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Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 5:04 pm
by GreenGoo
Remember when Drumpf said he saw hundreds of muslims cheering in NY during 9/11? And when he was refuted, he scrambled a bit trying to back up his "facts"?
Those were the good old days. I miss them.
Now he says whatever random shit he feels like and if anyone calls him on it he just insults the person's mother and the crowd goes wild and that's the end of that.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 5:47 pm
by El Guapo
This article is thoroughly unconvincing. All it really says is "Trump has more appeal to white working class voters, there are white working class voters in traditional democratic states, therefore Trump might win traditional democratic states." But all they have in there in terms of objective data (which isn't much) cuts against their argument:
A University of New Hampshire poll out this week shows Clinton with an 8-point lead over Trump in a hypothetical matchup — but there are some warning signs for Clinton. She trails Trump by about 15 points among non-college voters, a group Barack Obama won by 2 points four years ago.
Wisconsin has been part of a Democratic blue wall for decades; the last Republican to carry the state was Ronald Reagan in 1984. And while a Marquette Law School poll released last week showed Clinton poised to carry the state over Trump, the race was neck-and-neck among less-educated voters.
“Can he succeed in mobilizing new voters in November? When we look at our data, Trump’s supporters say they are less likely to vote than others’,” Franklin said. “I had a great illustration of that. Some anonymous caller left a voice message yesterday that complained that our poll must have only included people in Milwaukee because 80 percent of his friends in Appleton are voting for Trump.”
So....Trump is poised to take several traditionally democratic states by capturing a lot of working class votes! Only Hillary's still leading notwithstanding Trump doing disproportionately well among blue collar voters, who the data suggests are less likely to vote.
Hillary must be terrified by this article.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 5:55 pm
by Holman
More Latinos Seek Citizenship to Vote Against Trump.
Over all, naturalization applications increased by 11 percent in the 2015 fiscal year over the year before, and jumped 14 percent during the six months ending in January, according to federal figures. The pace is picking up by the week, advocates say, and they estimate applications could approach 1 million in 2016, about 200,000 more than the average in recent years.
These numbers themselves won't be decisive, but I imagine they're a pretty good predictor of a big rise in Latino voter turnout.
It's great to see Trump and his supporters doing their part for U.S. diversity.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 6:04 pm
by El Guapo
That's the core problem. As was referenced in an article I posted earlier in this thread, some people are saying that Trump could win the general by driving up white working class turnout (including capturing normally democratic working class votes). But not only would he need to get a historically high level of white working class votes to be competitive, even if he could, that's implicitly assuming that he could run the requisite nativist campaign without simultaneously driving up minority turnout in the process.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 6:13 pm
by Defiant
If the election were today, then Clinton (or Sanders) would win in a landslide But the election isn't today. There's eight months and a whole general election campaigning to go through, so I remain unconvinced of hypothetical matches this far out.
I think Trump in the race has the potential to fundamentally change the basics of the electoral map that we haven't seen in a long, long time. While not the best article, it at least touches on the issue.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 6:27 pm
by El Guapo
Defiant wrote:If the election were today, then Clinton (or Sanders) would win in a landslide But the election isn't today. There's eight months and a whole general election campaigning to go through, so I remain unconvinced of hypothetical matches this far out.
I think Trump in the race has the potential to fundamentally change the basics of the electoral map that we haven't seen in a long, long time. While not the best article, it at least touches on the issue.
Oh yeah, head-to-head polls at this point are not super probative. My overall point is that Trump is staring down some hard numbers in a general election. That starts with his favorability numbers (or lack thereof) outside of the GOP base, including most specifically an unfavorable rating of
80% among Hispanic voters. That poll shows him losing Hispanic voters to Clinton 73-16 (!!!).
Yes, there's lots and lots of time, but it's REALLY hard to see how Trump gets anywhere with Hispanic voters after the shit he's thrown around during the primary, and really hard to see how he wins with his abysmal polling with them (and other minority groups).
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 6:41 pm
by Defiant
El Guapo wrote: That starts with his favorability numbers (or lack thereof) outside of the GOP base, including most specifically an unfavorable rating of
80% among Hispanic voters. That poll shows him losing Hispanic voters to Clinton 73-16 (!!!).
Yes, there's lots and lots of time, but it's REALLY hard to see how Trump gets anywhere with Hispanic voters after the shit he's thrown around during the primary, and really hard to see how he wins with his abysmal polling with them (and other minority groups).
I think the real question is one of turnout. Hispanic turnout has been much lower than that of white and black turnout. In the past few elections, they said that "this year, they'll turnout in large numbers", but they didn't. Maybe Trump's demagoguery will manage to change that.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 7:20 pm
by Max Peck
Literally, art of the Donald Trump sideshow...
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 7:31 pm
by hepcat
This is literally a post.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 7:40 pm
by Defiant
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 7:51 pm
by Max Peck
hepcat wrote:This is literally a post.
Now who's wielding the pillow?
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 7:57 pm
by El Guapo
Defiant wrote:El Guapo wrote: That starts with his favorability numbers (or lack thereof) outside of the GOP base, including most specifically an unfavorable rating of
80% among Hispanic voters. That poll shows him losing Hispanic voters to Clinton 73-16 (!!!).
Yes, there's lots and lots of time, but it's REALLY hard to see how Trump gets anywhere with Hispanic voters after the shit he's thrown around during the primary, and really hard to see how he wins with his abysmal polling with them (and other minority groups).
I think the real question is one of turnout. Hispanic turnout has been much lower than that of white and black turnout. In the past few elections, they said that "this year, they'll turnout in large numbers", but they didn't. Maybe Trump's demagoguery will manage to change that.
Maybe. But Trump would almost certainly need to increase white turnout / vote percentage for him above recent levels (Romney did decisively win the white vote last election, I want to say getting 62% of the white vote). Given that Trump's level of the Hispanic vote is likely to fall below Romney's sterling 27% share, can Trump increase white votes (share / turnout) without also correspondingly increasing minority turnout for Clinton?
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 5:59 am
by Defiant
This is an interesting video on how Trump answers questions (including language and sentence structure)
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 9:50 am
by AWS260
The
Trump cabinet generator. My randomly generated cabinet:
I'm OK with some of these!
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 10:01 am
by Rip
I'm ok with several of them.
Omarosa would be great anywhere but at Treasury is a perfect fit. No one is hiding a dime without her knowing about it.
Gilbert would put the fun back into killing people.
No one would dare piss off the Attorney General.
Penn would at least make it appear that there was some development going on.
Geraldo would help find all those resources because we all know how talented he is at finding stuff.
Finally the Dice Man would straighten out anyone with his verbal poetry. I doubt anyone would be late for an appointment more than once.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 10:26 am
by El Guapo
Honestly Attorney General Ferrigno would be totally in play. The only problem with that specific cabinet listing is that Dennis Rodman is absolutely a lock for Trump's Secretary of State.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 5:14 pm
by Kraken
Defiant wrote:This is an interesting video on how Trump answers questions (including language and sentence structure)
That's enlightening. Words are a politician's stock in trade.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 5:22 pm
by PLW
Trump gets the (unwilling) support of
man's best friend.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 10:18 pm
by Skinypupy
Kraken wrote:Defiant wrote:This is an interesting video on how Trump answers questions (including language and sentence structure)
That's enlightening. Words are a politician's stock in trade.
Interesting, but it's worth pointing out that In his first claim, he says that 78% of the words Trump uses are "one syllable". However, he counts multiple two-syllable words in that total: country, Sweden, people, fourteen.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 11:29 pm
by Kraken
I noticed that, too. He was also sloppy with his highlighting, missing at least one instance of "problem." Doesn't invalidate his argument though.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Wed Mar 09, 2016 1:42 am
by PLW
The secret service is hard a work guarding the snack table.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Wed Mar 09, 2016 3:39 am
by Max Peck
Kraken wrote:I noticed that, too. He was also sloppy with his highlighting, missing at least one instance of "problem." Doesn't invalidate his argument though.
Well, he is the Nerdwriter rather than the Nerdeditor.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Wed Mar 09, 2016 9:14 am
by malchior
Trump yanks on Christie's chain.Hitching his star to Trump has gotta be the worst move he has made in recent years. I think as a populace we the citizens of NJ are going to have to revoke his buffet card soon. A major transit strike is looming that will cripple the region and our useless sack of shit Governor is sniffing around the Donald. WTF?!?
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Wed Mar 09, 2016 9:26 am
by gilraen
PLW wrote:
The secret service is hard a work guarding the snack table.
That's the evening's show-and-tell entertainment. Gotta make sure he has props to back up his storytelling!
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Wed Mar 09, 2016 11:37 am
by Jag
PLW wrote:The secret service is hard a work guarding the snack table.
You never know if there is a Bernie Bro around that may try and take half.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Wed Mar 09, 2016 8:42 pm
by LordMortis
http://www.politico.com/blogs/on-media/ ... ter-220472
Wow. I thought breitbart would literally be the last "news" outlet that Trump would piss off. Shows what I know. I guess having altercations with every news outlet is part of his popularity?
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 12:41 pm
by Max Peck
The
Hindus for Trump Facebook page, which has 500 "likes", has gone so far as to place the business tycoon on the same pedestal as some of the most revered Hindu gods. They have come out with a poster where Mr Trump is seen sitting in a yoga posture on a lotus with the "Om" symbol—an uncanny resemblance to the Hindu Gods Brahma and Vishnu. In Hindu beliefs, Brahma is the creator of the world and Vishnu the protector and restorer of moral order. A post on the group's Facebook page appeals to "Trump Haters". "Donald Trump promises to make America Great again. It means more jobs, less warmongering, protected borders, treasury surplus and a better life for LEGAL Americans. He's going to win and you are on the wrong side of History."
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 1:05 pm
by geezer
Max Peck wrote:
The
Hindus for Trump Facebook page, which has 500 "likes", has gone so far as to place the business tycoon on the same pedestal as some of the most revered Hindu gods. They have come out with a poster where Mr Trump is seen sitting in a yoga posture on a lotus with the "Om" symbol—an uncanny resemblance to the Hindu Gods Brahma and Vishnu. In Hindu beliefs, Brahma is the creator of the world and Vishnu the protector and restorer of moral order. A post on the group's Facebook page appeals to "Trump Haters". "Donald Trump promises to make America Great again. It means more jobs, less warmongering, protected borders, treasury surplus and a better life for LEGAL Americans. He's going to win and you are on the wrong side of History."
Look at his hands.. they're YUGE!
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 1:10 pm
by Defiant
Those aren't his hands, they're a stand ins. (or is it a point ins?)
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 1:16 pm
by Malificent
Max Peck wrote:
The
Hindus for Trump Facebook page, which has 500 "likes", has gone so far as to place the business tycoon on the same pedestal as some of the most revered Hindu gods. They have come out with a poster where Mr Trump is seen sitting in a yoga posture on a lotus with the "Om" symbol—an uncanny resemblance to the Hindu Gods Brahma and Vishnu. In Hindu beliefs, Brahma is the creator of the world and Vishnu the protector and restorer of moral order. A post on the group's Facebook page appeals to "Trump Haters". "Donald Trump promises to make America Great again. It means more jobs, less warmongering, protected borders, treasury surplus and a better life for LEGAL Americans. He's going to win and you are on the wrong side of History."
Real life became reddit so slowly, I barely noticed the changeover. Are they trolling me or are they serious? I don't know and I don't know if it matters...
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 1:19 pm
by GreenGoo
I enjoyed their use of "wrong side of history".
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 5:04 pm
by Moliere
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 5:57 pm
by Holman
Trump says "Islam hates us,"
refusing to make a distinction between extremists and other adherents of the religion.
Short video at the link. It's not heated rhetoric at a rally but a sit-down interview with Anderson Cooper.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 6:04 pm
by Rip
As true as Republicans being racists, misogynists, and homophobes. The latter two being as true if not more so of Islam.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 6:05 pm
by Captain Caveman
Yuck.
Also, making a distinction at all between Islam and "us" is really tacky. There are about 3 million Muslims in the U.S. They are part of "us".
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 6:27 pm
by Rip
Captain Caveman wrote:
Yuck.
Also, making a distinction at all between Islam and "us" is really tacky. There are about 3 million Muslims in the U.S. They are part of "us".
That must make them feel like Caitlyn Jenner feels when it is said republicans are homophobes or hate transgendered or how Ben Carson or Condi Rice feels when they say Republicans are racists. It is how rhetoric works. Welcome to the real world.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 6:35 pm
by ImLawBoy
Hey look everyone! Rip's avoiding the issue again!
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 7:06 pm
by Rip
ImLawBoy wrote:Hey look everyone! Rip's avoiding the issue again!
Not avoiding it, just pointing out this is why people in glass houses shouldn't throw stones.
I wish people had never started with the hyperbole rhetoric. But there it is.
Can't wait till we can start discussing the flip side of all that presidential power under President Tonald Crumpz.
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 8:25 pm
by hepcat
ImLawBoy wrote:Hey look everyone! Rip's avoiding the issue again!
<pokes head in thread>
Oh that Rip. He does love trying to dodge things by yelling "LOOK OVER THERE!" whenever something comes up that he has no real defense for, doesn't he?
<play sad trombone>
Re: The Art of the Donald Trump Sideshow
Posted: Thu Mar 10, 2016 9:04 pm
by Captain Caveman
Seeing reports that Ben Carson will endorse Trump tomorrow. I did not see that one coming.
I assumed his mostly Evangelical voters would go to Cruz. Maybe they still will to a large degree, but this can only help Trump. I guess Ben still is smarting from Cruz's dirty tricks in Iowa. Or maybe he's angling for VP. Now THAT would be one insane combo.
Gifted Hands and Stumpy Fingers, 2016