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Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Sat Jun 20, 2020 11:47 pm
by Smoove_B
Carpet_pissr wrote: Sat Jun 20, 2020 10:24 pm Glad to be back.
Glad you're back as well. We're getting to the point collectively that when people disappear I get nervous. Happy to hear you're re-centered (bathed?) and hanging out.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Sun Jun 21, 2020 12:51 am
by El Guapo
Jaymann wrote: Sat Jun 20, 2020 9:29 am
Fucking Moscow Mitch. This is worse than poll tax and voter ID combined.
Kentucky has a Democratic governor, though.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Sun Jun 21, 2020 12:05 pm
by LordMortis
My hopes took at hit today. My super rare trip out to commerce saw everyone with a mask, but a few had them around their necks, and I'd estimate 1/3 of people wore their masks below the noses. I mean it's better than nothing and shields me against their talking but it's pretty obvious 1/3 of people either don't know how to care 4 month in or are essentially protesting the mask policies and getting away with it. We can't make it four months of sustained giving a shit about our fellow people. Four lousy months. I honestly equate the vast majority of below the nose mask wearers as MAGAts and further there are MAGATs that have enough sense to still wear masks.
Also our tests per day seem to be decreasing and yet our cases per day just starting to go up.

We were doing so well. Even surprising me post Memorial day.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Sun Jun 21, 2020 5:44 pm
by Remus West
LordMortis wrote: Sun Jun 21, 2020 12:05 pm
My hopes took at hit today. My super rare trip out to commerce saw everyone with a mask, but a few had them around their necks, and I'd estimate 1/3 of people wore their masks below the noses. I mean it's better than nothing and shields me against their talking but it's pretty obvious 1/3 of people either don't know how to care 4 month in or are essentially protesting the mask policies and getting away with it. We can't make it four months of sustained giving a shit about our fellow people. Four lousy months. I honestly equate the vast majority of below the nose mask wearers as MAGAts and further there are MAGATs that have enough sense to still wear masks.
Also our tests per day seem to be decreasing and yet our cases per day just starting to go up.

We were doing so well. Even surprising me post Memorial day.
When you say "we" are you talking nation or state? Last I saw Michigan's numbers were still headed down but I haven't check recently.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Sun Jun 21, 2020 6:02 pm
by LordMortis
Remus West wrote: Sun Jun 21, 2020 5:44 pm
LordMortis wrote: Sun Jun 21, 2020 12:05 pm
My hopes took at hit today. My super rare trip out to commerce saw everyone with a mask, but a few had them around their necks, and I'd estimate 1/3 of people wore their masks below the noses. I mean it's better than nothing and shields me against their talking but it's pretty obvious 1/3 of people either don't know how to care 4 month in or are essentially protesting the mask policies and getting away with it. We can't make it four months of sustained giving a shit about our fellow people. Four lousy months. I honestly equate the vast majority of below the nose mask wearers as MAGAts and further there are MAGATs that have enough sense to still wear masks.
Also our tests per day seem to be decreasing and yet our cases per day just starting to go up.

We were doing so well. Even surprising me post Memorial day.
When you say "we" are you talking nation or state? Last I saw Michigan's numbers were still headed down but I haven't check recently.
State.
https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-coron ... s-and-maps
We have been flat for a while (again surprised after Memorial day), flat is now starting to creep up. We bottomed out under 250 cases per day and now we're bouncing all over the place in the 300s, only we're testing less than when we bottomed out. (Still much better than 700 to 1000 per day but I liked it better when we were small trending down with more tests, rather than small trending up with fewer tests)
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Sun Jun 21, 2020 6:39 pm
by malchior
Context: This was Trump upon returning after Tulsa. Full out disheveled. Fill it in with whatever craziness you think happened on the plane/helicopter back to the WH. In my envisioning, he banishes everyone from his presence and just binges on KFC while calling Hannity for a calm down talk. That or screaming in impotent rage.
https://twitter.com/TheRickWilson/statu ... 4561308676
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Mon Jun 22, 2020 8:00 am
by malchior
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Mon Jun 22, 2020 8:44 am
by Holman
Meanwhile, GOP party mailers encourage GOP voters to vote by mail because it is "easy, safe, and secure."
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Mon Jun 22, 2020 11:16 am
by Remus West
As much as we may think this is a tantrum I think it may simply be a request being put out there to his foreign "allies". Disgusting pile of crap that he is.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Mon Jun 22, 2020 12:31 pm
by em2nought
LordMortis wrote: Sun Jun 21, 2020 12:05 pm
I honestly equate the vast majority of below the nose mask wearers as MAGAts and further there are MAGATs that have enough sense to still wear masks.
In my experience it is always the democrats who loudly advocate for trash recycling, but it's the republicans who put out the blue totes on trash day.

Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Mon Jun 22, 2020 12:36 pm
by hepcat
You don't know any democrats in real life though.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Mon Jun 22, 2020 12:50 pm
by raydude
em2nought wrote: Mon Jun 22, 2020 12:31 pm
LordMortis wrote: Sun Jun 21, 2020 12:05 pm
I honestly equate the vast majority of below the nose mask wearers as MAGAts and further there are MAGATs that have enough sense to still wear masks.
In my experience it is always the democrats who loudly advocate for trash recycling, but it's the republicans who put out the blue totes on trash day.
Well of course the Democrats don't put out the blue Totes on Trash day. We put them out on the correct day - Trash and Recycling Day.
#AnecdoteFail.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Mon Jun 22, 2020 2:44 pm
by hepcat
I have to wonder if Barr will go down in history as a traitor to his country at this point. He was on Fox last night perpetuating the lie that mail in ballots were going to lead to widespread voter fraud.
Barr told Fox News that voting by mail “opens the floodgates to fraud.” He warned a foreign country could “print up tens of thousands of counterfeit ballots” and that it would be difficult to figure out which ballots were valid.
Barr has not publicly provided any evidence to support his claim. And election administrators in multiple states have disputed this theory, stating it would be virtually impossible for a foreign country to peddle phony ballots undetected.
Barr is, at best, grossly misinformed and wildly negligent; at worst, he's setting the stage for a sitting president to dispute the results of a an election if he loses.
In either case, I would like to see Barr disbarred at the very least after he leaves/is forced out of the protective cocoon of Trump.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 8:09 pm
by Holman
https://twitter.com/SawyerHackett/statu ... 67808?s=20
Turns out that having *one* polling place in the largest city in the state is a problem no matter how big the location is. Traffic and parking prevented voters from reaching the polls in time.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 8:13 pm
by Holman
I know we're awful people if we wish death on Trump, but if Mitch McConnell fell in a bottomless pit I would watch the video feed forever and ever.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 10:48 pm
by Freyland
Bottomless pit and looping video feed is like dividing by zero.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 11:14 pm
by Alefroth
Freyland wrote: Tue Jun 23, 2020 10:48 pm
Bottomless pit and looping video feed is like dividing by zero.
Who said looping?

Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 12:38 am
by Jaymann
Unless he were recording himself on the way down, the video feed would fade to black fairly quickly.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 12:55 am
by Alefroth
I think that was the point.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 9:07 am
by Holman
Jaymann wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 12:38 am
Unless he were recording himself on the way down, the video feed would fade to black fairly quickly.
Camera drones. Multiple angles. Soundtrack.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 9:20 am
by Defiant
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 11:30 am
by El Guapo
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 11:43 am
by Blackhawk
Maybe, when your opponent is tearing down his own castle walls, it's better to sit back and let him go about it.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 11:43 am
by Defiant
The searching of the media in that article reminded me of this dumb headline (not sure if I posted it here or not):
"Biden faces new hurdle: Winning as front-runner"
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 11:46 am
by Defiant
Blackhawk wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 11:43 am
Maybe, when your opponent is
kicking his own sand castle, it's better to sit back and let him go about it.
Fixed that for you. Because actual castle walls implies a stability that was never there.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:20 pm
by YellowKing
Letting others tear themselves apart while you quietly fly under the radar building alliances is a valid strategy that has worked for Survivor, Big Brother, etc. Maybe Biden is beating Trump at his own reality show.

Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:26 pm
by Kraken
Biden's doing fine as long as he stays on script. Just keep doing that.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:29 pm
by malchior
This all seems to be a wishful way of minimizing a key weakness. The fact remains that the Biden campaign has struggled to get a message out for months. It luckily hasn't turned out to be a problem but it is a risk. Hopefully it won't be signficant.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:33 pm
by El Guapo
malchior wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:29 pm
This all seems to be a wishful way of minimizing a key weakness. The fact remains that the Biden campaign has struggled to get a message out for months. It luckily hasn't turned out to be a problem but it is a risk. Hopefully it won't be signficant.
Maybe. Could be his lead should be in the 20s instead of the mid-10s, I guess. And sometimes I wonder how much most campaign decisions ultimately matter.
But I disagree that he's not getting a message out. Biden's core message is "I'm a good guy who will take the presidency seriously and stop scaring you every damn day."
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:43 pm
by El Guapo
I will say that one complaint that I have about the Biden campaign is that whenever I get fundraising text messages, they are split into 2 or 3 messages which come 5 - 10 minutes apart, for some reason. So I get interrupted twice whenever they come, which is annoying.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:44 pm
by malchior
I think that message is the baseline. That said, it is hard to quantify invisibility but he has to be the least visible Presidential nominee in decades...maybe ever in the modern era. Which is striking when Trump's most visible mechanism for presence is free (Twitter) or free press coverage. We will see what happens as the 'convention' comes and goes.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:50 pm
by El Guapo
malchior wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:44 pm
I think that message is the baseline. That said, it is hard to quantify invisibility but he has to be the least visible Presidential nominee in decades...maybe ever in the modern era. Which is striking when Trump's most visible mechanism for presence is free (Twitter) or free press coverage. We will see what happens as the 'convention' comes and goes.
Maybe. But I've also seen some analysis indicating that Trump's poll numbers go down when he gets more media attention. Which would suggest that you don't want to take media attention away from Trump.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:56 pm
by YellowKing
The Biden nomination and lead was kind of inevitable, assuming in hindsight that "Trump fatigue" was an actual thing that most of the country suffered from. There was this urge for a "return to normal," and the easiest way back to that was the safe pick. I'm not sure it makes any difference what he does or doesn't do.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:58 pm
by Defiant
YellowKing wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:20 pm
Letting others tear themselves apart while you quietly fly under the radar building alliances is a valid strategy that has worked for Survivor, Big Brother, etc. Maybe Biden is beating Trump at his own reality show.
Not to mention Werewolf, Secret Hitler, Battlestar Galactica, Diplomacy and other hidden identity and alliance building games.
Of course in those games, usually the person employing that strategy is manipulative and one of the baddies. Not something that describes Biden.

Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 2:02 pm
by El Guapo
YellowKing wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:56 pm
The Biden nomination and lead was kind of inevitable, assuming in hindsight that "Trump fatigue" was an actual thing that most of the country suffered from. There was this urge for a "return to normal," and the easiest way back to that was the safe pick. I'm not sure it makes any difference what he does or doesn't do.
I think that's a reasonable argument, at least at this point. I think this kind of validates Biden's core argument in the Democratic primary, FWIW, since Sanders wouldn't be running as a "return to normal" candidate.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 2:02 pm
by malchior
El Guapo wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:50 pm
malchior wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:44 pm
I think that message is the baseline. That said, it is hard to quantify invisibility but he has to be the least visible Presidential nominee in decades...maybe ever in the modern era. Which is striking when Trump's most visible mechanism for presence is free (Twitter) or free press coverage. We will see what happens as the 'convention' comes and goes.
Maybe. But I've also seen some analysis indicating that Trump's poll numbers go down when he gets more media attention. Which would suggest that you don't want to take media attention away from Trump.
Right but you need a long game here. Let's say he wins but hasn't communicated anything but good guy/not Trump. What has he run on? What can he get done? Maybe that is immaterial because the Republicans will sabotage everything but passive only goes so far when you are talking about the Presidency. I think giving him the 'convention' is fair but he hasn't eased any of my concerns about him at all. I'm getting a real Buchanan vibe here.
El Guapo wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 2:02 pm
YellowKing wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:56 pm
The Biden nomination and lead was kind of inevitable, assuming in hindsight that "Trump fatigue" was an actual thing that most of the country suffered from. There was this urge for a "return to normal," and the easiest way back to that was the safe pick. I'm not sure it makes any difference what he does or doesn't do.
I think that's a reasonable argument, at least at this point. I think this kind of validates Biden's core argument in the Democratic primary, FWIW, since Sanders wouldn't be running as a "return to normal" candidate.
This is the major disconnect here. What does "return to normal" mean? It's like saying don't worry about the dysfunction. Biden needs a plan or in 4 years were going to be right here again. He can't run on 'I'm a good guy' and not express a desire to address the many significant problems we face. We're well past the point of kicking a can here.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 2:06 pm
by Jaymon
Trump is a reactionist. if Biden does something, or announces a policy, or takes a stand, then Trump would jump all over that with tweets and executive orders and insults and whatnot. if Biden does none of those things, Trump has no leverage. It seems like a calculated strategy, a mix of don't rock the boat, and tortise vs hare.
its like hey, did you hear what Bidens up to? Nobody says that, because its the same thing he was up to yesterday and last week and last month. Its the stability platform. And I think its working.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 2:08 pm
by malchior
Jaymon wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 2:06 pm
Trump is a reactionist. if Biden does something, or announces a policy, or takes a stand, then Trump would jump all over that with tweets and executive orders and insults and whatnot. if Biden does none of those things, Trump has no leverage. It seems like a calculated strategy, a mix of don't rock the boat, and tortise vs hare.
its like hey, did you hear what Bidens up to? Nobody says that, because its the same thing he was up to yesterday and last week and last month. Its the
stability platform. And I think its working.
I'd call it the Captain Edward Smith platform. If he maintains a huge lead, why not spend down some of it now to stake a position on a reasonable reform? That is the opportunity I see.
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 2:09 pm
by El Guapo
malchior wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 2:02 pm
El Guapo wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:50 pm
malchior wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:44 pm
I think that message is the baseline. That said, it is hard to quantify invisibility but he has to be the least visible Presidential nominee in decades...maybe ever in the modern era. Which is striking when Trump's most visible mechanism for presence is free (Twitter) or free press coverage. We will see what happens as the 'convention' comes and goes.
Maybe. But I've also seen some analysis indicating that Trump's poll numbers go down when he gets more media attention. Which would suggest that you don't want to take media attention away from Trump.
Right but you need a long game here. Let's say he wins but hasn't communicated anything but good guy/not Trump. What has he run on? What can he get done? Maybe that is immaterial because the Republicans will sabotage everything but passive only goes so far when you are talking about the Presidency. I think giving him the 'convention' is fair but he hasn't eased any of my concerns about him at all. I'm getting a real Buchanan vibe here.
El Guapo wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 2:02 pm
YellowKing wrote: Wed Jun 24, 2020 1:56 pm
The Biden nomination and lead was kind of inevitable, assuming in hindsight that "Trump fatigue" was an actual thing that most of the country suffered from. There was this urge for a "return to normal," and the easiest way back to that was the safe pick. I'm not sure it makes any difference what he does or doesn't do.
I think that's a reasonable argument, at least at this point. I think this kind of validates Biden's core argument in the Democratic primary, FWIW, since Sanders wouldn't be running as a "return to normal" candidate.
This is the major disconnect here. What does "return to normal" mean? It's like saying don't worry about the dysfunction. Biden needs a plan or in 4 years were going to be right here again. He can't run on 'I'm a good guy' and not express a desire to address the many significant problems we face. We're well past the point of kicking a can here.
I mean, he's got a
super progressive platform. So...that's what he's going to do. Probably more progressive than would be ultimately approved by Congress (assuming that the Democrats take the Senate; if they don't it doesn't matter much what his platform is).
Re: Too Soon To Start Thinking About 2020? No, it's 2020!
Posted: Wed Jun 24, 2020 2:16 pm
by malchior
Right and that's why I give him to the convention. We will see how much of it survives and how it is communicated. We'll (hopefully) know more about how the platform actually addresses the cracks in the system. That's tough to gauge right now until we hear about more of the meat here.