Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint
Posted: Wed May 13, 2020 7:43 pm
Boy, Wisconsin's sure on a roll lately.
That is not dead which can eternal lie, and with strange aeons bring us some web forums whereupon we can gather
http://garbi.online/forum/
Their Supreme Court has gone full MAGA recently. Luckily the people fought back on election day.
Pulled from the non R&P thread. What? I thought it was the big push from the Flu kills 60,000 and this isn't as deadly as flu line to 100,000 is some sort of victory just a week ago, using the 2-3 million (leaving out the fact that we have been quarentining for over 7 weeks) as their bogeyman to move the goalpost.Kraken wrote: Wed May 13, 2020 6:49 pmThe administration's favorite model was updated today to predict 143,000 by August 1.Daehawk wrote: Wed May 13, 2020 5:15 pm I thought they once were saying if the US reopened that the death count could be 80,000. Its not even reopened yet and there are over 83,000 dead now.
The Wisconsin petri dish is open for business.
Divide, conquer.But in Wisconsin’s hyperpartisan political environment, it’s unclear how well the Democratic administration will work with the Republican-majority legislature to compromise on public health, a concern [Governor] Evers shared on Wednesday night. He said as far as he could tell the Republicans didn’t have a plan, but would be speaking with them Thursday.
"We have no authority right now,” he said on MSNBC. “It’s been taken away."
“Different counties are saying, ‘Bring it on.’ Other counties are saying, ‘No, we don’t want this to happen,’” Evers said. “So suddenly it’s a 72-county affair, which is going to be very confusing to people in the state."
The bar scene was crowded in counties apparently without immediate health orders to replace Evers’s.
At the Iron Hog Saloon in the town of Port Washington, drinks flowed but masks and social distancing were lacking, WISN reported. The owner, Chad Arndt, said he had put more cleaning protocols in place and that if people felt uncomfortable, they didn’t have to come and he would respect that. “I hope they respect my feelings [that] I would like to come out and I would like to start getting the economy going again,” he said.
They fought back and still lost. This is a look into the chaos we are starting to see internally across various states.
Not entirely, they did show up to vote and replace a MAGA justice with a non Maga justice. It's just that they had to risk infection to do it. Which in my mind should motivate them even more to show up in the fall.malchior wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 9:04 amThey fought back and still lost. This is a look into the chaos we are starting to see internally across various states.
?malchior wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 9:04 amThey fought back and still lost. This is a look into the chaos we are starting to see internally across various states.
SureLordMortis wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 8:12 amPulled from the non R&P thread. What? I thought it was the big push from the Flu kills 60,000 and this isn't as deadly as flu line to 100,000 is some sort of victory just a week ago, using the 2-3 million (leaving out the fact that we have been quarentining for over 7 weeks) as their bogeyman to move the goalpost.Kraken wrote: Wed May 13, 2020 6:49 pmThe administration's favorite model was updated today to predict 143,000 by August 1.Daehawk wrote: Wed May 13, 2020 5:15 pm I thought they once were saying if the US reopened that the death count could be 80,000. Its not even reopened yet and there are over 83,000 dead now.
Can I get a cite on this?
(I had the digits reversed -- I said 143k, the model says 134k.)A key model of the coronavirus pandemic favored by the White House nearly doubled its prediction Monday for how many people will die from the virus in the U.S. by August – primarily because states are reopening too soon.
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine is now projecting 134,000 coronavirus-related fatalities, up from a previous prediction of 72,000. Factoring in the scientists’ margin of error, the new prediction ranges from 95,000 to 243,000.
I read more in to this than was stated.Kraken wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 11:21 amSureLordMortis wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 8:12 amPulled from the non R&P thread. What? I thought it was the big push from the Flu kills 60,000 and this isn't as deadly as flu line to 100,000 is some sort of victory just a week ago, using the 2-3 million (leaving out the fact that we have been quarentining for over 7 weeks) as their bogeyman to move the goalpost.Kraken wrote: Wed May 13, 2020 6:49 pmThe administration's favorite model was updated today to predict 143,000 by August 1.Daehawk wrote: Wed May 13, 2020 5:15 pm I thought they once were saying if the US reopened that the death count could be 80,000. Its not even reopened yet and there are over 83,000 dead now.
Can I get a cite on this?
(I had the digits reversed -- I said 143k, the model says 134k.)A key model of the coronavirus pandemic favored by the White House nearly doubled its prediction Monday for how many people will die from the virus in the U.S. by August – primarily because states are reopening too soon.
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine is now projecting 134,000 coronavirus-related fatalities, up from a previous prediction of 72,000. Factoring in the scientists’ margin of error, the new prediction ranges from 95,000 to 243,000.
Dr. Christopher Murray, the director of IHME, told reporters on a call Monday the primary reason for the increase is many states’ “premature relaxation of social distancing.”
For the first time, Murray explained, the model is factoring in data from four different cell phone providers showing a major uptick in Americans’ going out in public.
This rise of mobility in the last week or 10 days is likely leading to an increase in transmission, he said.
Yeah this was more a comment about the realpolitik here. They are in a no win situation when our politics apparently have tipped into full Jim Jones kool aid mode.El Guapo wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 11:20 am?malchior wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 9:04 amThey fought back and still lost. This is a look into the chaos we are starting to see internally across various states.
They won on election day by ousting one of the conservative justices. But there weren't enough justices on the ballot to swing the majority. Only helps so much for now though, of course.
Holman wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 3:55 pm Trump has this thing figured out.
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1261 ... 61826?s=20
TRUMP: "When you test, you have a case. When you test, you find something is wrong with people. If we didn't do any testing we would have very few cases."
I'll tell you what. Let's leave being a President up to the President and when it comes to infectious disease control, let's have epidemiologists and public health professionals at the microphone, dispensing the details. This man is a danger to himself and others. If he was talking this way in a subway terminal, he'd be collected by the police and put into a mental health facility for evaluation.El Guapo wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 4:06 pm Man....like, he's so close to making a valid point. There is a degree to which new reported cases can be misleading if you're not also disclosing changes in the numbers of tests. So if 'reported cases' goes from 1,000 to 2,000 in an area, but the # of tests also doubled, you can't totally be sure whether that's new cases or just new detected cases.
It's sometimes kind of a fun game to listen to Trump talk and try to reverse engineer back to what he was actually told in his briefings.Smoove_B wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 4:34 pmI'll tell you what. Let's leave being a President up to the President and when it comes to infectious disease control, let's have epidemiologists and public health professionals at the microphone, dispensing the details. This man is a danger to himself and others. If he was talking this way in a subway terminal, he'd be collected by the police and put into a mental health facility for evaluation.El Guapo wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 4:06 pm Man....like, he's so close to making a valid point. There is a degree to which new reported cases can be misleading if you're not also disclosing changes in the numbers of tests. So if 'reported cases' goes from 1,000 to 2,000 in an area, but the # of tests also doubled, you can't totally be sure whether that's new cases or just new detected cases.
https://twitter.com/GQMagazine/status/1 ... 63651?s=20El Guapo wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 4:06 pm Man....like, he's so close to making a valid point. There is a degree to which new reported cases can be misleading if you're not also disclosing changes in the numbers of tests. So if 'reported cases' goes from 1,000 to 2,000 in an area, but the # of tests also doubled, you can't totally be sure whether that's new cases or just new detected cases.
So....I think that might be what he's feebly trying to get at? But he's definitely also aware that new tests --> new cases --> bad reporting for Trump. So I'm not sure whether he's ultimately getting at the first thing, the second thing, or both.
Yup. I just can't tell from his comments whether he's saying this part out loud, or whether he's giving a poorly translated version of someone telling him at a briefing that "yes, cases are going up, but only because you're doing such an amazing job at testing and we're the best testing country in the world because you are so great!"Holman wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 5:14 pmhttps://twitter.com/GQMagazine/status/1 ... 63651?s=20El Guapo wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 4:06 pm Man....like, he's so close to making a valid point. There is a degree to which new reported cases can be misleading if you're not also disclosing changes in the numbers of tests. So if 'reported cases' goes from 1,000 to 2,000 in an area, but the # of tests also doubled, you can't totally be sure whether that's new cases or just new detected cases.
So....I think that might be what he's feebly trying to get at? But he's definitely also aware that new tests --> new cases --> bad reporting for Trump. So I'm not sure whether he's ultimately getting at the first thing, the second thing, or both.
"Obama planned Chinese Flu pandemic while still in office!!!!"hepcat wrote: Thu May 14, 2020 10:19 pmMcConnell had to admit today that Obama did, in fact, leave behind a detailed plan for a pandemic.
It's almost as if...no one is thinking about any of this and is instead, just throwing caution to the wind.Wednesday afternoon, 14 college presidents from around the country gathered in front of their computers. On their screens they saw their peers, along with Vice President Mike Pence and U.S. Education Secretary Betsy DeVos, who asked what they needed to reopen their campuses in the fall.
...
“They were mostly in listening mode, wanting to hear what the federal government could do to be helpful,” said University of Texas at El Paso president Heather Wilson, who was on the call. One way it can help, said Wilson, a former Republican congresswoman from New Mexico and secretary of the Air Force, “is to have some kind of liability protection.”
Colleges, in seeking that protection from Pence and from a Senate committee this week, aren’t alone. Manufacturers and business groups like the U.S. Chamber of Commerce have been pushing to be freed, at least temporarily during the pandemic, from being held liable if workers, customers and others get sick on their property -- something a lawyer for Texas Christian University told senators is “foreseeable, perhaps inevitable.”
...
Part of the problems facing both employers and workers, labor and business leaders agreed at the hearing, is that there are no clear standards for what businesses are supposed to do.
Under liability law, businesses are freed from being responsible if they are deemed to be taking reasonable steps to protect people. But as the nation continues to struggle to find a way to stem the spread of coronavirus, there is no definition of what steps would protect colleges from being held legally liable.
“There is no playbook. There are no established best practices, and this uncertainty is impacting our decisions,” Larry Leroy Tyner Jr., Texas Christian University’s general counsel, told senators at the hearing.
I mean, I suppose we could ask that every person over 65, every person with a risk factor, or any person who may come in contact with either of the above simply stay home forever in order to avoid "inconveniencing" the rest of us. OR, we could ask folks to do an extremely minor thing for the sake of others and cover their face for a few minutes while they shop. Apparently the latter is a bridge too far these days because “MUH FREEDOM!!”Here's my idea for how we proceed:
- If you want to wear a mask, wear one. If you dont, don't.
- If you want to open your business, open it. If you don't, don't.
- If you want to leave your house, leave it. If you don't, dont.
We all make our own choices and live our own lives. The end.
Alright. There is a LOT of chatter on this website bashing those who are saying most of the country still isn't ready for a safe reopening.
So, as we approach what would normally be summer pool season, here's a short analogy about pooping and accountability.
London 1665, The Black Death "All kinds of handicrafts in the city, etc. tradesmen & mechanics, were...out of employ & this occasioned the putting off & dismissing an innumerable number of journeymen & workmen of all sorts, seeing nothing..."
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As I grasp for some bit of levity in this whole situation I am going to try to find a way to use the name "John Cock" in something.Smoove_B wrote:Perhaps you'll like this one more (history isn't repeating, it's rhyming)
https://twitter.com/Laurie_Garrett/stat ... 2692803586
London 1665, The Black Death "All kinds of handicrafts in the city, etc. tradesmen & mechanics, were...out of employ & this occasioned the putting off & dismissing an innumerable number of journeymen & workmen of all sorts, seeing nothing..."
MORE