Re: Trump vs. Biden - the Final Showdown
Posted: Thu Oct 22, 2020 10:40 pm
It will take about 10 minutes before Fox News has a headline that says Joe wants to get rid of oil. So dumb of him..
That is not dead which can eternal lie, and with strange aeons bring us some web forums whereupon we can gather
http://garbi.online/forum/
Don't cancel just yet. It's absurd they are in this spot but still this is the right call from the other side of the firewall in the newsroom. Good on them to push back on it.Grifman wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 9:27 pmStrassel is just plain awful. She's been a Trump apologist from the get go, with no attempt at even trying to appear even handed or unbiased in any way. I love the WSJ and have considered re-upping my subscription but I won't due to their editorial support of Trump under Murdoch. The old WSJ would have never bowed the knee to Trump and it is very sad.Holman wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 8:46 pm Everyone's pointing out that Strassel is an opinion-page columnist, not an actual reporter.
I mean, while we're on the topic, it's worth mentioning that we do in fact want and need to get rid of oil for most uses. Further, it's already a done deal on economics alone in the next decade or so.Octavious wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 10:40 pm It will take about 10 minutes before Fox News has a headline that says Joe wants to get rid of oil. So dumb of him..
I was just going to post that - Strassel got destroyed by her own paper:malchior wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 11:00 pmDon't cancel just yet. It's absurd they are in this spot but still this is the right call from the other side of the firewall in the newsroom. Good on them to push back on it.Grifman wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 9:27 pmStrassel is just plain awful. She's been a Trump apologist from the get go, with no attempt at even trying to appear even handed or unbiased in any way. I love the WSJ and have considered re-upping my subscription but I won't due to their editorial support of Trump under Murdoch. The old WSJ would have never bowed the knee to Trump and it is very sad.Holman wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 8:46 pm Everyone's pointing out that Strassel is an opinion-page columnist, not an actual reporter.
https://twitter.com/NoahShachtman/statu ... 8020834306
Agree with Guap's assessment of TX, but it's still fun to track. Overall the country's up to 36.5% of 2016 at this point, with TX now at 71.1%.El Guapo wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 12:53 pmPolling generally points towards Texas being a toss-up (538 currently gives Biden a 48.4% chance of winning). I don't know that turnout numbers really impact that much. Odds are (in the absence of shenanigans) that Trump will eke out a narrow win in TX, but Biden has a real shot there.Grifman wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 12:46 pmCould the Democrat dream of a blue TX be coming true? If turn out is much higher than 2016 does that mean minorities, urban and suburban voters are turning out enough to offset small town, rural Trump Texas?Zaxxon wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 12:11 pmYeah, TX is nuts.coopasonic wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 12:09 pmTX is at 65.5%! (8 days of early voting to go)Zaxxon wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 11:56 am< 2 days later, and we're now at 33.2% of total 2016's vote count.Zaxxon wrote: Tue Oct 20, 2020 2:07 pmThis morning we crossed over 25% of the total 2016 vote count already cast in this election. Foregone conclusion that 2020's early voting count will set a new record by a wide margin. It'll be interesting to see the total including election day and how that total compares to 2016.Ralph-Wiggum wrote: Tue Oct 20, 2020 1:35 pm Currently in line to vote. This is the 2nd day that early voting has been open at this location, but it was open at another nearby location for the last two weeks. Nevertheless, it’s a pretty long line, especially for the middle of a Tuesday afternoon. I’ guessing it’ll take about an hour to get vote. But, all in all, seems pretty well organized and everyone is wearing a mask, so I can’t complain too much. And it’s encouraging to see so many people voting.
And even if Trump ends up winning Texas, the closeness of the race has forced Trump to spend money in Texas. Biden has spent money there as well, but the Trump campaign is much more strapped for cash than the Biden campaign.El Guapo wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 12:53 pm Polling generally points towards Texas being a toss-up (538 currently gives Biden a 48.4% chance of winning). I don't know that turnout numbers really impact that much. Odds are (in the absence of shenanigans) that Trump will eke out a narrow win in TX, but Biden has a real shot there.
Ultimately the only significance of Texas is that if Biden wins TX, it will help hammer home the narrative that this was a blowout, which would probably boost efforts to move the GOP away from Trumpism. But in terms of the electoral outcome, Biden's easiest route is to reclaim the upper midwest states (MI, WI, PA). If that goes wrong, his viable backup plan is FL, NC, + AZ. Hard to imagine a scenario where Biden wins TX but not FL + AZ.Ralph-Wiggum wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 10:15 amAnd even if Trump ends up winning Texas, the closeness of the race has forced Trump to spend money in Texas. Biden has spent money there as well, but the Trump campaign is much more strapped for cash than the Biden campaign.El Guapo wrote: Thu Oct 22, 2020 12:53 pm Polling generally points towards Texas being a toss-up (538 currently gives Biden a 48.4% chance of winning). I don't know that turnout numbers really impact that much. Odds are (in the absence of shenanigans) that Trump will eke out a narrow win in TX, but Biden has a real shot there.
Vermont having a Republican governor is pretty fatal to Sanders getting a cabinet role. Per the article VT's Republican governor would get to appoint a replacement; even though a special election would be required within six months, that's an enormous amount of time when the Democrats couldn't count on holding Congress in 2023.Defiant wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 11:39 am Bernie Sanders makes a play for Biden Labor secretary
Personally, I'd rather have people like Warren (with her tons of thought out plans) than someone like Sanders (IMO, he's more style and less substance than Warren). But another issue is, does Sanders have the discipline to be in the cabinet? As the public faces of the administration, cabinet members aren't suppose to criticize the administration, and if there's one thing Sanders does a lot of is criticize.
FWIW Hegar seems to be several points behind Biden. Entirely plausible for Biden to eke out a narrow win in TX while Hegar loses.Alefroth wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 2:02 pm If Biden won Texas, I'm guessing that would give Hegar good odds of winning as well.
Call it the Trump effect. TX doesn't have straight ticket voting this year so this is even more plausible.
Works for me.
Your link works. The one on the page still gives me a "ERR_CONNECTION_RESET".
What happened to your freedom? NOTHING, you stupid fuck, because it was a DREAM.Zaxxon wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 4:11 pm From the 'scare folks into voting, maybe, I think must be the plan?' corner:
https://twitter.com/RepClayHiggins/stat ... 74817?s=20
But she has the gift of premonition!Carpet_pissr wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 4:15 pmWhat happened to your freedom? NOTHING, you stupid fuck, because it was a DREAM.Zaxxon wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 4:11 pm From the 'scare folks into voting, maybe, I think must be the plan?' corner:
https://twitter.com/RepClayHiggins/stat ... 74817?s=20
Of course, I wouldn't really want Warren in the cabinet for the same reason. Baker might be a decent governor, but he's still got the R next to his name.El Guapo wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 11:47 amVermont having a Republican governor is pretty fatal to Sanders getting a cabinet role. Per the article VT's Republican governor would get to appoint a replacement; even though a special election would be required within six months, that's an enormous amount of time when the Democrats couldn't count on holding Congress in 2023.Defiant wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 11:39 am Bernie Sanders makes a play for Biden Labor secretary
Personally, I'd rather have people like Warren (with her tons of thought out plans) than someone like Sanders (IMO, he's more style and less substance than Warren). But another issue is, does Sanders have the discipline to be in the cabinet? As the public faces of the administration, cabinet members aren't suppose to criticize the administration, and if there's one thing Sanders does a lot of is criticize.
IDK what he would do. He likes being governor (last week he shot down the idea of taking a cabinet post in Biden's WH) and probably wants a third term. Replacing Warren with any R would be career suicide. OTOH, if he names a D, why does he even keep that R next to his name?NickAragua wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 4:27 pmOf course, I wouldn't really want Warren in the cabinet for the same reason. Baker might be a decent governor, but he's still got the R next to his name.El Guapo wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 11:47 amVermont having a Republican governor is pretty fatal to Sanders getting a cabinet role. Per the article VT's Republican governor would get to appoint a replacement; even though a special election would be required within six months, that's an enormous amount of time when the Democrats couldn't count on holding Congress in 2023.Defiant wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 11:39 am Bernie Sanders makes a play for Biden Labor secretary
Personally, I'd rather have people like Warren (with her tons of thought out plans) than someone like Sanders (IMO, he's more style and less substance than Warren). But another issue is, does Sanders have the discipline to be in the cabinet? As the public faces of the administration, cabinet members aren't suppose to criticize the administration, and if there's one thing Sanders does a lot of is criticize.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/hunter ... -questionsFox News has reviewed emails from Bobulinski related to the venture — and they don't show that the elder Biden had business dealings with SinoHawk Holdings, or took any payments from them or the Chinese.
However, according to separate emails obtained by Fox News, Bobulinski states there are no other members besides Hunter Biden, Jim Biden, Rob Walker, James Gillar and Anthony Bobulinski, regarding the shareholding structure, and records for all stages of company negotiations show no role for Joe Biden.
4 days later, we've crossed past 40%. Will be interesting to see where we wind up.Zaxxon wrote: Tue Oct 20, 2020 2:15 pmI would take the over on that estimate, though your point (and Guap's, awesomely) stands.malchior wrote: Tue Oct 20, 2020 2:10 pmYeah looks like we'll coast in around 35-40% early voting levels overall. It also means that the actual election day is incredibly important still.Zaxxon wrote: Tue Oct 20, 2020 2:07 pmThis morning we crossed over 25% of the total 2016 vote count already cast in this election. Foregone conclusion that 2020's early voting count will set a new record by a wide margin. It'll be interesting to see the total including election day and how that total compares to 2016.
The most sensible thing, if Biden is open to the likes of Sanders and Warren, would be for them to pick someone who matches their beliefs but who is not a senator from a state with a republican governor, and ask Biden to nominate that person.Kraken wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 9:28 pmIDK what he would do. He likes being governor (last week he shot down the idea of taking a cabinet post in Biden's WH) and probably wants a third term. Replacing Warren with any R would be career suicide. OTOH, if he names a D, why does he even keep that R next to his name?NickAragua wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 4:27 pmOf course, I wouldn't really want Warren in the cabinet for the same reason. Baker might be a decent governor, but he's still got the R next to his name.El Guapo wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 11:47 amVermont having a Republican governor is pretty fatal to Sanders getting a cabinet role. Per the article VT's Republican governor would get to appoint a replacement; even though a special election would be required within six months, that's an enormous amount of time when the Democrats couldn't count on holding Congress in 2023.Defiant wrote: Fri Oct 23, 2020 11:39 am Bernie Sanders makes a play for Biden Labor secretary
Personally, I'd rather have people like Warren (with her tons of thought out plans) than someone like Sanders (IMO, he's more style and less substance than Warren). But another issue is, does Sanders have the discipline to be in the cabinet? As the public faces of the administration, cabinet members aren't suppose to criticize the administration, and if there's one thing Sanders does a lot of is criticize.
Warren's valuable in the Senate, and would be doubly so in the majority. IDK how much she likes the job, though. By temperament, she's more of an administrator.
If Warren does get a tap on the shoulder, our legislature will probably change the succession law to take it out of Charlie's hands.
My wife just berated two of her cousins in Michigan who said they weren't voting because Bernie got screwed out of the nomination (again). She may have browbeaten them into voting, may not have. We're not sure.Jeff V wrote: Sat Oct 24, 2020 2:10 pm Bernie has been docile these past many months, so I imagine his future role is already determined. I hope the older party relics are given less visible appointments so younger folks have a chance to shine.
What was their specific reason for claiming that? Bernie wasn't within a whiff of the nomination this time.LawBeefaroni wrote: Sat Oct 24, 2020 2:37 pmMy wife just berated two of her cousins in Michigan who said they weren't voting because Bernie got screwed out of the nomination (again). She may have browbeaten them into voting, may not have. We're not sure.Jeff V wrote: Sat Oct 24, 2020 2:10 pm Bernie has been docile these past many months, so I imagine his future role is already determined. I hope the older party relics are given less visible appointments so younger folks have a chance to shine.
If it's like the ones I've heard from : the endorsements by politicians, the scheduling of the debates, the super delegates, the media, the DNC, the emails, no one likes Clinton, Bernie math, yada yada yada.Jeff V wrote: Sat Oct 24, 2020 3:08 pmWhat was their specific reason for claiming that? Bernie wasn't within a whiff of the nomination this time.LawBeefaroni wrote: Sat Oct 24, 2020 2:37 pmMy wife just berated two of her cousins in Michigan who said they weren't voting because Bernie got screwed out of the nomination (again). She may have browbeaten them into voting, may not have. We're not sure.Jeff V wrote: Sat Oct 24, 2020 2:10 pm Bernie has been docile these past many months, so I imagine his future role is already determined. I hope the older party relics are given less visible appointments so younger folks have a chance to shine.