Second, the more substantive stuff: theohall.
He was completely missing the point
here:
theohall wrote:Lagom Lite wrote:pr0ner wrote:And I'm voting for you because I think you're alien, not because I think you're a convict.
It doesn't matter to you does it? It's all the same to you corporate scum isn't it? You'd as soon kill your own kind as hunt down the real threat! If we lynch the alien tonight, that means you win tomorrow. If you lynch a convict, you don't win tomorrow but you get an edge.
...The only way any other faction than Crew can win this game is if we avoid lynching an alien today.
So why don't you want the Crew to win when pr0ner is a known Crew member???? Accusing pr0ner seems completely foolish, unless you don't want the Crew to win. We know the remaining alien is one of five people - none of which are pr0ner. Unless your goal is to let the aliens keep multiplying, why not try to kill the only remaining alien?
How is it possible to miss the point
in this way unless you haven't thought through the victory conditions and haven't realized that this is a game with more than two teams? All the Corp teamies were known except the Symbiont (who is also a team unto himself), so theohall
had to be at least nominally associated with the Convict team -- something a Convict would at least ponder -- and yet theohall was lobbying
against his team's interests as if it were simply "Crew" versus "Alien(s)".
Who is it that lacks all interest in (a) his human team, and (b) the human rules, and (c) the math?
Usually that's the Alien/Wolf/Baddie.
So theohall made himself look very much like an Alien at that point. The Symbiont, at least, seems to have figured theohall was an Alien, since theohall's in the flash freezer. But maybe things are more complicated than that.
Chaosraven floats the idea of having theohall unleashed and then making theohall the non-Corp target as well:
"Unlocking theohall is really only valid today if we intend to throw him into space anyway, in the hopes he is the last Alien". However,
Remus objects to this:
"I have no intention on voting for Theohall today. He pushed hard to make certain both guards shot yesterday, a position I do not think fits well with his being an Alien. His being locked down means he could not have been converted last night".
To this, we might add
theohall's reaction when his own misunderstanding of Lagom Lite's (elegant, correct) Convict plan led him to suspect LL wasn't human:
"LL is either the Symbiont or an Alien. This seems to blatantly wrong for him to anything but one of the two." Frothing at the mouth in this way, when all eyes are on you and you're the last guy to sign onto the plan, is hardly the way an Alien
ought to act. So Remus is right that there are factors that make theohall look human. (Of course, when theohall finally came around, he explained the 180
by saying "Well reasoned, Remus" in reference to
this. But that's weird, since Lagom Lite and others had already laid out the logic of the situation with great clarity. Weird, but probably insignificant; theohall probably just referenced the most recent explanation as convenient shorthand to account for his flip-flop.)
This complication in interpreting theohall means that if theohall is locked down because the Symbiont thought theohall looked Alien, the Symbiont might've made a mistake there. theohall might be a simple Convict.
On the matter of whether theohall is himself the Symbiont: this strikes me as unlikely. Now would be an odd and pointless time for the Symbiont to lock himself up. The first night would've been a brilliant time to do so, and I asked Scoop for a clarification of whether he was allowed to do that because I wanted to take that possibility into account. It's definitely the sort of move I would've considered making, since (as Lagom Lite noted early in the game) the Symbiont has a limited incentive to allow Aliens to multiply for a while, and since self-lockdown would prevent the Alien from failing to do that and would result in a nearly certain rescue the following day.
So yeah-- I like the idea of a Symbiont self-lockdown on the first night. So does Chaosraven, since he has been careful to take it into account in his analyses. But when the 'raven mentioned it,
theohall objected that the idea was foolish on the grounds that time's a-wastin' and the Symbiont has an urgent need to identify the Engineers and secure a sample.
theohall considered it wasteful of time and opportunity for the Symbiont to undertake a self-lockdown. Would theohall then turn around and lock himself down? True, the Engineers are now known. Even so, theohall wouldn't skip the chance to nail down an Alien specimen when he's concerned about time and opportunities.
For these reasons, I think one of these two scenarios is the case:
(a) the Symbiont thought theohall was an Alien and was right
(b) the Symbiont thought theohall was an Alien and was wrong
To figure out who the Symbiont is, we should consider the profile of a player who would make this move and that one.
I'm sleepy. More thoughts tomorrow about where we stand and how we should proceed.