A low-pressure system pushing northwest through the Gulf of Mexico has a strong chance of becoming a tropical storm in the next two days and threatening U.S. states on northern coast of the gulf, the National Hurricane Center said Thursday.
The system, now over the central part of the gulf, already has prompted some major international oil companies to evacuate workers from offshore oil platforms.
The Miami-based hurricane center said the low pressure area was producing a large area of clouds, thunderstorms and gusty winds as it headed slowly to the northwest.
"This system has a high chance ... 70 percent ... of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours ... Interests along the entire northern Gulf of Mexico coast should monitor the progress of this disturbance," the NHC said.
Some computer models showed the developing system, which would be called Lee if it became a tropical storm, could pass over the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas. Lee will be the 12th named storm of the busy 2011 Atlantic hurricane season.
2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
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- Isgrimnur
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Trouble for the Gulf Coast:
It's almost as if people are the problem.
- noxiousdog
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
This one is interesting because the models are not in agreement at all. It could go anywhere.
Black Lives Matter
"To wield Grond, the mighty hammer of the Federal Government, is to be intoxicated with power beyond what you and I can reckon (though I figure we can ball park it pretty good with computers and maths). Need to tunnel through a mountain? Grond. Kill a mighty ogre? Grond. Hangnail? Grond. Spider? Grond (actually, that's a legit use, moreso than the rest)." - Peacedog
"To wield Grond, the mighty hammer of the Federal Government, is to be intoxicated with power beyond what you and I can reckon (though I figure we can ball park it pretty good with computers and maths). Need to tunnel through a mountain? Grond. Kill a mighty ogre? Grond. Hangnail? Grond. Spider? Grond (actually, that's a legit use, moreso than the rest)." - Peacedog
- noxiousdog
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Hope Louisana people in low lying areas are paying a attention. There's massive flooding potential in Lee. That thing is just going to dump huge amounts of water. I've heard as much as two feet.
Black Lives Matter
"To wield Grond, the mighty hammer of the Federal Government, is to be intoxicated with power beyond what you and I can reckon (though I figure we can ball park it pretty good with computers and maths). Need to tunnel through a mountain? Grond. Kill a mighty ogre? Grond. Hangnail? Grond. Spider? Grond (actually, that's a legit use, moreso than the rest)." - Peacedog
"To wield Grond, the mighty hammer of the Federal Government, is to be intoxicated with power beyond what you and I can reckon (though I figure we can ball park it pretty good with computers and maths). Need to tunnel through a mountain? Grond. Kill a mighty ogre? Grond. Hangnail? Grond. Spider? Grond (actually, that's a legit use, moreso than the rest)." - Peacedog
- Arcanis
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
We are prepared for some rain. My parent's house went untouched back in the 80s when they were fishing out of the front door and ours sits even higher. The big issue is if we lose power for a long period of time and are flooded in. If it is only 1 of the 2 then we are golden, if both we may need my B.I.L to come get us in his big truck so we can stay with them and their huge generator.noxiousdog wrote:Hope Louisana people in low lying areas are paying a attention. There's massive flooding potential in Lee. That thing is just going to dump huge amounts of water. I've heard as much as two feet.
"People sleep peaceably in their beds at night only because rough men stand ready to do violence on their behalf."--George Orwell
- KKBlue
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
I'm interested (not hoping but curious) to find out what type of illnesses come from all of the flooding this year. My town was hit pretty good and there were people walking around in the water like it was treated and safe. Then there was an alert put out the other day about residents needing to boil their water first before drinking OR preparing baby formula (the kids man, the F-in kids always get the shit end of the stick) because of the power failures the water company experienced.
Sorry, in a HATE everything mode. Of course I try to cover it all up with sunshine but when children are involved, I see red. Really hope that more moms and guardians are out there making sure that their little ones only receive the best of everything (and there is that twinkle you are used to).
Sorry, in a HATE everything mode. Of course I try to cover it all up with sunshine but when children are involved, I see red. Really hope that more moms and guardians are out there making sure that their little ones only receive the best of everything (and there is that twinkle you are used to).
"Why do people say grow some balls? Balls are weak and sensitive. If you wanna be tough, grow a vagina. Those things can take a pounding!" - Betty White
- Smoove_B
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
The boil water advisories are pretty standard - it can happen any time there's too much rain water entering the treatment systems. Usually because of some residual chlorine in the lines, the people that are at highest risk are the usual suspects -- children, the elderly and anyone that immuno-compromised.
As far as playing in the flood waters, it was good two or three days before I started seeing NJ news reporting that people should be avoiding it. I was cringing with some of the photos being posted -- kids paddling through knee-deep water, people floating around like it was a leisurely cool river. Crazy stuff.
Between the combined sewer / storm drain systems in some of our towns (Hoboken, Bound Brook) and the surface contaminants the flooding was picking up, it really was a failure of communication not to get that message out sooner.
As far as playing in the flood waters, it was good two or three days before I started seeing NJ news reporting that people should be avoiding it. I was cringing with some of the photos being posted -- kids paddling through knee-deep water, people floating around like it was a leisurely cool river. Crazy stuff.
Between the combined sewer / storm drain systems in some of our towns (Hoboken, Bound Brook) and the surface contaminants the flooding was picking up, it really was a failure of communication not to get that message out sooner.
Maybe next year, maybe no go
- KKBlue
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Sigh Smoove_B... thanks for understanding, lots of people thing I'm crazed at times, a little over aware and nervous.Smoove_B wrote:As far as playing in the flood waters, it was good two or three days before I started seeing NJ news reporting that people should be avoiding it. I was cringing with some of the photos being posted -- kids paddling through knee-deep water, people floating around like it was a leisurely cool river. Crazy stuff.
Between the combined sewer / storm drain systems in some of our towns (Hoboken, Bound Brook) and the surface contaminants the flooding was picking up, it really was a failure of communication not to get that message out sooner.
What makes me sad is the lack of proper science education of the ability the skin plays for absorbing things, why don't more people remember school basics? It seems like it is NOT a common understood thing for most of the population. When I see other countries with masks over their faces I'm happy that they know enough not to expose their lungs to pollutants. Yes, it's not a good thing that one has to get to that level of self protection... but is it really a bad thing to be proactive?
I don't mean to Tomas the Train (Isgrimnur pic) but why must it seem like everyone* is stupid

*everyone= the majority of a random sample of the public in any given location
"Why do people say grow some balls? Balls are weak and sensitive. If you wanna be tough, grow a vagina. Those things can take a pounding!" - Betty White
- Isgrimnur
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Since there's not a Little Miss that seems appropriate, you'll have to settle for Mr. Grumpy.
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

It's almost as if people are the problem.
- KKBlue
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Think if there was a Little Miss Gumpy or the like, she would of jumped off the page and kick the illustrator square in the nuts! And most likely that is the reason you were unable to seek out a Little Miss that would fit the bill 

"Why do people say grow some balls? Balls are weak and sensitive. If you wanna be tough, grow a vagina. Those things can take a pounding!" - Betty White
- Trent Steel
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
I've been without power since 2am on Sunday. That is approaching 136 straight hours as of this post. It is a credit to my mental strength that I have not murdered another human being by now.Octavious wrote:I think i'll just burn the place down if that happens.malchior wrote:A couple of my friends in South Bound Brook got power back tonight too -- for 10 minutes. They're back out.Octavious wrote:Finally got my power at 7pm today. That really wasn't fun...
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- Octavious
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Wow that totally blows! I'd be knifing kittens by now. We were losing our minds by Tuesday. Aside from having to toss out the entire fridge of food i guess I should consider myself lucky.Trent Steel wrote:I've been without power since 2am on Sunday. That is approaching 136 straight hours as of this post. It is a credit to my mental strength that I have not murdered another human being by now.Octavious wrote:I think i'll just burn the place down if that happens.malchior wrote:A couple of my friends in South Bound Brook got power back tonight too -- for 10 minutes. They're back out.Octavious wrote:Finally got my power at 7pm today. That really wasn't fun...
Capitalism tries for a delicate balance: It attempts to work things out so that everyone gets just enough stuff to keep them from getting violent and trying to take other people’s stuff.
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- Carpet_pissr
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
FWIW I am sure I never studied skin absorption rates in school.KKBlue wrote:Sigh Smoove_B... thanks for understanding, lots of people thing I'm crazed at times, a little over aware and nervous.Smoove_B wrote:As far as playing in the flood waters, it was good two or three days before I started seeing NJ news reporting that people should be avoiding it. I was cringing with some of the photos being posted -- kids paddling through knee-deep water, people floating around like it was a leisurely cool river. Crazy stuff.
Between the combined sewer / storm drain systems in some of our towns (Hoboken, Bound Brook) and the surface contaminants the flooding was picking up, it really was a failure of communication not to get that message out sooner.
What makes me sad is the lack of proper science education of the ability the skin plays for absorbing things, why don't more people remember school basics? It seems like it is NOT a common understood thing for most of the population. When I see other countries with masks over their faces I'm happy that they know enough not to expose their lungs to pollutants. Yes, it's not a good thing that one has to get to that level of self protection... but is it really a bad thing to be proactive?
I don't mean to Tomas the Train (Isgrimnur pic) but why must it seem like everyone* is stupid
*everyone= the majority of a random sample of the public in any given location
- Freezer-TPF-
- Posts: 12698
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
I hope you've at least painted your face and conquered a neighboring tribe by now.Trent Steel wrote:I've been without power since 2am on Sunday. That is approaching 136 straight hours as of this post. It is a credit to my mental strength that I have not murdered another human being by now.Octavious wrote:I think i'll just burn the place down if that happens.malchior wrote:A couple of my friends in South Bound Brook got power back tonight too -- for 10 minutes. They're back out.Octavious wrote:Finally got my power at 7pm today. That really wasn't fun...
That sucks.
When the sun goes out, we'll have eight minutes to live.
- Trent Steel
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
After 156.5 hours, power is back. My street was close to banding together to hijack power trucks that drove by Mad Max style.Freezer-TPF- wrote:I hope you've at least painted your face and conquered a neighboring tribe by now.Trent Steel wrote:I've been without power since 2am on Sunday. That is approaching 136 straight hours as of this post. It is a credit to my mental strength that I have not murdered another human being by now.Octavious wrote:I think i'll just burn the place down if that happens.malchior wrote:A couple of my friends in South Bound Brook got power back tonight too -- for 10 minutes. They're back out.Octavious wrote:Finally got my power at 7pm today. That really wasn't fun...
That sucks.
I never want to go through that again. It's generator time.
18-1™ & 2-0
- Smoove_B
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Hurricane Irene was worse than you thought:
If Irene does turn out to be as costly as the early estimates suggest, the people who implied it was overhyped or not as bad as expected will have to eat crow. I'll start: $7 billion-$10 billion is a lot of damage, and at least as bad as I expected. Sorry.
Maybe next year, maybe no go
- Kraken
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
From your link:
The timing was bad, too. Leaf-peeping season starts in a couple of weeks; Irene's damage is going to seriously cut into the $800 million that tourists ordinarily spend during those few weeks (it's their equivalent of christmas, economically speaking). And they only have until early November before snow makes road repair impossible.
A little closer to home, a huge stretch of Route 2 through the Berkshires (from Charlemont to North Adams) is closed. That's the route I drive to my summer vacation every year, and an awful lot of small businesses are going to wither and die if that doesn't reopen very soon.
The Boston Globe has covered VT extensively, as it's their worst disaster in nearly a century. The storm swept up the north-south valleys and piled that wet air up the mountains, where it condensed and came flooding down their steep sides. The Rutland area (where I've vacationed a few times) was especially devastated.The flooding in Vermont, in particular, is one of the under-covered stories of the past week. Amtrak was forced to suspend train service in the state because four crucial railroad bridges were unusable in the wake of the storm. Nearly three dozen other bridges were "swept away" entirely, according to the Times.
The timing was bad, too. Leaf-peeping season starts in a couple of weeks; Irene's damage is going to seriously cut into the $800 million that tourists ordinarily spend during those few weeks (it's their equivalent of christmas, economically speaking). And they only have until early November before snow makes road repair impossible.
A little closer to home, a huge stretch of Route 2 through the Berkshires (from Charlemont to North Adams) is closed. That's the route I drive to my summer vacation every year, and an awful lot of small businesses are going to wither and die if that doesn't reopen very soon.
- noxiousdog
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
edit: never mind. Bad number somewhere.Smoove_B wrote:Hurricane Irene was worse than you thought:
If Irene does turn out to be as costly as the early estimates suggest, the people who implied it was overhyped or not as bad as expected will have to eat crow. I'll start: $7 billion-$10 billion is a lot of damage, and at least as bad as I expected. Sorry.
Black Lives Matter
"To wield Grond, the mighty hammer of the Federal Government, is to be intoxicated with power beyond what you and I can reckon (though I figure we can ball park it pretty good with computers and maths). Need to tunnel through a mountain? Grond. Kill a mighty ogre? Grond. Hangnail? Grond. Spider? Grond (actually, that's a legit use, moreso than the rest)." - Peacedog
"To wield Grond, the mighty hammer of the Federal Government, is to be intoxicated with power beyond what you and I can reckon (though I figure we can ball park it pretty good with computers and maths). Need to tunnel through a mountain? Grond. Kill a mighty ogre? Grond. Hangnail? Grond. Spider? Grond (actually, that's a legit use, moreso than the rest)." - Peacedog
- Isgrimnur
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Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Looks like things have calmed down in terms of landfall storms. Hurricane Philippe died a few days ago, having never threatened landfall anywhere.
Hurricane Ophelia made it to Cat 4, rained on Bermuda some, but no widespread damage.
Here's hoping the rest of the season passes uneventfully.
Hurricane Ophelia made it to Cat 4, rained on Bermuda some, but no widespread damage.
Here's hoping the rest of the season passes uneventfully.
It's almost as if people are the problem.