World of Darkness-Kine Strikes Back-Game Over-Kindred Win

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Remus West
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Post by Remus West »

Austin wrote:I do enjoy the more complicated rulesets. I liked the one with Smutly and Genghis and I doing the, "I'm the priest/mage" dance. I don't recall... why didn't we convert Chaos on night 1?
Because he and I being on the same team would have be bad. One of us would get lynched and the entire town would have turned on the other. Plus, I have killed him first night everytime I was a bad guy. :twisted:
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Post by Austin »

Scoop20906 wrote:I'm thinking out loud here and would love some feedback.

Since everyone is assuming that we have three vamps now, wouldn't the best first day strategy be to try to figure out who the vamps would convert?

If I were a vamp, who would I want on my side? One of the vets, right? Also, someone that is good at convincing others.

To me, that makes the following conversion suspects:

Remus West
Austin
Grundbegriff

Comments?
I'm a horrible conversion target. I actually gave Newcastle and whoever the other one was a big, wtf are you doing converting me, in Chaos' game. At least when Tru1cy might be the mage. Ralph Wiggum, Tru1cy and others really like to scan me on night 1. I'm hoping that dies out at some point before I'm bad again though. :P
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Post by Kraegor »

I'm thinking out loud here and would love some feedback.

Since everyone is assuming that we have three vamps now, wouldn't the best first day strategy be to try to figure out who the vamps would convert?

If I were a vamp, who would I want on my side? One of the vets, right? Also, someone that is good at convincing others.

To me, that makes the following conversion suspects:
I dunno, prolly better to get a single here and try to steal third. then Bugsy can try for a bunt and and we got bases loaded with Lou up at bat.....


--------------------------------

Guess all ya want. The guessing is grounded on what? You do not know the original two. How ya gonna guess who they may have chosen?

You can guess on the third. which is a SINGLE moving target.

Or you can guess on the TWO, which are TWO static targets.
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Post by Austin »

Kraegor wrote:
I'm thinking out loud here and would love some feedback.

Since everyone is assuming that we have three vamps now, wouldn't the best first day strategy be to try to figure out who the vamps would convert?

If I were a vamp, who would I want on my side? One of the vets, right? Also, someone that is good at convincing others.

To me, that makes the following conversion suspects:
I dunno, prolly better to get a single here and try to steal third. then Bugsy can try for a bunt and and we got bases loaded with Lou up at bat.....


--------------------------------

Guess all ya want. The guessing is grounded on what? You do not know the original two. How ya gonna guess who they may have chosen?

You can guess on the third. which is a SINGLE moving target.

Or you can guess on the TWO, which are TWO static targets.
Who's on first?
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Post by Scoop20906 »

Austin wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:I'm thinking out loud here and would love some feedback.

Since everyone is assuming that we have three vamps now, wouldn't the best first day strategy be to try to figure out who the vamps would convert?

If I were a vamp, who would I want on my side? One of the vets, right? Also, someone that is good at convincing others.

To me, that makes the following conversion suspects:

Remus West
Austin
Grundbegriff

Comments?
I'm a horrible conversion target. I actually gave Newcastle and whoever the other one was a big, wtf are you doing converting me, in Chaos' game. At least when Tru1cy might be the mage. Ralph Wiggum, Tru1cy and others really like to scan me on night 1. I'm hoping that dies out at some point before I'm bad again though. :P
Ok, good points. So, then its acceptable to believe they have gone with the quiet ones....
Thanks for the feedback.
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;)

Post by Grundbegriff »

Scoop20906 wrote:If I were a vamp, who would I want on my side? One of the vets, right? Also, someone that is good at convincing others.

To me, that makes the following conversion suspects:

Remus West
Austin
Grundbegriff

Comments?
You mean, because nobody would ever suspect anyone on that list?
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Post by Kraegor »

scoop wrote: So, then its acceptable to believe they have gone with the quiet ones....
just as it is acceptable to believe they chose a high profile target.

the point is to manipulate suspicion based on who is chosen. The advantage to being evil is the ability to sculpt the argument based on your needs.

If it's so damn obvious to never choose a high profile noisy target....please locate the paradox....
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Post by Remus West »

Scoop20906 wrote:I'm thinking out loud here and would love some feedback.

Since everyone is assuming that we have three vamps now, wouldn't the best first day strategy be to try to figure out who the vamps would convert?

If I were a vamp, who would I want on my side? One of the vets, right? Also, someone that is good at convincing others.

To me, that makes the following conversion suspects:

Remus West
Austin
Grundbegriff

Comments?
Yes and No. As has been mentioned, it depends upon who the originals were. Lets say you and Austin were already Vamps, then why would you add myself or Grundbegriff? You would already have the veteran you were looking for to lead you. I would think you want to convert someone you expect to live for a while (which is why, despite the vote for him I doubt pr0ner would be the convert as folks eventually decide his silence means he is evil). I would convert someone that I thought had a chance at getting through to the end of the game.
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Post by triggercut »

Grundbegriff wrote:
triggercut wrote:might not be the worst play in the world for the Priest to come out right now and let us know.
Image :idea:
Not saying it's the *best* play either. It's high risk.

But, given a very, very narrow set of circumstances (Peter Priest protect Ken Kine, and hears from tru1cy that his protection saved Ken's life) it has a chance to be effective. In that odd and rare situation, the Priest would be able to reveal himself as a trusted villager, as well as one other. Add to that the ability of the purported Priest to then be able to protect himself on night two, and we have a hub at a developing wheel of trust.

I dunno, just throwing mud at the wall right now. Having never experienced a first day like this where there's literally ZERO information about whom the village should stake is a first for me, and I'm coming up with goofy scenarios to try to ferret out some nugget of information, however small or risky.
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Post by Grundbegriff »

Kraegor wrote:the point is to manipulate suspicion based on who is chosen. The advantage to being evil is the ability to sculpt the argument based on your needs.
You seem to have thought this through rather carefully.
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Post by Remus West »

Austin wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:I'm thinking out loud here and would love some feedback.

Since everyone is assuming that we have three vamps now, wouldn't the best first day strategy be to try to figure out who the vamps would convert?

If I were a vamp, who would I want on my side? One of the vets, right? Also, someone that is good at convincing others.

To me, that makes the following conversion suspects:

Remus West
Austin
Grundbegriff

Comments?
I'm a horrible conversion target. I actually gave Newcastle and whoever the other one was a big, wtf are you doing converting me, in Chaos' game. At least when Tru1cy might be the mage. Ralph Wiggum, Tru1cy and others really like to scan me on night 1. I'm hoping that dies out at some point before I'm bad again though. :P
tru1cy wrote:Turn order:

Mage scan or pm or transfer power
Priest protects
Vampire kill/make a childer
Austin, imo you would make an excellent conversion first night for the exact reason you named. Since the Mage gets his answer BEFORE the conversion you would show as human and thus be trusted and cleared. That is the biggest problem for the Mage on the night of conversion since he can not fully trust his target if they came up clean.
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Post by Austin »

Scoop20906 wrote:
Austin wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:I'm thinking out loud here and would love some feedback.

Since everyone is assuming that we have three vamps now, wouldn't the best first day strategy be to try to figure out who the vamps would convert?

If I were a vamp, who would I want on my side? One of the vets, right? Also, someone that is good at convincing others.

To me, that makes the following conversion suspects:

Remus West
Austin
Grundbegriff

Comments?
I'm a horrible conversion target. I actually gave Newcastle and whoever the other one was a big, wtf are you doing converting me, in Chaos' game. At least when Tru1cy might be the mage. Ralph Wiggum, Tru1cy and others really like to scan me on night 1. I'm hoping that dies out at some point before I'm bad again though. :P
Ok, good points. So, then its acceptable to believe they have gone with the quiet ones....
Thanks for the feedback.
As was mentioned earlier, the very fact we are poor choices might make us good choices. I do know however that I have been a night 1 scan a lot of the recent games.
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Post by Austin »

Remus' post above makes a good point too. So I'd be an awesome target. Too bad they missed out. ;)
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Post by Kraegor »

Grundbegriff wrote: You seem to have thought this through rather carefully.
good point, I'll try to be less tailored in the future. I hate seeming.
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Post by Scoop20906 »

Remus West wrote:Austin, imo you would make an excellent conversion first night for the exact reason you named. Since the Mage gets his answer BEFORE the conversion you would show as human and thus be trusted and cleared. That is the biggest problem for the Mage on the night of conversion since he can not fully trust his target if they came up clean.
So, following that logic, then the mage should have PMed on the first night to reveal himself and in hopes of building trust with one villager?
That is provided he didn't PM a vamp. :twisted:
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Post by Lassr »

Scoop20906 wrote:So, then its acceptable to believe they have gone with the quiet ones....
just as acceptable to think that they chose you and you're now throwing up this big "who would they choose" shield for protection.
The only reason people get lost in thought is because it's unfamiliar territory.

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Post by triggercut »

Austin wrote:Remus' post above makes a good point too. So I'd be an awesome target. Too bad they missed out. ;)
Quit looking at my neck like that dude. I ain't your dinner.
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Post by Kraegor »

This could happen to you, baby. This could happen TO ANYBODY!
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Post by Scoop20906 »

Lassr wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:So, then its acceptable to believe they have gone with the quiet ones....
just as acceptable to think that they chose you and you're now throwing up this big "who would they choose" shield for protection.
HA, Lassr still doesn't trust me. :D
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Post by Lassr »

Scoop20906 wrote:
Lassr wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:So, then its acceptable to believe they have gone with the quiet ones....
just as acceptable to think that they chose you and you're now throwing up this big "who would they choose" shield for protection.
HA, Lassr still doesn't trust me. :D
I trust no one at the moment.
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Post by Grundbegriff »

Posting Frequency: Night One:

(15) Austin
(15) Grundbegriff
(14) Remus West
(09) Unagi
(07) Scoop20609
(05) Kraegor
(03) Chaosraven
(02) Lassr
(02) triggercut
(01) Genghis
(01) Newcastle
(00) pr0ner
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Post by Austin »

Scoop20906 wrote:
Lassr wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:So, then its acceptable to believe they have gone with the quiet ones....
just as acceptable to think that they chose you and you're now throwing up this big "who would they choose" shield for protection.
HA, Lassr still doesn't trust me. :D
Why should he? I don't trust you either fwiw. I can see you playing the "I'm a new guy card" as a vampire. I could see you being recruited to do that.


Lassr hasn't voted for me yet which is odd but perhaps he enjoyed our spoon, or perhaps he has forgiven me AND GRUND for that other game.

(to be clear, Grund is not bolded.)
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Post by Grundbegriff »

Posting Frequency: Day One: So Far as of This Point:

(15) Austin
(08) Grundbegriff
(06) Kraegor
(03) Lassr
(05) Remus West
(07) Scoop20609
(06) trig
(00) Chaosraven
(00) Genghis
(00) Newcastle
(00) pr0ner
(00) Unagi
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Post by Scoop20906 »

Lassr wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:
Lassr wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:So, then its acceptable to believe they have gone with the quiet ones....
just as acceptable to think that they chose you and you're now throwing up this big "who would they choose" shield for protection.
HA, Lassr still doesn't trust me. :D
I trust no one at the moment.
Me neither. I'm just trying to figure out a strategy to make my first vote for other than the eney meney miney moe method I used the last two games. Might have to go with eney meney miney moe tho...
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Post by Grundbegriff »

Scoop20906 wrote:HA, Lassr still doesn't trust me. :D
That's an odd thing to say.

Why would Lassr especially doubt you (given that he knew that he was evil in the previous game), and why would Lassr especially trust you?

In fact, why would Lassr have an opinion about you at all, Fangthane?
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Post by Genghis »

Austin wrote:Genghis would be my first choice to sire as a baddie.
Day 1 and already have someone wanting to eat my brains, or is that drink my blood. Austin is always tricky enough to be high on the suspect list.
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Post by Scoop20906 »

Grundbegriff wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:HA, Lassr still doesn't trust me. :D
That's an odd thing to say.

Why would Lassr especially doubt you (given that he knew that he was evil in the previous game), and why would Lassr especially trust you?

In fact, why would Lassr have an opinion about you at all, Fangthane?
Good point. I guess I was just flashbacking to the last game when Lassr (who turned out to be a wolf) was constantly questioning my wolfishness. At the time, I didn't know if he was evil or not.
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Post by Chaosraven »

Low odds: vamps chose priest who protected himself

Incredibly low odds: vamps chose someone who was not the priest, but was protected by the priest

Favorable odds: vamps converted someone

Low odds: vamps converted the mage (equal odds to everyone else, but 1 in 10 nonvamps is Mage)

12 Players, most probable makeup is 3 vamps, 1 Mage, 1 Priest, 7 Humans.

Most probable outcome: Mage knows 1 player as Human / Vamp, low odds conversion target. Priest protected self now vulnerable night 2. Vamps converted.

High profile targets for Night 1 Scan by Mage: Austin, Grundbegriff, Remus West.

Low Profile targets for Conversion: Unagi, Genghis, pr0ner, Scoop, triggercut, newcastle
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Post by triggercut »

Grundbegriff wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:HA, Lassr still doesn't trust me. :D
That's an odd thing to say.

Why would Lassr especially doubt you (given that he knew that he was evil in the previous game), and why would Lassr especially trust you?

In fact, why would Lassr have an opinion about you at all, Fangthane?
...and I was wondering if I was alone in noticing that.

Grund articulated my raised eyebrow better than I could, though.
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Post by Chaosraven »

If the Mage scanned a High Profile player, I would imagine Vamps chose a low profile player to add to their ranks.

Converting a High Profile player increases the likelihood that player would be scanned or lynched early.
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Post by Grundbegriff »

Scoop20906 wrote:Good point. I guess I was just flashbacking to the last game when Lassr (who turned out to be a wolf) was constantly questioning my wolfishness. At the time, I didn't know if he was evil or not.
Yeah, but now you know that he was a wolf, and even then, you knew that you were not.

Why would you fret that he doesn't trust you?
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Post by Scoop20906 »

Grundbegriff wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:Good point. I guess I was just flashbacking to the last game when Lassr (who turned out to be a wolf) was constantly questioning my wolfishness. At the time, I didn't know if he was evil or not.
Yeah, but now you know that he was a wolf, and even then, you knew that you were not.

Why would you fret that he doesn't trust you?
Not a fret. Just laughing.
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Post by Grundbegriff »

Chaosraven wrote: Incredibly low odds: vamps chose someone who was not the priest, but was protected by the priest

Low odds: vamps chose priest who protected himself
Low odds: vamps converted the mage (equal odds to everyone else, but 1 in 10 nonvamps is Mage)

Favorable odds: vamps converted someone
12 Players, most probable makeup is 3 vamps, 1 Mage, 1 Priest, 7 Humans.

Most probable outcome: Mage knows 1 player as Human / Vamp, low odds conversion target. Priest protected self now vulnerable night 2. Vamps converted.
Your grasp of the obvious is a credit to your species.
High profile targets for Night 1 Scan by Mage: Austin, Grundbegriff, Remus West.

Low Profile targets for Conversion: Unagi, Genghis, pr0ner, Scoop, triggercut, newcastle
I'd hardly call triggercut a low-profile target. His way of playing makes him like the folks in your first group.

Furthermore, you've neglected "low-profile targets for Night 1 Scan by Mage" and "High Profile targets for Conversion". Those are also viable strategies.
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Post by Lassr »

Austin wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:
Lassr wrote:
Scoop20906 wrote:So, then its acceptable to believe they have gone with the quiet ones....
just as acceptable to think that they chose you and you're now throwing up this big "who would they choose" shield for protection.
HA, Lassr still doesn't trust me. :D
Why should he? I don't trust you either fwiw. I can see you playing the "I'm a new guy card" as a vampire. I could see you being recruited to do that.


Lassr hasn't voted for me yet which is odd but perhaps he enjoyed our spoon, or perhaps he has forgiven me AND GRUND for that other game.

(to be clear, Grund is not bolded.)
holding grudges for too long are unhealthy...

speaking of unhealthy, I've had severe anal itch and a burning sensation when I pee ever since our "spooning"...
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Post by Scoop20906 »

I want to point out that since the vamps seemingly took the safe route and converted someone on night one, they would also probably take the safe route and convert a low profile person.
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Post by Grundbegriff »

Scoop20906 wrote:
Grundbegriff wrote:Why would you fret that he doesn't trust you?
Not a fret. Just laughing.
Fine, but it's not the fretting/laughing part that's interesting. It's the trusting/not-trusting part.

But that's ok. We'll let this steep for a time.
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Post by Lassr »

Chaosraven wrote:Low odds: vamps chose priest who protected himself

Incredibly low odds: vamps chose someone who was not the priest, but was protected by the priest

Favorable odds: vamps converted someone

Low odds: vamps converted the mage (equal odds to everyone else, but 1 in 10 nonvamps is Mage)

12 Players, most probable makeup is 3 vamps, 1 Mage, 1 Priest, 7 Humans.

Most probable outcome: Mage knows 1 player as Human / Vamp, low odds conversion target. Priest protected self now vulnerable night 2. Vamps converted.

High profile targets for Night 1 Scan by Mage: Austin, Grundbegriff, Remus West.

Low Profile targets for Conversion: Unagi, Genghis, pr0ner, Scoop, triggercut, newcastle
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Post by Chaosraven »

12 Players, Probability 3 Vamps

-1 Lynch = 11

Night Two -1 = 10

Day Two -1 = 9

Night Three -1 = 8

Day Three -1 = 7

Night Four Vamps Win if none Found in Day 1, 2, 3 Lynch

Assuming priest protected self Night One: Protect Self Night Three - Odds of being chosen Vamp Kill = 1 in 6

The odds that the Priest will be able to effectively produce a Protection without protecting another player is minimal.
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Post by Grundbegriff »

Lassr wrote:speaking of unhealthy, I've had severe anal itch and a burning sensation when I pee ever since our "spooning"...
Can we lynch Lassr on principle?
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Post by Lassr »

Grundbegriff wrote:
Your grasp of the obvious is a credit to your species.
DOH! Grund beat me to the punch.
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