Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Defiant »

Smoove_B wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 4:57 pm
House Dem and GOP leaders are holding respective dinners for new members.
So that would be, what, one person at the Dem dinner? ;)

[Edit: Just the House, so even fewer]

[Edit: OK, so it's like a dozen or so reps. I was forgetting about those replacing retiring Dems, and not just those that gained a seat.]
Last edited by Defiant on Fri Nov 13, 2020 5:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Smoove_B »

Defiant wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 5:03 pm It looks like NYC will probably close schools, but leave indoor dining open. That's an odd decision - my understanding is that indoor dining is a much bigger source of spread.
Everything makes more sense when you think about the money. Ordering indoor dining closed will likely be a death sentence for a significant number of bar/restaurant owners in NYC at this point. Closing schools? They'll reopen next Fall no matter what.
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Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Isgrimnur »

No one should ever forget that those in power absolutely have a value in mind when it comes to determining if keeping you alive is worth it.
It's almost as if people are the problem.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by LawBeefaroni »

Smoove_B wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 4:57 pm There really is nothing like completely undermining a message here. I don't care if this is 99% safe, the optics on this are terrible - particularly while people are legitimately struggling with months of self-imposed isolation. I don't understand why or how anyone would think this is a good look right now. It depresses and frustrates people like me and gives fuel to the people raging against government. There is absolutely no upside this provides to the public.

https://twitter.com/LACaldwellDC/status ... 0262765568
House Dem and GOP leaders are holding respective dinners for new members. .@SpeakerPelosi told me it’s safe. “It’s very spaced,” she said and there is enhanced ventilation and the Capitol physician signed off.
Ridiculous. Leadership is dead.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by LordMortis »

Trump on TV attacking Pfizer for not endorsing Warp Speed. Also his lung capacity is for shit. He breaths about every 2.5 to 3 seconds while babbling and then breaths in like he projecting from singing. His hair is also grey now.

Edit.... And is now going off on New York about not accepting treatments because of the governor...

Edit... And now is talking about how great the hospital capacity is and that ventilators abound and the stock market is doing awesome...
Last edited by LordMortis on Fri Nov 13, 2020 5:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by LawBeefaroni »

LordMortis wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 5:29 pm Trump on TV attacking Pfizer for not endorsing Warp Speed. Also his lung capacity is for shit. He breaths about every 2.5 to 3 seconds while babbling and then breaths in like he projecting from singing. His hair is also grey now.
Of course the Feds are handling distribution so Trump can use it to settle his petty squabbles. Right now he's saying how NY won't get it until Cuomo basically prostates himself. People will die.

He's claiming vaccine for everyone by April.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by LordMortis »

And NBC cuts off when the expert talks about details for plans for Warp Speed moving forward. WTF?
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by malchior »

LawBeefaroni wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 5:28 pm
Smoove_B wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 4:57 pm There really is nothing like completely undermining a message here. I don't care if this is 99% safe, the optics on this are terrible - particularly while people are legitimately struggling with months of self-imposed isolation. I don't understand why or how anyone would think this is a good look right now. It depresses and frustrates people like me and gives fuel to the people raging against government. There is absolutely no upside this provides to the public.

https://twitter.com/LACaldwellDC/status ... 0262765568
House Dem and GOP leaders are holding respective dinners for new members. .@SpeakerPelosi told me it’s safe. “It’s very spaced,” she said and there is enhanced ventilation and the Capitol physician signed off.
Ridiculous. Leadership is dead.
Indeed. Tone deaf. Shockingly insensitive and a terrible example to boot. It also demonstrates they have no fucking clue what is going on. A massive anti-elitist movement was threatening the Republic and the elites respond by partying in full view.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Isgrimnur »

Masque of the Red Death, anyone?
It's almost as if people are the problem.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by hitbyambulance »

malchior wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 5:40 pm
LawBeefaroni wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 5:28 pm
Smoove_B wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 4:57 pm There really is nothing like completely undermining a message here. I don't care if this is 99% safe, the optics on this are terrible - particularly while people are legitimately struggling with months of self-imposed isolation. I don't understand why or how anyone would think this is a good look right now. It depresses and frustrates people like me and gives fuel to the people raging against government. There is absolutely no upside this provides to the public.

https://twitter.com/LACaldwellDC/status ... 0262765568
House Dem and GOP leaders are holding respective dinners for new members. .@SpeakerPelosi told me it’s safe. “It’s very spaced,” she said and there is enhanced ventilation and the Capitol physician signed off.
Ridiculous. Leadership is dead.
Indeed. Tone deaf. Shockingly insensitive and a terrible example to boot. It also demonstrates they have no fucking clue what is going on. A massive anti-elitist movement was threatening the Republic and the elites respond by partying in full view.

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/ar ... re/616993/
Elite overproduction creates counter-elites, and counter-elites look for allies among the commoners. If commoners’ living standards slip—not relative to the elites, but relative to what they had before—they accept the overtures of the counter-elites and start oiling the axles of their tumbrels. Commoners’ lives grow worse, and the few who try to pull themselves onto the elite lifeboat are pushed back into the water by those already aboard. The final trigger of impending collapse, Turchin says, tends to be state insolvency. At some point rising in­security becomes expensive. The elites have to pacify unhappy citizens with handouts and freebies—and when these run out, they have to police dissent and oppress people. Eventually the state exhausts all short-term solutions, and what was heretofore a coherent civilization disintegrates.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by malchior »

They heard the outcry so they modified the event to be a 'model for the nation' by adding optional take out. JFC. This is just awful. I think they finally united us folks...in our collected disgust.

https://twitter.com/Drew_Hammill/status ... 6148434944
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by malchior »

Look at the right side of the middle two graphs. :cry:

https://twitter.com/COVID19Tracking/sta ... 92/photo/1
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Enough »

Better idea, be a model for the nation & hold off on your fancy-pants party for now. Why endanger lives of essential workers who make these events possible? Hold off until numbers improve or all get vaccinated. Do you expect the public to do the right thing, when you will not?
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Smoove_B »

See below!
Last edited by Smoove_B on Fri Nov 13, 2020 9:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Smoove_B »

malchior wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 8:43 pm They heard the outcry so they modified the event to be a 'model for the nation' by adding optional take out. JFC. This is just awful. I think they finally united us folks...in our collected disgust.

It's now completely pick up. I'm not going to pretend my shame tweet to all the organizers and sponsors helped, but who knows? :D

https://twitter.com/Drew_Hammill/status ... 8440415237
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by LawBeefaroni »

Smoove_B wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 9:36 pm
malchior wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 8:43 pm They heard the outcry so they modified the event to be a 'model for the nation' by adding optional take out. JFC. This is just awful. I think they finally united us folks...in our collected disgust.

It's now completely pick up. I'm not going to pretend my shame tweet to all the organizers and sponsors helped, but who knows? :D

https://twitter.com/Drew_Hammill/status ... 8440415237
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Kraken »

Enough wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 8:57 pm Better idea, be a model for the nation & hold off on your fancy-pants party for now. Why endanger lives of essential workers who make these events possible? Hold off until numbers improve or all get vaccinated. Do you expect the public to do the right thing, when you will not?
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Isgrimnur »

LawBeefaroni wrote: Fri Nov 13, 2020 9:39 pm "And we'd have gotten away with it too, if it wasn't for that meddling Smoove..."
:lol:
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Ralph-Wiggum »

A good but depressing thread by UF Florida prof and all around good guy (was on the grad committee of several friends) about who the Florida governor hired as part of the Covid analytics team. TL;DR version: DeSantis hired some nobody sports podcaster from Ohio who has no idea what he’s doing.

https://twitter.com/brunalab/status/132 ... 95494?s=21
Spoiler:
UF has some of the best biostatisticians & epidemiologists in the country, so to analyze our state’s COVID19 data @GovRonDeSantis chose....

...a guy who podcasts about sports at Ohio State.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Smoove_B »

Yeah, that seems to be on-brand for FL. But I guess when you vote for people like DeSantis, this is what you want.

I just read a short interview with Dr. Céline Gounder, member of the new Biden COVID-19 panel. This is such a great quote:
Q: So how do you get people to wear masks?

A: It’s a challenging one, because the issue has been so politicized. But in my mind, it’s like politicizing toilet paper. It’s a basic hygienic measure. It’s not about your political party. And we need to somehow break through that.

I will say people are doing better. If you look at the surveys, people are not perfect about wearing masks, but they are wearing them more. Part of this is also just letting people know that this is becoming the social norm. People are more likely to do something if they feel like everybody else is doing it.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by $iljanus »

CNN with footage of hordes of maskless Trumpaloos in DC fawning over the presidential motorcade. Same old same old.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Isgrimnur »

Can we not use "break through" and "toilet paper" in the same answer?
It's almost as if people are the problem.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Smoove_B »

Slice of Americana:
This week, Ashley Wann, health director of the Phelps-Maries County Health Department, told The Daily Beast that up to 200 Rolla High School students—and “numerous” parents—gathered indoors at Matt’s Steakhouse on Saturday, Nov. 7. Wann called it “a parent-organized event,” and the department has said students from the freshman through senior classes were present.

“The individuals that we have been in contact with all report no masks were worn and that masks were made optional by the event organizers,” Wann told The Daily Beast.

When the inevitable COVID-19 cases started popping up, Wann said her department’s job was made harder by the fact that there was no list of attendees.

This wasn’t an accident: The health department was told “by community members and those in attendance” that organizers intentionally hid the number and identity of those in attendance to avoid contact tracing in the event of an outbreak, according to Wann. That account of deliberate epidemiological obfuscation was bolstered by a handful of accounts from residents.

As of Friday, there were seven cases tied to the event and several others at Rolla High School among students and staff members, Wann told The Daily Beast. She was not optimistic about her department’s ability to link all relevant cases.
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“So my friend and I did a thing yesterday,” local parent Cory Coates posted on Facebook after the dance. “We did a REALLY big thing. And we had a lot of support. And a lot of help. And a lot of really happy kids. And it was kind of amazing. And I really want to recognize and thank these people but I can’t. But my heart is full and I think the kids are happy and it was worth it. I would do it again. I’m happy and sad at the same time and I want normalcy. I think we delivered this for one night. #HOCORHS2020.”

That hashtag appeared to mirror the slogan “HOCO: Sailing out of 2020,” which was featured in a screenshot from Snapchat shared with The Daily Beast on Friday that showed details of the event over a nautical motif and asked parents who wanted to contribute or help with organizing to contact Coates.

“Let’s do this thing!” said the post.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Daehawk »

Now if they'd be happy to just go die and do it quietly.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Isgrimnur »

And this a new generation of teenagers learn that doing whatever they want without facing consequences can be gotten away with.
It's almost as if people are the problem.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by LawBeefaroni »

Smoove_B wrote: Sat Nov 14, 2020 6:17 pm

My peers are saying we need to stop shaming people. Counterpoint: stop doing shameful things.
Didn't I say people would intentionally undermine contact tracers? They're actively working to increase spread. Fuck these people.



We live across the street from playground/soccer pitch at my daughter's school. We haven't used it since March since those are the rules. Prior to it's closuse, it basically served as a giant front yard. But now, every day my kids watch as people use it for soccer games, group "pod" playtime, etc. I have to explain that we know better but how do you back that up when it's the same people day after day, obviously doing just fine? To make matters worse, my wife helped get it built, lobbying aldermen, the governor, and doing her part to raise nearly $1M for the rebuild. None of them would have stepped foot in there before, when it was just another ratty CPS playlot. And we sit here with our kids bouncing off the walls and watching people just walk in and ignore the locked gates and huge signs.

It's minor bit it still pegs a 6 or so on my outrage meter. The Steakhouse homecoming above? Probably an 8. Again, fuck these people. Spreading death for...a homecoming dance? For real?
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by gameoverman »

California governor Gavin Newsom, who seemed like a smart guy to me, went to a birthday party. It was at French Laundry, which is so upscale they could call it French Laundry. Apparently they all sat outside the place but I still think that was a stupid move. Large parts of California, such as where I am, are still seeing increasing cases so telling people to limit gatherings is still a thing. He does the exact opposite AND he does it at some famous and expensive place, he could have at least made sure it was a kid's birthday part at Chuck E Cheese so instead of being mad people would feel sorry for him. This was Trump levels of stupidity. Now how is he going to lead Californians in things like social distancing with Thanksgiving and Xmas coming up?
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Smoove_B »

This pretty much sums up my feelings in a way that I am not capable of communicating as elegantly.

https://twitter.com/BillHanage/status/1 ... 8053203974
The only thing I find more depressing than what is about to happen with the pandemic here in the US, is the knowledge that the people who are minimizing it now will still be there after with excuses and no remorse
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by stimpy »

Let me be clear that I wear a mask and practice all the suggestions of social distancing and sanitizing.
But whenever I hear that people are waiting on the government to fix this for us, all I can think of is how does that happen when stuff like this is out there for anti-maskers to point to?

Image
He/Him/His/Porcupine
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Smoove_B »

I'm not sure I follow that image. Various states have passed regulations prohibiting smoking indoors and in public locations. The CDC does not have the ability to pass laws or regulations for each state. Do you even Constitution, brah?

In terms of the federal government fixing this, we need assistance from them in resource coordination, leadership and messaging right now.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by stimpy »

The point being that if the government was so concerned about saving lives, they would have done something about the smoking deaths long ago.
Again....not my stance.
I've always been of the mind that if you want to ignore the skulls and warnings on your cancer sticks, be my guest.
You're stupidity will cost me money, but it's your life.

I was trying to point out that no matter what the government, who takes their cues from the CDC if I'm not mistaken, thinks that passing mandates on how the public should act to combat the virus, they are going up against people that will point to facts like the one I posted.
To me it's a losing battle.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Isgrimnur »

Education takes time, and there will always be people resistant to it.

Enlarge Image

In 1980, the US had 761k deaths due to heart disease. The population was 226.5M people

In 2017, the US had 647k deaths due to heart disease. The population was 325.1M people.

But it must be a losing battle to educate people on things such as better diet, exercise, etc.
It's almost as if people are the problem.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Skinypupy »

To extend that (rather stupid) analogy further, you’re not likely to get cancer from someone else blowing a single puff of their cigarette smoke in your face.

The same cannot be said of COVID, hence the additional urgency and focus around preventative measures.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Smoove_B »

stimpy wrote: Sun Nov 15, 2020 3:25 pm The point being that if the government was so concerned about saving lives, they would have done something about the smoking deaths long ago.
Again....not my stance.
As someone connected to public health (i.e. "the government") I can assure you we are absolutely doing things about smoking deaths. As has been pointed out, they're down significantly since the 1970s and decades of education and taxation (part of what we refer to as the socio-economic approach).
I've always been of the mind that if you want to ignore the skulls and warnings on your cancer sticks, be my guest. You're stupidity will cost me money, but it's your life.
Yeah, there's definitely an element of that and I'll leave it to the academics and lawyers to debate the elements of life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. The issue always comes back to what's happening right now - the choices individuals make potentially impact the health of others in their community. Whether its smoking, recycling, or vaccinations) - there's real potential to ripple out. For something like smoking, you're right - sitting in your house and smoking 2 packs a day doesn't impact me directly. Unless you're 67 years old and I'm on the hook for your medical treatments associated with a lifetime of cigarette use.
I was trying to point out that no matter what the government, who takes their cues from the CDC if I'm not mistaken, thinks that passing mandates on how the public should act to combat the virus, they are going up against people that will point to facts like the one I posted.
To me it's a losing battle.
Welcome to my existence. :D But seriously, I need to believe (at my core) that people want to ultimately do the right thing - for themselves and for others. If I lose my grip on that, I might as well find a new profession because it can't work otherwise. I'm learning that there's a significant number of people that do not want to do the right things and aren't interested in learning more, but maybe (just maybe) there are still more people that are genuinely interested in following guidance and recommendations from the scientific and public health community.

HOPE
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Blackhawk »

stimpy wrote: Sun Nov 15, 2020 3:25 pm people that will point to facts like the one I posted.
It's a meme, and an easily disproven one, not a fact.

And one way you address it is by getting the people that those people listen to onboard. Leadership. If Trump had stood up there with a mask on day one and encouraged people to wear masks (MAGA masks available after the briefing, only $29.99!), we wouldn't have this issue. With Trump gone, you are left with politicians who want to avoid or minimize the impacts on the economy. You get them united behind a message that's in their own best interest, and you get them to convey that message to their followers.

It won't be enough by itself, but it will help. It would also help to get large business on message. Mask usage around here probably tripled the day after Wal-Mart made them mandatory, even without enforcement.
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Alefroth »

stimpy wrote: Sun Nov 15, 2020 3:07 pm Let me be clear that I wear a mask and practice all the suggestions of social distancing and sanitizing.
But whenever I hear that people are waiting on the government to fix this for us, all I can think of is how does that happen when stuff like this is out there for anti-maskers to point to?

Image
Let me know when the mask lobby is as powerful as the tobacco lobby.

Can I catch second hand smoke from a non-smoker?
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stimpy
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by stimpy »

Alefroth wrote: Sun Nov 15, 2020 4:44 pm
stimpy wrote: Sun Nov 15, 2020 3:07 pm Let me be clear that I wear a mask and practice all the suggestions of social distancing and sanitizing.
But whenever I hear that people are waiting on the government to fix this for us, all I can think of is how does that happen when stuff like this is out there for anti-maskers to point to?

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Let me know when the mask lobby is as powerful as the tobacco lobby.

Can I catch second hand smoke from a non-smoker?
No. And to use your logic, you cant catch covid from someone who doesnt have it either. What's your point?
He/Him/His/Porcupine
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stimpy
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by stimpy »

Blackhawk wrote: Sun Nov 15, 2020 4:40 pm
stimpy wrote: Sun Nov 15, 2020 3:25 pm people that will point to facts like the one I posted.
It's a meme, and an easily disproven one, not a fact.
Or not.....
https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statis ... nonsmokers.
He/Him/His/Porcupine
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Skinypupy
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Skinypupy »

When darkness veils the world, four Warriors of Light shall come.
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Holman
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Re: Corona Virus: It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint

Post by Holman »

Light up a cigarette on an airplane and you'll find out if the government has ever done anything to make someone stop smoking.

The meme is ridiculous.
Much prefer my Nazis Nuremberged.
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