Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

Post by LawBeefaroni »

If the shoe was on the other foot, it would be a sure sign of fraud and the gravy seals would be gearing up for January.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Can you imagine if Trump had won the popular and lost the Electoral?
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

Post by Grifman »

The future looks grim unless the Dems come up with new answers:

Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions. – G.K. Chesterton
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

Post by Grifman »

I think this is an excellent analysis of what the problem with America is and why Trump is so attractive to do many:

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/08/opin ... ticleShare

An excerpt:

In the West, neoliberalism — that blend of free trade, deregulation and deference to financial markets — hollowed out communities while enriching a global oligarchy. Meanwhile, a homogenized and often crass popular culture eroded traditional national and religious identities. After 9/11, the war on terror was embraced by autocrats such as Mr. Putin, who used it as a frame to justify power grabs while forever wars fueled mass migration. The financial crisis came through like a hurricane, wrecking the lives of people already struggling to get by while the rich profited on the back end. Then social media’s explosion offered a vehicle to spread grievance and conspiracy theories, allowing populist leaders to radicalize their followers with the precision of an algorithm.

The playbook for transforming a democracy into a soft autocracy was clear: Win power with a populist message against elites. Redraw parliamentary districts. Change voting laws. Harass civil society. Pack courts with judges willing to support power grabs. Enrich cronies through corruption. Buy up newspapers and television stations and turn them into right-wing propaganda. Use social media to energize supporters. Wrap it up in an Us versus Them message: Us, the “real” Russians or Hungarians or Americans, against a rotating cast of Them: the migrants, the Muslims, the liberals, the gays, George Soros and on and on.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

Post by Kraken »

Grifman wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2024 1:26 pm The future looks grim unless the Dems come up with new answers:
Blue people moving to red states don't become red people. Rather, they turn those states a wee bit more purple. If Dems recalibrate to improve their appeal even slightly among red staters, TX and FL won't necessarily stay Republican forever. For the past couple of years, MA has had the second-highest rate of out-migration in the US (mostly due to housing costs), with the most popular destinations being NH and FL. Massholes living in FL don't morph into Florida Man.

Longer term, global warming will halt or reverse that migration trend as the sunbelt becomes less habitable, but that's still a couple of censuses away. And of course those red refugees won't turn blue by virtue of moving north any more than blue people turn color when they move south. Realignment is always ongoing.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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I’m not certain your statement is true - maybe people from from blue to red states are red voters, not blue ones. I haven’t seen evidence, one way or another. And FL has been getting more red despite the inflows. And every election I keep hearing that TX is turning purple but without any results. And I’m not certain we can wait for this supposed change to happen.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

Post by Kraken »

Well I personally know two Massholes who became Florida Men and didn't flip, so that proves it. :wink:
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

Post by LordMortis »

In the West, neoliberalism — that blend of free trade, deregulation and deference to financial markets — hollowed out communities while enriching a global oligarchy. Meanwhile, a homogenized and often crass popular culture eroded traditional national and religious identities. After 9/11, the war on terror was embraced by autocrats such as Mr. Putin, who used it as a frame to justify power grabs while forever wars fueled mass migration. The financial crisis came through like a hurricane, wrecking the lives of people already struggling to get by while the rich profited on the back end. Then social media’s explosion offered a vehicle to spread grievance and conspiracy theories, allowing populist leaders to radicalize their followers with the precision of an algorithm.

The playbook for transforming a democracy into a soft autocracy was clear: Win power with a populist message against elites. Redraw parliamentary districts. Change voting laws. Harass civil society. Pack courts with judges willing to support power grabs. Enrich cronies through corruption. Buy up newspapers and television stations and turn them into right-wing propaganda. Use social media to energize supporters. Wrap it up in an Us versus Them message: Us, the “real” Russians or Hungarians or Americans, against a rotating cast of Them: the migrants, the Muslims, the liberals, the gays, George Soros and on and on.

This confirms my bias. It must be true. Seriously. This is exactly how the world looks to me.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

Post by Skinypupy »

LordMortis wrote: Sun Nov 17, 2024 8:54 am
In the West, neoliberalism — that blend of free trade, deregulation and deference to financial markets — hollowed out communities while enriching a global oligarchy. Meanwhile, a homogenized and often crass popular culture eroded traditional national and religious identities. After 9/11, the war on terror was embraced by autocrats such as Mr. Putin, who used it as a frame to justify power grabs while forever wars fueled mass migration. The financial crisis came through like a hurricane, wrecking the lives of people already struggling to get by while the rich profited on the back end. Then social media’s explosion offered a vehicle to spread grievance and conspiracy theories, allowing populist leaders to radicalize their followers with the precision of an algorithm.

The playbook for transforming a democracy into a soft autocracy was clear: Win power with a populist message against elites. Redraw parliamentary districts. Change voting laws. Harass civil society. Pack courts with judges willing to support power grabs. Enrich cronies through corruption. Buy up newspapers and television stations and turn them into right-wing propaganda. Use social media to energize supporters. Wrap it up in an Us versus Them message: Us, the “real” Russians or Hungarians or Americans, against a rotating cast of Them: the migrants, the Muslims, the liberals, the gays, George Soros and on and on.

This confirms my bias. It must be true. Seriously. This is exactly how the world looks to me.
Same. I’d take it a step further and say that May the most apt “how we got here” summaries I’ve ever read.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

Post by Grifman »

Skinypupy wrote: Sun Nov 17, 2024 11:52 am
LordMortis wrote: Sun Nov 17, 2024 8:54 am
In the West, neoliberalism — that blend of free trade, deregulation and deference to financial markets — hollowed out communities while enriching a global oligarchy. Meanwhile, a homogenized and often crass popular culture eroded traditional national and religious identities. After 9/11, the war on terror was embraced by autocrats such as Mr. Putin, who used it as a frame to justify power grabs while forever wars fueled mass migration. The financial crisis came through like a hurricane, wrecking the lives of people already struggling to get by while the rich profited on the back end. Then social media’s explosion offered a vehicle to spread grievance and conspiracy theories, allowing populist leaders to radicalize their followers with the precision of an algorithm.

The playbook for transforming a democracy into a soft autocracy was clear: Win power with a populist message against elites. Redraw parliamentary districts. Change voting laws. Harass civil society. Pack courts with judges willing to support power grabs. Enrich cronies through corruption. Buy up newspapers and television stations and turn them into right-wing propaganda. Use social media to energize supporters. Wrap it up in an Us versus Them message: Us, the “real” Russians or Hungarians or Americans, against a rotating cast of Them: the migrants, the Muslims, the liberals, the gays, George Soros and on and on.

This confirms my bias. It must be true. Seriously. This is exactly how the world looks to me.
Same. I’d take it a step further and say that May the most apt “how we got here” summaries I’ve ever read.
I know that small towns in my home state of NC were devastated by globalization. Hardly a one didn't have a textile mill or furniture factory, and now there are hardly any as all that manufacturing moved overseas. The big cities did fine, as globalization increased jobs in finance, tech, etc. but it was the working people in the small towns that were left behind.

What the govt should have done is applied a surtax on companies that would benefit, such as the tech industry (Microsoft, Google, etc), banking (Bank of America, JP Morgan, etc), and other beneficiaries and then used that money for a fund to help communities most impacted negatively by globalization. That should have been the price big companies had to pay to get WTO/NAFTA/etc passed. But instead nothing was done for these communities and we are suffering from the results now of that negligence.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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It's a tough balancing act, supporting those affected, but not simply paying them to not change with the times.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Blackhawk wrote: Sun Nov 17, 2024 6:08 pm It's a tough balancing act, supporting those affected, but not simply paying them to not change with the times.
You have a high school education and you live in a small town with a textile mill as the main employer and it closes. How do you “change with the times”? There’s nothing to replace that factory. No business is going to be able to replace that in the short to medium term. And where do you move to? That costs money which you probably don’t have. How do you get additional training? There are no easy answers to “changing with the times”.
Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions. – G.K. Chesterton
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Grifman wrote: Sun Nov 17, 2024 9:40 pmThere are no easy answers to “changing with the times”.
That was my point. I live in a small town that was built on coal, farming, and railroads. One of those is dead, one became a tertiary option, and the other isn't enough to support the town. I consider Reno to the only place that's really 'home', but the proliferation of gambling nationwide has mostly killed it, and what's left is a mess clinging to the edge of the desert, trying to find a reason to exist. I get it.

But at the same time, over the years industries rise and fall. We don't have much of a market for lamplighters or wainwrights anymore. Coal (for example) needs to go away. When that happens, there won't be a market for coal miners or their support networks. That's going to hurt a lot of people. But what do we do about it? We can provide training, we can provide for relocation, but if they insist on staying in a location that was built on coal, and there's no coal mining, and no other industries have moved in - well, that's a choice they're making, and, sad as it is, that's them choosing not to change with the times.

And no, there are no easy answers, but the right's answer seems to be to hold onto the past, to try and force the future to look like the past.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

Post by Holman »

I don't understand the way Coal Mining has come to stand for industries that somehow need to be protected because of their heartland core American identity.

(BH, this isn't a response to you but to someone like, I don't know, Joe Manchin.)

Coal Mining is already dead. The "coal country" states of West Virginia, Kentucky, and Pennsylvania have fewer than 25,000 people employed in the entire coal industry. Not in each state; in total.

We really could just declare coal dead and give everyone in the industry a generous lifetime pension. There, done.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Another interesting analysis of what ails the Democretuc Party:

https://www.slowboring.com/p/a-common-s ... -manifesto
Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions. – G.K. Chesterton
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Grifman wrote: Mon Nov 18, 2024 9:58 pm Another interesting analysis of what ails the Democretuc Party:

https://www.slowboring.com/p/a-common-s ... -manifesto
Race is a social construct, but biological sex is not. Policy must acknowledge that reality and uphold people’s basic freedom to live as they choose.
Sex is a biological function, but it's important to note that it's not binary. Biological sex is more than male and female, and genitals are only one aspect of that. And the less common variants are just that - variants, not flaws to be fixed. Furthermore, although gender is a social construct, the variants of biological sex directly influence gender-like behaviors.

It's more than 'live as they choose.' It's 'live as they are, rather than what others expect them to be.'
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions. – G.K. Chesterton
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Clearly what progressives need to do is colonize those low-population red states.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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The 'shithole' states.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Democrats lost ground with Asians:

Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions. – G.K. Chesterton
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Is this a margin shift only? I mean did the GOP pick up a higher % of voters because there were fewer votes for Harris (say at home) or because there were move votes for Trump (actively voted Trump)? It looks like just margin from the graph. Which isn't nothing but it doesn't' really tell us a lot.

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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Please Mr. leopard, eat my face:

Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions. – G.K. Chesterton
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Tax the poor!
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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I'm sure this is so "job creators" can "trickle down" their wealth generation and "streamline the state's tax code" to "cut government bloat" and "increase efficiency."
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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One extreme school of thought says the MAGAts want to eliminate income taxes entirely and finance their rump government with tariffs alone -- purely paid for by consumers. I doubt that they could do that in two years if it even were their secret agenda...but it's certainly the direction they're leaning toward.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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And again, disabled people will get the even shorter end of the stick. We will pay the higher prices on products, but we won't gain the benefits of the cuts - with no earned income, we don't pay income taxes.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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The two America’s:

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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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While it's interesting. Cause and effect of each instance is the real interesting question.

Also, clicked on a Xhitter link. I feel dirty.
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Re: Defining the 21st Century Democratic Party

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Yeah, but which states have cheaper eggs and gas?
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