Her polygraph was probably administered by a librul.geezer wrote:Right. But a few days ago these two gents were advocating a polygraph as the arbiter of truth WRT the NYT op ed. So I wonder what they’ll say now. (Pro tip - I don’t actually wonder. I’m pretty sure HER result will be dismissed as not credible)Grifman wrote: Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:36 pmI don’t know why polygraphs are pointed to as evidence. It’s kind using a horoscope as evidence.GreenGoo wrote: Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:24 pmI thought those were voodoo?geezer wrote: Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:19 pm Apparently she passed a polygraph. As I understand it that’s good enough for Rand Paul and Mike Pence, so we should be about done on this nomination. Right?
Only when it's convenient, I guess?
SCOTUS Watch
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
linkSenator Jeff Flake (R-AZ) has told a reporter from The Washington Post that he now believes that the committee should postpone its vote on the nomination until they hear more from the accuser.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
+1
You nailed it! Both sides are equally bad.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
A tweet from one of the potential (if unlikely) swing votes from last year....
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
And hey look, Franken did step down.
Thomas is a SCOTUS judge, and Hill did a lot more than accuse him.
I sure am glad this whole process is straight forward and unlikely to be turned political.
Just kidding. Let the circus begin continue!
Thomas is a SCOTUS judge, and Hill did a lot more than accuse him.
I sure am glad this whole process is straight forward and unlikely to be turned political.
Just kidding. Let the circus begin continue!
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
Em, so what's your point? Where are you taking this?
That you're a poor oppressed Republican? That you don't care about the nomination to the Supreme Court? That unless liberal comedians making bad groping jokes lose, bad conservative jurists actually groping (and more) must win? That rape is funny?
Kavanaugh is a bad pick because he's been political, too deferential to the Presidency, and too right-wing to be the swing vote. And apparently a shitty teenager (and likely adult too).
That you're a poor oppressed Republican? That you don't care about the nomination to the Supreme Court? That unless liberal comedians making bad groping jokes lose, bad conservative jurists actually groping (and more) must win? That rape is funny?
Kavanaugh is a bad pick because he's been political, too deferential to the Presidency, and too right-wing to be the swing vote. And apparently a shitty teenager (and likely adult too).
"A lie can run round the world before the truth has got its boots on." -Terry Pratchett, The Truth
"The presence of those seeking the truth is infinitely to be preferred to those who think they've found it." -Terry Pratchett, Monstrous Regiment
"The presence of those seeking the truth is infinitely to be preferred to those who think they've found it." -Terry Pratchett, Monstrous Regiment
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
The only point I've ever been able to see in em2's posting is to derive delicious sustenance from the suffering and anger of others.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
If you're expecting a reasonable answer, notice that he's condemning Bill Maher for something he himself did just one page ago right here.Zarathud wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 8:29 am Em, so what's your point? Where are you taking this?
That you're a poor oppressed Republican? That you don't care about the nomination to the Supreme Court? That unless liberal comedians making bad groping jokes lose, bad conservative jurists actually groping (and more) must win? That rape is funny?
Kavanaugh is a bad pick because he's been political, too deferential to the Presidency, and too right-wing to be the swing vote. And apparently a shitty teenager (and likely adult too).
Much prefer my Nazis Nuremberged.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
I think he's saying that Franken doesn't count because Em2 thinks there is still injustice in the world, therefore Kavanaugh gets a free pass.
QED.
Actually who gives a fuck what he means? Why are we wasting time and effort interpreting him?
I mean, really.
QED.
Actually who gives a fuck what he means? Why are we wasting time and effort interpreting him?
I mean, really.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
The accuser is willing to testify publicly.
Debra Katz, the lawyer for a woman accusing Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh of sexual misconduct, said Monday that her client would be willing to testify in public to the Senate Judiciary Committee.
"The answer is yes," Katz, who represents Christine Blasey Ford, said on CNN's "New Day."
Ford's willingness to testify before Congress marks both a major development from a woman previously reluctant to face the brunt of public scrutiny and a significant pressure point on Kavanaugh's nomination, which could decide the balance of the nation's top court for a generation.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
I told you guys his confirmation is not a lock.
Given the importance of this to the GOP, and the GOP's willingness to do very unpopular things that they want to do, I do still think that he will probably be confirmed. But his odds of not getting confirmed are rising.
I do wonder if the GOP will ultimately let Ford testify. Maybe they'll see if they can get away with her testifying at a closed door hearing.
Given the importance of this to the GOP, and the GOP's willingness to do very unpopular things that they want to do, I do still think that he will probably be confirmed. But his odds of not getting confirmed are rising.
I do wonder if the GOP will ultimately let Ford testify. Maybe they'll see if they can get away with her testifying at a closed door hearing.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
Honestly, what's to testify? All the relevant info fits on 1 page of paper. All they can do now is put her on trial.El Guapo wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 9:42 amI do wonder if the GOP will ultimately let Ford testify. Maybe they'll see if they can get away with her testifying at a closed door hearing.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
A 36 year old deus ex machina is hardly anything anyone could account for.
I think it'll be closed door and it won't change anything. They are afraid of the mid-term. Like it or not they learned from Anita Hill. Especially now with #metoo no good will come from televising it. They will confirm Kavanaugh if it means twisting and breaking every arm they have to. This is possibly the biggest policy agenda beyond paying the rich that they have. They will get it done. Plus they have good reason to believe they will not be held accountable in a meaningful way.Given the importance of this to the GOP, and the GOP's willingness to do very unpopular things that they want to do, I do still think that he will probably be confirmed. But his odds of not getting confirmed are rising.
I do wonder if the GOP will ultimately let Ford testify. Maybe they'll see if they can get away with her testifying at a closed door hearing.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
My point is just that the narrow vote margin and Kavanaugh's unpopularity meant that one significant spark could throw his nomination into doubt. It just so happens that this may be the spark.malchior wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:20 amA 36 year old deus ex machina is hardly anything anyone could account for.
I think it'll be closed door and it won't change anything. They are afraid of the mid-term. Like it or not they learned from Anita Hill. Especially now with #metoo no good will come from televising it. They will confirm Kavanaugh if it means twisting and breaking every arm they have to. This is possibly the biggest policy agenda beyond paying the rich that they have. They will get it done. Plus they have good reason to believe they will not be held accountable in a meaningful way.Given the importance of this to the GOP, and the GOP's willingness to do very unpopular things that they want to do, I do still think that he will probably be confirmed. But his odds of not getting confirmed are rising.
I do wonder if the GOP will ultimately let Ford testify. Maybe they'll see if they can get away with her testifying at a closed door hearing.
The main things that I would be worried about is whether Flake may decide that he's comfortable sinking Kavanaugh's nomination, and whether Collins may decide that she has more to fear in the 2020 general election than she does in the 2020 primary. I think both will ultimately vote yes, but they're concerns.
Also, I think this provides a ready means for red state democrats to vote no. They can just call for a full investigation of Ford's allegations. The GOP won't be willing to do that, because the additionanl time and scrutiny probably would not be helpful for confirming Kavanaugh. But when the GOP refuses to do that, the red state democrats can just say "I'm not opposed to Kavanaugh, but especially in light of these allegations it is irresponsible to confirm him to a lifetime appointment, so I can't vote yes at this time."
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
And what I'm saying is they'll do everything in their power to bury it. The lesson from Anita Hill was that televising it caused harm but confirming him got them a Conservative seat for 30 years. They will do nearly anything to confirm him now.El Guapo wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 11:52 am My point is just that the narrow vote margin and Kavanaugh's unpopularity meant that one significant spark could throw his nomination into doubt. It just so happens that this may be the spark.
Should Collins have some fear about 2020. Sure. A little. Very little. The problem is the GOP. If she votes no, her funding well will dry up. Again they will break limbs here. If she votes yes, will the voters think much about Kavanaugh? Almost certainly not if history is a guide. So what is her answer. She is playing her usual double game. She is pretending concern but her vote is a lock.The main things that I would be worried about is whether Flake may decide that he's comfortable sinking Kavanaugh's nomination, and whether Collins may decide that she has more to fear in the 2020 general election than she does in the 2020 primary. I think both will ultimately vote yes, but they're concerns.
True Manchin may worm his way out with this but I think you are not handicapping the situation correctly. I still hold to my very, very, very unlikely chances of this nomination going down. Absent actual evidence this will all be noise that'll haunt him but not stop him. This is all about power and the GOP isn't going to give any up.Also, I think this provides a ready means for red state democrats to vote no. They can just call for a full investigation of Ford's allegations. The GOP won't be willing to do that, because the additionanl time and scrutiny probably would not be helpful for confirming Kavanaugh. But when the GOP refuses to do that, the red state democrats can just say "I'm not opposed to Kavanaugh, but especially in light of these allegations it is irresponsible to confirm him to a lifetime appointment, so I can't vote yes at this time."
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
It's just that there are a number of things that could go wrong, including "unknown unknowns", and any one of them could throw things into doubt. If a second accuser comes forward, for example, Kavanaugh is probably done, GOP will to power or not. Flake's already said that he wants the vote delayed - what is Flake finally says fuck it altogether? The latest is that apparently both Ford and Kavanaugh are going to testify on the allegations - what happens if Kavanaugh craps the bed and it runs on the nightly news for a few days? What if Heller starts to see his polling going south quickly and gets nervous? And I agree that Collins probably has more to fear from the GOP base than the GOP electorate in this case - but if the Ford situation gets worse, it's not crazy to think that that could change (and more to the point, it's not crazy to think that Collins's assessment of that could change).malchior wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 12:28 pmAnd what I'm saying is they'll do everything in their power to bury it. The lesson from Anita Hill was that televising it caused harm but confirming him got them a Conservative seat for 30 years. They will do nearly anything to confirm him now.El Guapo wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 11:52 am My point is just that the narrow vote margin and Kavanaugh's unpopularity meant that one significant spark could throw his nomination into doubt. It just so happens that this may be the spark.
Should Collins have some fear about 2020. Sure. A little. Very little. The problem is the GOP. If she votes no, her funding well will dry up. Again they will break limbs here. If she votes yes, will the voters think much about Kavanaugh? Almost certainly not if history is a guide. So what is her answer. She is playing her usual double game. She is pretending concern but her vote is a lock.The main things that I would be worried about is whether Flake may decide that he's comfortable sinking Kavanaugh's nomination, and whether Collins may decide that she has more to fear in the 2020 general election than she does in the 2020 primary. I think both will ultimately vote yes, but they're concerns.
True Manchin may worm his way out with this but I think you are not handicapping the situation correctly. I still hold to my very, very, very unlikely chances of this nomination going down. Absent actual evidence this will all be noise that'll haunt him but not stop him. This is all about power and the GOP isn't going to give any up.Also, I think this provides a ready means for red state democrats to vote no. They can just call for a full investigation of Ford's allegations. The GOP won't be willing to do that, because the additionanl time and scrutiny probably would not be helpful for confirming Kavanaugh. But when the GOP refuses to do that, the red state democrats can just say "I'm not opposed to Kavanaugh, but especially in light of these allegations it is irresponsible to confirm him to a lifetime appointment, so I can't vote yes at this time."
I think that what's happened to date has probably cost Kavanaugh any democratic votes. I'm just saying that there's probably something like a 5%ish chance that something happens to cost him two GOP senators.
Has a SCOTUS nominee ever required a VP tiebreak vote to be confirmed?
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
No.El Guapo wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 12:52 pm Has a SCOTUS nominee ever required a VP tiebreak vote to be confirmed?
It's almost as if people are the problem.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
Stanley Matthews
On January 26, 1881, President Rutherford B. Hayes nominated Matthews for a position as an Associate Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court. Matthews was a controversial nominee, and as the nomination came near the end of Hayes's term, the Senate did not act on it. Upon succeeding Hayes, incoming President James A. Garfield renominated Matthews in March 1881, and the Senate confirmed him by a vote of 24 to 23, the narrowest confirmation for a successful U.S. Supreme Court nominee in history. He served on the Court until his death in 1889.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
It isn't that it is crazy to believe there is hope. I just don't think there is any hope. This feels like it is all about grasping at straws and I get it. This is another horrible development as our nation's heart is stolen away by and for the extremely wealthy.El Guapo wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 12:52 pm It's just that there are a number of things that could go wrong, including "unknown unknowns", and any one of them could throw things into doubt. If a second accuser comes forward, for example, Kavanaugh is probably done, GOP will to power or not. Flake's already said that he wants the vote delayed - what is Flake finally says fuck it altogether? The latest is that apparently both Ford and Kavanaugh are going to testify on the allegations - what happens if Kavanaugh craps the bed and it runs on the nightly news for a few days? What if Heller starts to see his polling going south quickly and gets nervous? And I agree that Collins probably has more to fear from the GOP base than the GOP electorate in this case - but if the Ford situation gets worse, it's not crazy to think that that could change (and more to the point, it's not crazy to think that Collins's assessment of that could change).
Anyway I don't believe in absolutes which is pretty much why I don't say 100% on his confirmation. That said, I agree that more accusers coming out would be a tough one for the GOP to ignore but I think they might just try. Like I said before they are worried about a few seats in the Senate. They don't have time to vette another nom in time. I mean I guess the very slim option is they ditch him and literally balls to the wall and confirm a nom lame duck. I can't put anything beyond them anymore. They absolutely can not and will not let this the opportunity slip away. That would be unacceptable to their money base.
It isn't like they have shown they are anything but willing to do despicable things for power. In that vein Mrs. Ford is pretty brave because she is now in the cross-hairs of every dirty political operative and fortune seeker you can probably imagine. I will be less than shocked if dirt about her appears tout suite.
This is hardly a norm they'd care about at this point. As long as he is legally confirmed and they don't risk total Armageddon they will do it.Has a SCOTUS nominee ever required a VP tiebreak vote to be confirmed?
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
They have other vetted candidates available. The emergency chute option would be to pull Kavanaugh and nominate Barrett (sp?), who is the one the conservatives really wanted anyway. They have through December to get the confirmation done. If they are going to try that, though, they're going to want to get started soon.malchior wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 1:44 pmIt isn't that it is crazy to believe there is hope. I just don't think there is any hope. This feels like it is all about grasping at straws and I get it. This is another horrible development as our nation's heart is stolen away by and for the extremely wealthy.El Guapo wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 12:52 pm It's just that there are a number of things that could go wrong, including "unknown unknowns", and any one of them could throw things into doubt. If a second accuser comes forward, for example, Kavanaugh is probably done, GOP will to power or not. Flake's already said that he wants the vote delayed - what is Flake finally says fuck it altogether? The latest is that apparently both Ford and Kavanaugh are going to testify on the allegations - what happens if Kavanaugh craps the bed and it runs on the nightly news for a few days? What if Heller starts to see his polling going south quickly and gets nervous? And I agree that Collins probably has more to fear from the GOP base than the GOP electorate in this case - but if the Ford situation gets worse, it's not crazy to think that that could change (and more to the point, it's not crazy to think that Collins's assessment of that could change).
Anyway I don't believe in absolutes which is pretty much why I don't say 100% on his confirmation. That said, I agree that more accusers coming out would be a tough one for the GOP to ignore but I think they might just try. Like I said before they are worried about a few seats in the Senate. They don't have time to vette another nom in time. I mean I guess the very slim option is they ditch him and literally balls to the wall and confirm a nom lame duck. I can't put anything beyond them anymore. They absolutely can not and will not let this the opportunity slip away. That would be unacceptable to their money base.
It isn't like they have shown they are anything but willing to do despicable things for power. In that vein Mrs. Ford is pretty brave because she is now in the cross-hairs of every dirty political operative and fortune seeker you can probably imagine. I will be less than shocked if dirt about her appears tout suite.
This is hardly a norm they'd care about at this point. As long as he is legally confirmed and they don't risk total Armageddon they will do it.Has a SCOTUS nominee ever required a VP tiebreak vote to be confirmed?
But yeah, not that I think the VP vote would be an issue, just curious if it had happened before.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
White House Hasn’t Asked FBI to Vet Kavanaugh Allegations, Sources SayThe White House hasn’t asked the FBI to investigate the allegation that Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh sexually assaulted a woman when they were in high school, a request required for the bureau to take further action, according to two people familiar with the matter.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/17/us/p ... -alto.htmlThe chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, under mounting pressure from senators of his own party, will call President Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, Judge Brett M. Kavanaugh, and the woman who has accused him of sexual assault before the committee on Monday for extraordinary public hearings just weeks before the midterm elections.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
"It was just a little light rape. What's the big deal?"Hatch, if hearings found her allegations to be credible: "If that was true, I think it would be hard for senators to not consider who the judge is today. That’s the issue. Is this judge a really good man? And he is. And by any measure he is."
These people are just...sick.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
He is even saying that if he lied about it to Congress and the FBI, ie., if it ends up her story is true - he's still a great guy.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
Not a surprise - Hatch is one of the worst people in the Senate. He is a huge hypocrite that turns a blind eye to all sorts of bad behavior as long as that person has that R next to the name.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
Whereas many Dems were calling for Franken to step down, which he did.malchior wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:14 pm Not a surprise - Hatch is one of the worst people in the Senate. He is a huge hypocrite that turns a blind eye to all sorts of bad behavior as long as that person has that R next to the name.
But it's a both sides horse race because Bill Maher is still employed.
Did I do that right?
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
Pretty much right. It's infuriating. Fox News Hannity headline seen at the gym tonight: "Dems try to derail Kavanaugh confirmation."
As though, 1) the Dems are doing this solely to 'derail' Kavanaugh politically, and 2) the appropriate headline is to focus on the Dems rather than the fact that a lifetime appointment may go to a sex offender.
As though, 1) the Dems are doing this solely to 'derail' Kavanaugh politically, and 2) the appropriate headline is to focus on the Dems rather than the fact that a lifetime appointment may go to a sex offender.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
What a piece of shit. You can't make this stuff up.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
Tl;dr - Guap may be onto something.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
If he does fall that'll push the nomination into lame duck for sure. They'll definitely do it but it'll be even less legitimate and will do immense damage to the nation. Especially if they lose the Senate. It will be bedlam. We are in a very dangerous period and the risks that we have some constitutional crack up just keep mounting. It is extremely scary.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
Ted Kennedy is amused.GreenGoo wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:29 pmWhereas many Dems were calling for Franken to step down, which he did.malchior wrote: Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:14 pm Not a surprise - Hatch is one of the worst people in the Senate. He is a huge hypocrite that turns a blind eye to all sorts of bad behavior as long as that person has that R next to the name.
But it's a both sides horse race because Bill Maher is still employed.
Did I do that right?
Em2nought is ecstatic garbage
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
Is that the plan?
We'll just do this one at a time, over and over again, time traveling if needs be? Only Dems need to hold their politicians accountable, and any exceptions means all bets are off for anyone, at any time, for any reason? How is that anything but a rationalization so you never have to care about anything "your guys" do, ever?
I have to hold all democrats accountable otherwise you don't have to hold any republicans accountable?
Get back to me when you have an honest political viewpoint and you're willing to engage, shitmouth.
We'll just do this one at a time, over and over again, time traveling if needs be? Only Dems need to hold their politicians accountable, and any exceptions means all bets are off for anyone, at any time, for any reason? How is that anything but a rationalization so you never have to care about anything "your guys" do, ever?
I have to hold all democrats accountable otherwise you don't have to hold any republicans accountable?
Get back to me when you have an honest political viewpoint and you're willing to engage, shitmouth.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
Actually, the plan was to not say anything else, sit back, and wait 'til it's all out in the open, and then decide. The parent's almost foreclosure & his mother being their judge, her pink hat wearing, her anti-Trump marching pink, her students saying don't get on her bad side she carries a grudge, his friend being a booze hound, his friend mentioning a Kavanaugh in his book, curiously having so many women lined up to say what a good guy he is, and on and on.
... but you obviously wanted me to answer with that reference and I couldn't resist.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
See, this is why I call you shitmouth.em2nought wrote: Tue Sep 18, 2018 8:28 amActually, the plan was to not say anything else, sit back, and wait 'til it's all out in the open, and then decide. The parent's almost foreclosure & his mother being their judge, her pink hat wearing, her anti-Trump marching pink, her students saying don't get on her bad side she carries a grudge, his friend being a booze hound, his friend mentioning a Kavanaugh in his book, curiously having so many women lined up to say what a good guy he is, and on and on.
... but you obviously wanted me to answer with that reference and I couldn't resist.
Most everyone here are waiting to see. Most of us are discussing the accusations. You put political positions onto the entire forum and then call it a liberal bastion so you don't have to engage.
Just read the facts, not what your media outlets tell you are the facts. Common dude, I'm not doing the heavy lifting for you. You're a big boy now. Stop being spoonfed gibberish and calling it a political position.
Kavanaugh's mother ruled in FAVOUR of the accuser's parents, and the parents KEPT the house. This is the act that requires vengeance against their son? I won't even address the rest of it, because as pointed out, it's typical victim character assassination, albeit weak sauce, even by that measure.
In a discussion about the merits of putting Kavanaugh on SCOTUS for the rest of his life, you decide that name dropping Ted Kennedy is the ultimate defense. You are the problem with America today. You, personally.
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Re: SCOTUS Watch
... and people like the guy who wrote the Wall Street Journal opinion piece here. TL;DR - The GOP is being victimized by the Democrats, who are playing dirty pool with unsubstantiated claims and everything should just push on ahead. No mention of the GOP screwing the Dems during Obama's term so payback is a fair game or how they're ramrodding this through at a breakneck pace to get ahead of the November elections. Just GOP victims. I think the author makes a couple modest good points - like why did they wait until now if people have had this in their hands since July - but they're lost in the wailing of unfairness.
I'm only reading the WSJ right now for a business law class. I haven't read enough to know if they give equal measure to both sides, but I was unimpressed by that particular opinion piece as being heavily weighted to one side.
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- GreenGoo
- Posts: 43229
- Joined: Thu Oct 14, 2004 10:46 pm
- Location: Ottawa, ON
Re: SCOTUS Watch
I've stopped reading opinion pieces. They can be entertaining, but do little for political discourse.
That includes opinions from both sides. They often read like comment sections, only better written.
Which means I don't give a crap about opinions from authors with an agenda.
That includes opinions from both sides. They often read like comment sections, only better written.
Which means I don't give a crap about opinions from authors with an agenda.