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Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:05 pm
by Unagi
Carpet_pissr wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:33 pm
malchior wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:12 pm
LawBeefaroni wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:09 pm
El Guapo wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:05 pm
LawBeefaroni wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 11:51 am And what can we do as citizensresidents? I mean when the ballot box is no longer viable and the ammo box is dwarfed by the opposition, what do you do?

I figure they're going to choke off the cities eventually so getting the bug-out cabin in order now. But is there a path to not-fucked anymore?
Sustained mass protests.
Like Occupy Wall Street? BLM?
Bigger. Everywhere. People would have to give up things and take a risk. Probably impossible for those reasons.
We are still VERY much in the 'nebulous' and 'political' stage of degradation. When shit starts to hit people's pocketbooks, or affects their immediate, daily lives, that is when you get the MASS protests, and not before. And I think it has to get a LOT more specific (like a Roe ruling, but still, that is not pocket-book hitting, so you get moderate protests like we saw) You aren't going to see millions of people in front of every state capitol because the SC essentially neutered the EPA for instance. Too abstract.
Basically, people need to start feeling wet before they will insist the car is headed for the lake.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:08 pm
by El Guapo
Unagi wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:05 pm
Carpet_pissr wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:33 pm
malchior wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:12 pm
LawBeefaroni wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:09 pm
El Guapo wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:05 pm
LawBeefaroni wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 11:51 am And what can we do as citizensresidents? I mean when the ballot box is no longer viable and the ammo box is dwarfed by the opposition, what do you do?

I figure they're going to choke off the cities eventually so getting the bug-out cabin in order now. But is there a path to not-fucked anymore?
Sustained mass protests.
Like Occupy Wall Street? BLM?
Bigger. Everywhere. People would have to give up things and take a risk. Probably impossible for those reasons.
We are still VERY much in the 'nebulous' and 'political' stage of degradation. When shit starts to hit people's pocketbooks, or affects their immediate, daily lives, that is when you get the MASS protests, and not before. And I think it has to get a LOT more specific (like a Roe ruling, but still, that is not pocket-book hitting, so you get moderate protests like we saw) You aren't going to see millions of people in front of every state capitol because the SC essentially neutered the EPA for instance. Too abstract.
Basically, people need to start feeling wet before they will insist the car is headed for the lake.
Absolutely. In the same way that large masses of people will refuse to take even the barest most supported covid preventative measures until they or a member of their immediate family is in the hospital with covid (and sometimes not even then!)

That's why this anti-democratic backsliding often works. You keep it just hidden enough until it's too late for anyone to do anything about it.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:12 pm
by malchior
I agree most of this is too abstract for the population. This stuff is clear if you are attuned to it. Most of us csn see how radical and how dark it will be. If the situation wasn't so grave it is almost amusing watching so many of the very serious people melting down right now.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:21 pm
by Zaxxon
There's also the point that if Biden is the nominee in 2024, what tangible concrete benefit are we protesting for? We'll get 4 years of antidemocratic backsliding and GOP wins either way.

So demoralizing.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:26 pm
by Zarathud
Congress could simply pass a law to change the EPA’s rules, too. Terrible analysis and completely disregards the dysfunction added by the filibuster.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:35 pm
by Zaxxon
Zarathud wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:26 pm Congress could simply pass a law to change the EPA’s rules, too. Terrible analysis and completely disregards the dysfunction added by the filibuster.
Thread on the EPA decision and the implications.

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1542 ... 11616.html

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:41 pm
by YellowKing
Zaxxon wrote:There's also the point that if Biden is the nominee in 2024, what tangible concrete benefit are we protesting for? We'll get 4 years of antidemocratic backsliding and GOP wins either way.
Yeah at this point we're just kicking the can down the road.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:46 pm
by Zaxxon
YellowKing wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:41 pm
Zaxxon wrote:There's also the point that if Biden is the nominee in 2024, what tangible concrete benefit are we protesting for? We'll get 4 years of antidemocratic backsliding and GOP wins either way.
Yeah at this point we're just kicking the can down the road.
He's looking like Schrodinger's Candidate--he must be and yet absolutely cannot be the Dem nominee.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:28 pm
by Carpet_pissr
El Guapo wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:59 pm To be clear by what I mean by "sustained mass protests" it was a follow-on to the above discussion about the state legislative theory case and the SCOTUS laying the groundwork for the 2024 coup. Specifically in terms of what the potential remedy would be if the SCOTUS basically closes the door to any judicial relief to a legalized coup.
Ah, ok. Yeah, that's probably the only hope. But it still seems very unlikely until it hits people right between the eyes. I don't see MASS protests even over serious curtailing of voting rights. More than a third of eligible voters don't even vote, so...???

You want to see mass marching, raise people's taxes to EU levels.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:29 pm
by Smoove_B
Carpet_pissr wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:28 pm You want to see mass marching, raise people's taxes to EU levels.
That depends. Has the NFL started their regular season during your thought experiment?

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:35 pm
by malchior
Vox
West Virginia v. Environmental Protection Agency strikes down a federal environmental regulation of power plants that never took effect, that the Biden administration has no intention of reinstating, and that would have accomplished absolutely nothing even if it had be enforced.

Nevertheless, the Court voted along ideological lines to strike down this regulation that the EPA drafted under authority granted by the Clean Air Act, claiming that it amounts to an “extraordinary” overreach by the EPA. And their decision has enormous implications both for the environment and for the federal government more broadly.

At the very least, the West Virginia decision strips the EPA of its authority to shift energy production away from dirty coal-fired plants and toward cleaner methods of energy production — although market forces have thus far accomplished much of this shift on their own, because coal-fired plants are often more expensive to operate than cleaner plants. The decision could also lead to additions limits on the EPA’s ability to regulate that industry going forward.

The West Virginia decision confirms something that has been implicit in the Supreme Court’s recent decisions governing federal agencies’ power to issue binding regulations under authority granted by Congress: When a majority of the Supreme Court disagrees with a regulation pushed out by a federal agency, the Court has given itself the power to veto that regulation — and it will do so by invoking something known as the “major questions doctrine.”

Under this doctrine, the Court explained in a 2014 opinion, “we expect Congress to speak clearly if it wishes to assign to an agency decisions of vast ‘economic and political significance.’” Thus, if a majority of the Court deems a regulation to be too significant, it will strike it down unless Congress very explicitly authorized that particular regulation.

This doctrine comes from nowhere. Last week, the Court said that abortion is unprotected by the Constitution — leaning heavily on the fact that abortion is not mentioned in the Constitution. But the the major questions doctrine is also mentioned nowhere in the Constitution. Nor can it be found in any statute. The justices made it up. And, at least during President Joe Biden’s administration, the Court has wielded it quite aggressively to veto regulations that the Court’s conservative majority finds objectionable.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:46 pm
by El Guapo
Is there any mention of the "major questions doctrine" in any decisions prior to the 2014 one? I'd certainly never heard of it before today.

This stuff is just extra infuriating because of the thick layer of bullshit over all of it.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:48 pm
by malchior
El Guapo wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:46 pm Is there any mention of the "major questions doctrine" in any decisions prior to the 2014 one? I'd certainly never heard of it before today.

This stuff is just extra infuriating because of the thick layer of bullshit over all of it.
Not much really from what i have seen. It looks like Robert's made it up to swat away anything the radicals don't like.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:49 pm
by LawBeefaroni
El Guapo wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:59 pm
So like if the election turns on Wisconsin, Biden wins Wisconsin, but the Wisconsin legislature votes to award the state's delegates to Trump, the odds that the SCOTUS would step in to prevent that are (sadly, and horrifically) low. So the best chance of stopping that would be mass protests (probably first concentrated in Madison, then moving to DC if necessary).

Would that work? Sustained mass protests are among the more effective strategies against authoritarianism, though they certainly don't always work (especially if the authoritarian has loyal military / police forces willing to shoot protesters). Though it would also depend upon people believing that Biden won and that that was being reversed illegally, and it's not hard to imagine WI GOP legislators working hard to make sure that the vote counting is stopped at a moment when Trump appears to be ahead.
There's probably a lot of out of state 17-year-olds who can be given AR15s to protect local property in the event of any protests up der Wisconsin way.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:53 pm
by Alefroth
Carpet_pissr wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:44 pm I don't think moderate, slow Joe is up for this, as much as I seem to like him. He's just not.
Even if he did support eliminating the filibuster, what could he do?

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:04 pm
by Octavious
In more awesome news they also sent a bunch of gun laws back to the states to you know arm us all up.

Totally stolen from QT3

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-sup ... 022-06-30/

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:16 pm
by Unagi
Alefroth wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:53 pm
Carpet_pissr wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:44 pm I don't think moderate, slow Joe is up for this, as much as I seem to like him. He's just not.
Even if he did support eliminating the filibuster, what could he do?
That's what I was going to ask too.

I thought we have gone down this road, and the fix is in getting more Senators that would support it - not getting Biden to bless it.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:28 pm
by Octavious
I'm sure Mitch will reference to Bidens statement when he gleefully does it himself in 2 years. So we have that going for us.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:36 pm
by Carpet_pissr
Zaxxon wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:46 pm
YellowKing wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:41 pm
Zaxxon wrote:There's also the point that if Biden is the nominee in 2024, what tangible concrete benefit are we protesting for? We'll get 4 years of antidemocratic backsliding and GOP wins either way.
Yeah at this point we're just kicking the can down the road.
He's looking like Schrodinger's Candidate--he must be and yet absolutely cannot be the Dem nominee.
I got some pushback when I suggested that he must not be the nom, after he was only in office a few weeks/months. Now? Jesus. If it's not the time for a Hail Mary, I don't know when would be. Surely those of you who thought that idea was crazy back then have changed your minds?

Image

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:43 pm
by Carpet_pissr
Alefroth wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:53 pm
Carpet_pissr wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:44 pm I don't think moderate, slow Joe is up for this, as much as I seem to like him. He's just not.
Even if he did support eliminating the filibuster, what could he do?
Speak up more. Louder. MOAR. Even if it's just theater resulting in nothing, I would like to see quotes so strong that it makes all the headlines, as he fights tooth and nail against our descent into proto-authoritarianism.

It's past time to use the traditional "strongly worded PR through my normal channels" shtick. These are not normal times, and they require a non-normal response from our President. In other words, CREATE any vibe (I don't really care how) other than 'business as usual' which is very much what I am getting now. It's time to get creative in his reaction. Think outside the box.

If the only thing he can do is act like a coach trying to fire up his losing team at halftime, DO THAT. Shit, at least PRETEND to be trying to do that! Something...

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:56 pm
by YellowKing
Carpet_pissr wrote:I got some pushback when I suggested that he must not be the nom, after he was only in office a few weeks/months.
Heck, I pushed back just a couple of weeks ago. But Biden's stock has fallen precipitously for me post-Roe.

If he doesn't have the fight in him now, he's certainly not going to have the fight in him 2 years from now after getting dragged through a bunch of bogus impeachment hearings.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 5:29 pm
by RM2
More great news

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics ... li=BBnb7Kz

I am actually am beyond disgusted and would not actually care since I will turn 67 in July and figure whatever is coming I can survive for the years I have left...maybe. But I have a 26 year old daughter and shudder to think of the world she may have to endure. Also since I am an empathetic person I fear for what the future holds for all who will be here to see the worst of it. Just hope I am wrong in my reading of the tea leaves.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 5:48 pm
by Zaxxon
Carpet_pissr wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:43 pm
Alefroth wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:53 pm
Carpet_pissr wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:44 pm I don't think moderate, slow Joe is up for this, as much as I seem to like him. He's just not.
Even if he did support eliminating the filibuster, what could he do?
Speak up more. Louder. MOAR. Even if it's just theater resulting in nothing, I would like to see quotes so strong that it makes all the headlines, as he fights tooth and nail against our descent into proto-authoritarianism.

It's past time to use the traditional "strongly worded PR through my normal channels" shtick. These are not normal times, and they require a non-normal response from our President. In other words, CREATE any vibe (I don't really care how) other than 'business as usual' which is very much what I am getting now. It's time to get creative in his reaction. Think outside the box.

If the only thing he can do is act like a coach trying to fire up his losing team at halftime, DO THAT. Shit, at least PRETEND to be trying to do that! Something...
Amen. Currently the team is down 41-3 at the end of the 3rd quarter and Coach is sticking to the regular game plan and high-fiving the players.

Oh, and a loss ends the productive careers of everyone on the team, and their families. And friends. And fans.

And also everyone on the winning team, but they're all-in for that.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 6:03 pm
by malchior
Plus the other team also has replaced most of the officials and all the calls are going against the team now. But that coach will give you a heck of a speech about good sportsmanship.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 6:14 pm
by waitingtoconnect
Remember that thanks to the supreme court the next time the capitol is stormed it will be legal for them to carry arms most likely.

And all the Democrats can do is fight amongst themselves on petty points. :tjg:

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 6:32 pm
by Defiant

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 11:51 pm
by waitingtoconnect
Wow Scotus is basically MegaTrump now. :horse:

Who needs the presdidnecy

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 11:57 pm
by $iljanus
Defiant wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 6:32 pm
Under other circumstances I’d find this bit of sarcasm quite funny but these days it’s just depressing….

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 11:59 pm
by waitingtoconnect
Clean air isn't in the constitution so therefore does not exist. :tjg:

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2022 3:35 am
by gbasden
waitingtoconnect wrote: Thu Jun 30, 2022 6:14 pm Remember that thanks to the supreme court the next time the capitol is stormed it will be legal for them to carry arms most likely.

And all the Democrats can do is fight amongst themselves on petty points. :tjg:
At least with all the new gun laws Democrats may also be armed now...

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2022 5:23 am
by dbt1949
Welcome back to 1930 America!

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2022 8:09 am
by malchior
Thomas cites debunked "science" about fetal lines in dissent
In a sharply worded dissent, Justice Clarence Thomas expressed support Thursday for a debunked claim that all Covid vaccines are made with cells from “aborted children.”

His dissent came in a decision by the Supreme Court to not take up a legal challenge by New York health care workers who opposed the state’s vaccine mandate on religious grounds.

Thomas, citing the plaintiffs, wrote that the health care workers “object” to the state’s vaccine mandate “on religious grounds to all available COVID–19 vaccines because they were developed using cell lines derived from aborted children.”

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2022 8:26 am
by Zaxxon
malchior wrote: Fri Jul 01, 2022 8:09 am Thomas cites debunked "science" about fetal lines in dissent
In a sharply worded dissent, Justice Clarence Thomas expressed support Thursday for a debunked claim that all Covid vaccines are made with cells from “aborted children.”

His dissent came in a decision by the Supreme Court to not take up a legal challenge by New York health care workers who opposed the state’s vaccine mandate on religious grounds.

Thomas, citing the plaintiffs, wrote that the health care workers “object” to the state’s vaccine mandate “on religious grounds to all available COVID–19 vaccines because they were developed using cell lines derived from aborted children.”
The very best people.


Meanwhile...

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2022 8:33 am
by malchior
Ezra Klein @ NYT

Fascinating opinion piece that is the beginning of a discussion about how the Supreme Court is undermining its own authority.
The Supreme Court is a strange institution — the final word on the law, but with no way to enforce its decisions; clearly political, but supposed to stand above politics; composed of nine bickering individuals, but posing as the impartial voice of the Constitution — and we have papered over its peculiarities with traditions of continuity and restraint. We ask senators to judge nominees by their qualifications, not their ideas. We ask justices to uphold past decisions they believe are wrong, even immoral. At least, we did. In recent years, the political importance of the court has overwhelmed the norms that (somewhat) insulated it from politics.

As I wrote in my book, “There is perhaps no single vote members of the U.S. Senate take with as much long-term ideological importance than that of a lifetime appointment to the Supreme Court, and asking them to keep that vote, and that vote alone, separate from the ideological promises they make to their voters, and to themselves, is bizarre.” The old norm worked when party conflict was mild enough to create a court that felt, and perhaps was, largely nonpartisan. But those days are long gone.

Making matters worse is that the Supreme Court has gone from being undemocratic to being anti-democratic. Lifetime appointments are iffy under the best of circumstances, but the vagaries of retirements and deaths have given Republicans a control that makes a mockery of the public will. Five of the court’s six Republican justices were appointed by presidents who initially took office after losing the popular vote (and, in the case of George W. Bush, after a direct intercession by five of the court’s conservatives in Bush v. Gore). Donald Trump was able to make more appointments in one term than Barack Obama was able to make in two.

You might think that the minoritarian nature of this Supreme Court would produce a restrained majority, one fearful of falling too far afoul of public opinion. It has not. To read the flurry of decisions and concurrences and dissents in Dobbs is to read less about abortion and rights than you might expect. Much of the text is a debate over the legal principle of stare decisis, which directs the court to respect precedent when making decisions.

Stare decisis helps solve a particular problem for the Supreme Court, which must prove itself an institution operating across time, not simply an amalgamation of nine voices at any given moment. When it resists the impulse to overturn past decisions, the court builds in a continuity beyond what the opinions of its members would offer.

Roe was already revisited, in the 1992 Casey decision, and left mostly standing. Under the norms that have governed the court for decades, Roe should have been safe, not because the majority agrees with it today, but because the Supreme Court does not upend settled law based on what the majority believes today.

This is the subject of Chief Justice John Roberts’s disappointed concurrence. “Surely we should adhere closely to principles of judicial restraint here, where the broader path the court chooses entails repudiating a constitutional right we have not only previously recognized, but also expressly reaffirmed applying the doctrine of stare decisis.” The dissent of the liberals thrums with even deeper anger: “Here, more than anywhere, the court needs to apply the law — particularly the law of stare decisis.”

But stare decisis, as the justices know far better than I do, is not a law. And so, in his majority opinion, Samuel Alito brushes it aside. “It is important for the public to perceive that our decisions are based on principle, and we should make every effort to achieve that objective by issuing opinions that carefully show how a proper understanding of the law leads to the results we reach,” he wrote. “But we cannot exceed the scope of our authority under the Constitution, and we cannot allow our decisions to be affected by any extraneous influences such as concern about the public’s reaction to our work.”

The argument Alito makes throughout his opinion is simple: The court can err. When it has erred, it must correct itself. Make all the fancy arguments about stare decisis you want, but if a decision is wrong, then it’s wrong, and it must be revisited. To take his perspective for a moment: There is something maddening about being appointed to a seat on the land’s highest court but told to leave standing the decisions you and four of your colleagues consider most noxious.

On some level, he is right. Stare decisis makes little sense. The problem is that, without it, the Supreme Court itself makes even less sense. It is just nine costumed political appointees looking for the votes they need to get the outcomes they want. And the further we travel down that road, the more the mystique that sustains the court dissolves. There is no rule, really, that the Supreme Court must be obeyed as the final word in constitutional interpretation — that, too, is a norm, and one that the court has no power to enforce. If all the Supreme Court is left with are the rules, soon enough there will be no Supreme Court to speak of.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2022 6:46 pm
by malchior

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Sun Jul 03, 2022 12:31 pm
by Defiant

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Sun Jul 03, 2022 12:42 pm
by Drazzil
Defiant wrote: Sun Jul 03, 2022 12:31 pm
The Biden admin needs to jettison the SC and fast.

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Sun Jul 03, 2022 1:31 pm
by malchior
Drazzil wrote: Sun Jul 03, 2022 12:42 pmThe Biden admin needs to jettison the SC and fast.
I'm not fan of the Biden administration or how they've reacted but how does one jettison a constitutional pillar?

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Sun Jul 03, 2022 1:32 pm
by Smoove_B
Junta

Re: SCOTUS Watch

Posted: Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:15 pm
by Drazzil
malchior wrote: Sun Jul 03, 2022 1:31 pm
Drazzil wrote: Sun Jul 03, 2022 12:42 pmThe Biden admin needs to jettison the SC and fast.
I'm not fan of the Biden administration or how they've reacted but how does one jettison a constitutional pillar?
The same way the right's been doing it. By ignoring them. By making the case that the Supreme court granted itself that authority in Madison v Marbury. By making the case to the American people that the supreme court needs to call back when it's sober.