm He has a lot of work to do in MI. While the UAW leadership is four-square behind him, the rank and file are chafing at his emphasis on EVs, which require a lot less labor than ICEs and are mostly (Tesla) built by nonunion shops and suppliers. And the large Arab population is not happy about our supplying the weapons for what they see as the genocide in Gaza. The state would go to trump if the election were tomorrow.

hepcat wrote: ↑Sat Mar 09, 2024 12:54 pm While I do have some concerns about his age, when I see people slam Biden for his performance I have to wonder what their agenda is. He's done a pretty good job, in spite of having a completely effed senate run by fringe elements.

He said on Oct. 11 that a future Trump administration would “fully support Israel defeating, dismantling, and permanently destroying the terrorist group Hamas,” while telling the Republican Jewish Coalition later that month that Hamas fighters “will burn forever in the eternal pit of hell." That month, his campaign also said that, if elected again, he would bar Gaza residents from entering the U.S. as part of an expanded travel ban.

Holman wrote: ↑Sat Mar 09, 2024 9:26 pm

Trump praises an antisemitic and anti-LGBTC authoritarian for not having to put up with criticism.

Kraken wrote: ↑Sun Mar 10, 2024 9:10 pm I need the teacup gag explained.

Pyperkub wrote: ↑Mon Mar 11, 2024 2:27 am Isn't it past your jail time?

Wow.

The woman whose story Alabama Sen. Katie Britt appeared to have shared in the Republican response to the State of the Union as an example of President Joe Biden’s failed immigration policies told CNN she was trafficked before Biden’s presidency and said legislators lack empathy when using the issue of human trafficking for political purposes.

“I hardly ever cooperate with politicians, because it seems to me that they only want an image. They only want a photo — and that to me is not fair,” Karla Jacinto told CNN on Sunday.

CNN’s Freedom Project, which seeks to raise awareness about modern-day slavery, previously profiled Jacinto’s story.

Jacinto told CNN that Mexican politicians took advantage of her by using her story for political purposes and that it’s happened again in the United States.
...
Jacinto said she met the senator at an event at the southern border with other government officials and anti-human-trafficking activists, instead of one-on-one as Britt stated. She also said that she was never trafficked in the United States, as Britt appeared to suggest.
...
In a prior statement to CNN, a spokesperson for Britt’s office neither confirmed nor denied Britt was sharing Jacinto’s account, but said the story the senator told “was 100% correct.”

Carpet_pissr wrote: ↑Sun Mar 10, 2024 2:25 pm Not sure if it was mentioned, but not only did he invite him to Mar-A-Lago (with him pretending to still be POTUS, with US flags, etc, as if it were a heads of state meeting) they also went to some concert/performance together. ?!

waitingtoconnect wrote:Voters have repeatedly given Biden the thumbs down on his handling of the economy. An NBC News poll last month found voters trust Trump more on economic matters by 20 points.

waitingtoconnect wrote: ↑Tue Mar 12, 2024 8:27 am https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets ... r-BB1jGmH0

Voters have repeatedly given Biden the thumbs down on his handling of the economy. An NBC News poll last month found voters trust Trump more on economic matters by 20 points.



Why are people so stupid…

LawBeefaroni wrote: ↑Tue Mar 12, 2024 3:22 pm I'm terrible with dates of personal events so that doesn't stand out to me.

But we should just make both candidates take an SAT test. Or at least a high school enrollment test. Just to see what we're working with.